1. #1
    jjgold
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    Wednesdays Plays?? I Am Tailing LT Profits EVERY GAME

    Yes Sir

  2. #2
    KiDBaZkiT
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    Today is the only day of the year I won't bet no matter what. Football starts for real tomorrow. Aside from some October games I am done with bases for this year.

  3. #3
    jts1207
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    Quote Originally Posted by KiDBaZkiT View Post
    Today is the only day of the year I won't bet no matter what. Football starts for real tomorrow. Aside from some October games I am done with bases for this year.
    Lots of meaningful bases. Probably best time for baseball as opposed to early football.

  4. #4
    KiDBaZkiT
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    Quote Originally Posted by jts1207 View Post
    Lots of meaningful bases. Probably best time for baseball as opposed to early football.
    Baseball just too much chalk. It's pathetic.

  5. #5
    LT Profits
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    JJ is a brave man!

  6. #6
    jjgold
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    5 MLB Plays for me

    Yankees / Mariners UNDER 9.5 -105 (Heritage)
    Pirates / Phillies UNDER 10 -110 (Heritage)
    Cubs / Mets UNDER 7.5 +100 (Heritage)
    Tigers +163 (Heritage)
    Athletics / Royals UNDER 9 -103 (5 Dimes)

  7. #7
    KVB
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    That's a lot of UNDERs, Gold.

    Good luck to you and LT.

    I have both TB +1.5 and SEA +1.5 back on the Contrarian Runline Fund radar.


  8. #8
    Otters27
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    Not a bad plan

  9. #9
    KVB
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    Picked up SEA on the RL, but it could be a tough one for the RL Fund...

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    The KVB MLB Contrarian RL Fund has picked up...

    962 28-Aug SEA +1.5 (+140)

    We see value, but man this feels ugly...
    Going to have to really stretch during this grinding two dollar steak tough market...


  10. #10
    2daBank
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    As if the guy didn’t have enough problems without you mushing him:

  11. #11
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by jts1207 View Post
    Lots of meaningful bases. Probably best time for baseball as opposed to early football.
    Couldn’t disagree more, I much prefer the 1st half of the season.

  12. #12
    KVB
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    While I mentioned elsewhere that the I had a raw forecast of Philly beating Pitt outright by what equated to about a run, there are contrarian adjustments made here and at this price we see value for the Fund...

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

    953 28-Aug PIT +137
    ...
    Got in a little workout for this play...


  13. #13
    2daBank
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    Reds/marlins ff under 4

    Sprinkling fish ff as well.

  14. #14
    2daBank
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    As always w alcontera if he can keep his walks down he can hold any lineup in check. Def like his chances to holds reds down for 5 innings.

  15. #15
    KVB
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    Picked up two more Contrarian plays, hitting just one would be nice...

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has added...

    964 28-Aug DET +183
    978 COL +163
    ...

  16. #16
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by 2daBank View Post
    Reds/marlins ff under 4

    Sprinkling fish ff as well.
    Like that look. I have about a 7 point game and seeing some RLM sprinkled out there on the UNDER for the game.


  17. #17
    KVB
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    That UNDER in CHC/NYM seems like a sharp play, it hit 7.5 and still presses down. It's on the Fund radar but definitely taking a hit in value there.


  18. #18
    KVB
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    UNDER in Citi Field it is...

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has added...

    958 28-Aug CHC/NYM UNDER 7.5 (-112)

    This game went from on the radar to a play real quick...

  19. #19
    Fingernail
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    Trump 2020. Four More Years!!!! 🇺🇸

  20. #20
    KVB
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    The OVER in ATL/TOR is also on the Fund radar. Not liking that 10 though hoping by miracle we blink back to 9.5.


  21. #21
    jjgold
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    Lets go lt!

  22. #22
    KVB
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    Added the TB runline...

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    The KVB MLB Contrarian RL Fund has picked up...

    967 28-Aug TB +1.5 (-105)

    Just caught the -105 here, -110 is still a buy...

  23. #23
    pavyracer
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    The only thing that JJ is tailing today is the truck in front of him in traffic.

  24. #24
    KVB
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    Cubs go 6-0 top of the first.



  25. #25
    pavyracer
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Cubs go 6-0 top of the first.


    It's a bug in the model. LT working feverishly tonight to fix it.

  26. #26
    veriableodds
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    loved the cubs tonite! was my only play
    so evenly matched with very little variance and getting + money
    Wednesday, 8/28/2019 (7:10 PM)
    Matchup Report | FoxSheet
    CHICAGO CUBS at
    NY METS
    Teams Line OU W-L Ov/Un/P RF/RA Starters W-L Team Rec ERA WHIP
    957: CHICAGO CUBS
    958: NY METS
    +110
    -120
    7.5 70-61 (W1)
    67-64 (L4)
    60-61-10
    66-53-12
    4.9 / 4.4
    4.8 / 4.6
    (R) K HENDRICKS
    (R) N SYNDERGAARD
    9-9
    9-6
    11-13 (W1)
    15-10 (W1)
    3.20
    3.71
    1.095
    1.175
    really? does it get anybetter

    Straight Up Trends (Won Loss)

    Category Record Percent
    Away Teams 928-1056 46.77%
    Home Teams 1056-928 53.23%
    Favorites 1180-781 60.17%
    Dogs 781-1180 39.83%
    Away Favorites 419-289 59.18%
    Away Dogs 492-761 39.27%
    Home Favorites 761-492 60.73%
    Home Dogs 289-419 40.82%

  27. #27
    jjgold
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    Good call cubs

  28. #28
    veriableodds
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Good call cubs
    Honestly, guess it could of gone either way 50/50 just looking for 43% or higher win% with bases. Low variance games is all I really seek out in the sport, I do at the beginning of season bet favs but its a threshold, before mid season tells me if I continue with it , or not.

  29. #29
    pavyracer
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Good call cubs
    I think both teams will go over the total by themselves and he bet the under.

  30. #30
    KVB
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    A great run, a quiet market, it was bound to give way to some volatility and our upside was running out for that last run...

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    It's not like I didn't predict the downturn here, really missing that 3 units from Sunday now.

    The Fund has lost 6 straight plays and 9 out of the last 10. The incredible run and the all that quiet sideways charting has given way to volatility and a drop. I timed a unit increase decrease well here.

    Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund through 571 plays...

    953 28-Aug PIT +137 -1
    958 CHC/NYM UNDER 7.5 (-112) -1
    964 DET +183 -1
    978 COL +163 -1
    Wed -4
    Weeks 1-5 -1.32
    Weeks 6-10 -1.23
    Weeks 11-15 -4.9
    Weeks 16-20 6.19
    Week 21 4.49
    Week 22 0.58
    Mon -3
    Tue -0.78
    Total -3.97

    Still on the bigger unit in the RL Fund at it's gone negative, hoping it climbs back.

    Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian RL Fund through 97 plays, after losing 4 straight...

    917 27-Aug TB +1.5 (-125) -1
    924 SEA +1.5 (+105) -1
    962 28-Aug SEA +1.5 (+140) -1
    967 TB +1.5 (-105) -1
    Week 23 -4
    Weeks 1-5 -4.92
    Weeks 6-10 -4.59
    Weeks 11-15 4.86
    Weeks 16-20 -4.55
    Week 21 -1.13
    Week 22 3.21
    Total -11.12

    Quite the slide this week all around.


  31. #31
    KVB
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    Picked this up for Saturday...

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    The NCAAF UPSET Basket has added...

    281 31-Aug ILLINOIS ST +155
    ...

  32. #32
    KiDBaZkiT
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Picked this up for Saturday...


    That could break a dikk off....

  33. #33
    jjgold
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    BURIED HERE

    0-6 on LT Plays

  34. #34
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    BURIED HERE

    0-6 on LT Plays
    Wow. I just happened to stop in his thread and saw some signs it might have went badly, so I came here to get a update., ouch.

  35. #35
    jjgold
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    LT might retire

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