1. 09-02-19 04:57 PM #71
    KVB
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    Hitting the NCAAF Opening lines hard today with two more plays...

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    The KVB NCAAF UPSET Basket has added...

    401 7-Sep KENNESAW ST -110

    That's right, we are paying for an upset here. It happened a few times last year, though I always waited for low vig, when the bet was more available, and didn't post the -110s. This year will be different.

    The KVB NCAAF Visiting Dog Fund added...

    401 7-Sep KENNESAW ST +1.5 (-120)

    So the pick em we are looking at just moved to Kent St. -1.5.

    It is the opinion of these two Funds that the line moved the wrong way. These could be volatile and we take a risk of getting killed against the closer.

    What was that Doves about hitting the close 50% but some large moves? Can you figure out why it's like that? If you are 50% record, then it's more about those games moving big.

    In this case, we could be dealing with light volume and public on Kent that could go south quick. After all, it already ticked towards them.

    I'll bite, twice...


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  2. 09-02-19 04:59 PM #72
    2daBank
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    Holy shit, another ff under that was cruising and now in serious danger w 2 outs in bottom of 5th, it like this only way I typically lose these. Cmon cole!!
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  3. 09-02-19 05:02 PM #73
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by 2daBank View Post
    Pads/zona ff over 5

    Zona ff -.5 +105

    Hou/milw ff under 4.5
    Bang bang bang.

    I’m still a mfin mlb beast!!
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  4. 09-02-19 05:15 PM #74
    KVB
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    Banker, here's why the FlyMe thread should sometimes be Think Tanked...

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    The KVB NCAAF Visiting Dog Fund seeks to use a stacking percentages forecast that is enhanced by both market analysis and situational factors that allow adjustments to the forecast. Some of those adjustments can be sizeable and a bet can be triggered as the adjusted prediction falls within the offered spread. Further, it’s not always about the visiting dog, it can be about failure on the home favorite’s part of the equation....
    This is what we saw with the Kennesaw Spread play.

    I was expecting Kent St to be overvalued and believe the trade upward supports it.

    Sure, that line could go to -3, which is the non predictive public gauge margin of victory, and we could have gotten better value, but with the game this close, including the early season stacking forecast, and Kent shitting the bed against Zona St. in the last outing we have something I've addressed in the past.

    Word for word, I said..."We have ample evidence over the years that teams in this situation tend to get overestimated when they become home and favored. It's a situational component that, when factored into the margin of victory, has an effect on an already decent looking forecast."

    The books may know this, that hook on the 1.5 is a big selling point when it comes to stacking these percentages and vying out the edge.

    Good Luck




    That's what you'll get sometimes, if you stop by.

    Other times you'll get this...



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  5. 09-02-19 05:16 PM #75
    shocka1212
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    not gonna lie, I didn't expect to see Mike Minor morph into Sandy Koufax... at yankeee stadium nonetheless.
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  6. 09-02-19 05:16 PM #76
    shocka1212
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Banker, here's why the FlyMe thread should sometimes be Think Tanked...



    That's what you'll get sometimes, if you stop by.

    Other times you'll get this...



    good lord.
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  7. 09-02-19 05:21 PM #77
    Corner blitz21
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    Anyone know how to upload pictures ?
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  8. 09-02-19 05:25 PM #78
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by shocka1212 View Post
    not gonna lie, I didn't expect to see Mike Minor morph into Sandy Koufax... at yankeee stadium nonetheless.
    He pimping them for sure. Costing me a parlay that pays little over 500, prick. Lol
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  9. 09-02-19 05:28 PM #79
    shocka1212
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    Quote Originally Posted by 2daBank View Post
    He pimping them for sure. Costing me a parlay that pays little over 500, prick. Lol
    I mean, my play is to win one unit so I lose 145..... but still.. and as I'm typing this Cortes gives up a 3 run shot..yikes it seems like the yanks shit the bed against Oakland and Texas everytime I watch.
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  10. 09-02-19 05:32 PM #80
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by shocka1212 View Post
    I mean, my play is to win one unit so I lose 145..... but still.. and as I'm typing this Cortes gives up a 3 run shot..yikes it seems like the yanks shit the bed against Oakland and Texas everytime I watch.
    I had a bad feeling once we got that stinking delay. Hate games w delays, you often get crappy efforts like this. It was a 200 parlay just paid 5ish. No biggie, I’ve hit several today, actually killing it. They woulda made it a 2k day. Still good tho,
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  11. 09-02-19 05:34 PM #81
    shocka1212
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    Quote Originally Posted by 2daBank View Post
    I had a bad feeling once we got that stinking delay. Hate games w delays, you often get crappy efforts like this. It was a 200 parlay just paid 5ish. No biggie, I’ve hit several today, actually killing it. They woulda made it a 2k day. Still good tho,
    got a 3 teamer next Sunday (haven't bet it yet) but payout looking like 5 to 1. taking the steelers at Foxboro btw.
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  12. 09-02-19 06:37 PM #82
    JIBBBY
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    Quote Originally Posted by Corner blitz21 View Post
    Anyone know how to upload pictures ?
    Find the picture you want to upload, RIGHT click your mouse, clip COPY on the picture you are looking at. Then go to where you want to post it.. RIGHT click again and hit PASTE and the picture will then load up to where you want it..

    VERY SIMPLE!!!

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  13. 09-02-19 07:10 PM #83
    jjgold
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    2-1

    Stopped for day
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  14. 09-02-19 07:12 PM #84
    shocka1212
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    Louisville garbage defense picked up right where it left off
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  15. 09-02-19 07:12 PM #85
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by shocka1212 View Post
    got a 3 teamer next Sunday (haven't bet it yet) but payout looking like 5 to 1. taking the steelers at Foxboro btw.
    I like Steelers too!! Betting against pats always gives me a queazy feeling but earlier in year def better than later!!
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  16. 09-02-19 07:14 PM #86
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    Quote Originally Posted by shocka1212 View Post
    Louisville garbage defense picked up right where it left off
    Oh shit, I got busy and didn’t even realized it started. So only actin I got a teaser I started Saturday that has Irish -12 and under 61 i think, plus packers+9 Thursday to finish out.
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  17. 09-02-19 07:14 PM #87
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    2-1

    Stopped for day
    Pussy!! Lol
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  18. 09-02-19 07:21 PM #88
    2daBank
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    Oh mother fukker. I was just adding up what my parlay hits be if doyers win and decided I should do some hedging, went to do so and obviously I couldn’t cause the game has started and rox jumped on then so live not even a option. Fukk me.
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  19. 09-02-19 07:23 PM #89
    2daBank
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    That ok. Lambert kinda a bum, although he has pretty good stuff. Lad outta get to him.
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  20. 09-03-19 12:15 AM #90
    KVB
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    Another unit down and 5 of the last 6 in the Fund...

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund through 587 plays...

    915 2-Sep BAL +251 -1
    Mon -1
    Weeks 1-5 -1.32
    Weeks 6-10 -1.23
    Weeks 11-15 -4.9
    Weeks 16-20 6.19
    Week 21 4.49
    Week 22 0.58
    Week 23 -10.25
    Total -7.44

    The Fund has lost 4 straight plays and 5 of the last six. While all units are tracked one unit per bet, I have capitalized on the increasing units when the Fund was down about -12 units, around play 400 (a double bottom) and pulled back when we were up around 2 units.

    After the non volatile sideways action following the run from the bottom, anyone paying attention could have seen this drop coming.



    Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian RL Fund through 105 plays...

    911 2-Sep TEX +1.5 (+100) 1
    919 TOR +1.5 (+125) -1
    Week 24 0
    Weeks 1-5 -4.92
    Weeks 6-10 -4.59
    Weeks 11-15 4.86
    Weeks 16-20 -4.55
    Week 21 -1.13
    Week 22 3.21
    Week 23 -5.85
    Total -12.97
    ...
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  21. 09-03-19 12:25 AM #91
    KiDBaZkiT
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    Kvb i will get to the bottom of all these gifs...
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