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Premier League betting preview: Best bets for title, Golden Boot and more ⚽
Premier League betting preview: Best bets for title, Golden Boot and more
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The 2018-19 Premier League title race was one of the most thrilling in recent memory, with Manchester City eventually fending off our +400 ante-post title pick Liverpool on the final day.
When the dust eventually settled on an uproarious campaign, Pep Guardiola's squad ended up winning a domestic treble, while Liverpool claimed a sixth European title. Both teams are favorites to be atop the table this season, and Manchester United, Tottenham and Arsenal have also splashed the cash, so we are set for another fascinating season.
Once again we've got all the best betting angles covered, including the Premier League Golden Boot, our relegation picks and several special/prop betting markets.
Here is our 2019-20 Premier League betting guide.
Title betting market
Manchester City and Liverpool duked it out like two heavyweight boxers last season, but in the end the Citizens stood up to everything thrown at them to retain their Premier League title by a single point.
The odds compilers feel it will be City and Jurgen Klopp's Liverpool again vying for supremacy this season, with City's odds actually having shortened over the past couple of weeks (they are favored at -215 for the title with Caesars).
The gap between second and third last season was an astonishing 25 points, so the rest of the league is going to have to go some to make up ground on Guardiola and Klopp.
Manchester City have collected an astonishing 198 points in the past two seasons and therefore have appeal at -110 with some betting firms to claim over 91.5 points this time around too.
The influence of Vincent Kompany will be missed on and off the pitch, but they look to have found a long-term replacement for Fernandinho after signing Rodri from Atletico Madrid for £62.8 million. As always with Guardiola, it's a case of evolution, not revolution, with the young Spanish midfielder expected to fit seamlessly into a squad already stacked with quality.
Furthermore, it's a huge plus having Kevin De Bruyne fit again. At his best, the Belgian is an absolute genius with the ball at his feet, and it will almost feel like a new signing having him primed for action on Saturday for their opener against West Ham.
Are there any areas of weakness for City? They could probably use another striker to take some pressure off Sergio Aguero, who is another year older and has a history of nagging injuries.
Liverpool were a joy to watch last term and it's questionable whether a side will ever finish with 97 points again and not win the title. Some fans are worried about a perceived lack of activity in the transfer market over the summer and the fact that the Reds don't seem to have obvious backup for either fullback position. They've been a bit hit and miss in preseason too, with their fabled defense failing to keep a clean sheet in any of their last six matches. Klopp's men are priced at +260 at Caesars to win their first title since 1990, and while they remain the most likely alternative to City, the feeling is it is going to take an almighty effort to stop the reigning champions from claiming a third straight Premier League title.
Chelsea are on the drift in the betting due in no small part to losing star Eden Hazard and new boss Frank Lampard having to negate a two-window transfer embargo after leaving Derby County to return to Stamford Bridge this summer. The Blues still have a big squad, but Hazard is a special talent who will clearly be missed, and they are not a lock to finish in the top four this season.
It's amazing to think that Manchester United are as high as 35-1 to win the title. A decade ago, when Sir Alex Ferguson was bringing an 18th Premier League title to Old Trafford, nobody would have guessed that in 2019 they would be such a price, and it shows just how much their colors have been lowered since Fergie retired.
However, they've flexed their financial muscle this summer, with England center back Harry Maguire arriving from Premier League rivals Leicester City for £80m -- a record fee for a defender. Will the signings of Maguire and Aaron Wan-Bissaka be enough to see them mount a serious title challenge? Probably not, but at least they are addressing their glaring defensive deficiencies. Last season the Red Devils shipped 54 goals in the Premier League, the most of any side in the top six and more than Newcastle United and Crystal Palace.
After signing no one last summer, Tottenham have managed to hold onto their star names so far as well as adding Tanguy Ndombele and again look to be the most likely side to challenge last season's top two this time around. Backing Manchester City, Liverpool and Tottenham to finish as the top three again at around the 5-1 mark may tempt some punters, but this looks like City's title to lose, and Pep's relentless Citizens are the pick to win it again.
The pick: Manchester City (-215) to win the title
Title betting market
Manchester City and Liverpool duked it out like two heavyweight boxers last season, but in the end the Citizens stood up to everything thrown at them to retain their Premier League title by a single point.
The odds compilers feel it will be City and Jurgen Klopp's Liverpool again vying for supremacy this season, with City's odds actually having shortened over the past couple of weeks (they are favored at -215 for the title with Caesars).
The gap between second and third last season was an astonishing 25 points, so the rest of the league is going to have to go some to make up ground on Guardiola and Klopp.
Manchester City have collected an astonishing 198 points in the past two seasons and therefore have appeal at -110 with some betting firms to claim over 91.5 points this time around too.
The influence of Vincent Kompany will be missed on and off the pitch, but they look to have found a long-term replacement for Fernandinho after signing Rodri from Atletico Madrid for £62.8 million. As always with Guardiola, it's a case of evolution, not revolution, with the young Spanish midfielder expected to fit seamlessly into a squad already stacked with quality.
Furthermore, it's a huge plus having Kevin De Bruyne fit again. At his best, the Belgian is an absolute genius with the ball at his feet, and it will almost feel like a new signing having him primed for action on Saturday for their opener against West Ham.
Are there any areas of weakness for City? They could probably use another striker to take some pressure off Sergio Aguero, who is another year older and has a history of nagging injuries.
Liverpool were a joy to watch last term and it's questionable whether a side will ever finish with 97 points again and not win the title. Some fans are worried about a perceived lack of activity in the transfer market over the summer and the fact that the Reds don't seem to have obvious backup for either fullback position. They've been a bit hit and miss in preseason too, with their fabled defense failing to keep a clean sheet in any of their last six matches. Klopp's men are priced at +260 at Caesars to win their first title since 1990, and while they remain the most likely alternative to City, the feeling is it is going to take an almighty effort to stop the reigning champions from claiming a third straight Premier League title.
Chelsea are on the drift in the betting due in no small part to losing star Eden Hazard and new boss Frank Lampard having to negate a two-window transfer embargo after leaving Derby County to return to Stamford Bridge this summer. The Blues still have a big squad, but Hazard is a special talent who will clearly be missed, and they are not a lock to finish in the top four this season.
It's amazing to think that Manchester United are as high as 35-1 to win the title. A decade ago, when Sir Alex Ferguson was bringing an 18th Premier League title to Old Trafford, nobody would have guessed that in 2019 they would be such a price, and it shows just how much their colors have been lowered since Fergie retired.
However, they've flexed their financial muscle this summer, with England center back Harry Maguire arriving from Premier League rivals Leicester City for £80m -- a record fee for a defender. Will the signings of Maguire and Aaron Wan-Bissaka be enough to see them mount a serious title challenge? Probably not, but at least they are addressing their glaring defensive deficiencies. Last season the Red Devils shipped 54 goals in the Premier League, the most of any side in the top six and more than Newcastle United and Crystal Palace.
After signing no one last summer, Tottenham have managed to hold onto their star names so far as well as adding Tanguy Ndombele and again look to be the most likely side to challenge last season's top two this time around. Backing Manchester City, Liverpool and Tottenham to finish as the top three again at around the 5-1 mark may tempt some punters, but this looks like City's title to lose, and Pep's relentless Citizens are the pick to win it again.
The pick: Manchester City (-215) to win the title
Relegation market
We correctly called both Huddersfield Town and Cardiff City to go down last season, and Sheffield United look like rightful favorites for the drop this term.
Chris Wilder has performed miracles by winning two promotions in three seasons for the Blades, but they could be found out in England's top tier despite shelling out £20 million for Oli McBurnie. I could be wrong, but the McBurnie transfer seems a bit of a panic buy. The Scot lacks physicality and struggles with the basics in terms of linking play and holding the ball up.
Then there's Ravel Morrison, the onetime youth prodigy who has struggled to live up to the hype after moving from club to club around Europe for the past few seasons.
Now 26 and brought in by Wilder on a short-term deal, this might be Morrison's last chance to make a go of it in the Premier League. However, as the old Croatian proverb states, "The wolf changes his hair, but never his temperament."
Norwich and Brighton are also expected to struggle, with the latter somehow staying up despite failing to win any of their last nine games last season. However, Newcastle United to be relegated at 2-1 or better looks big.
The Toon are tipped to endure a difficult season under Steve Bruce, who is not a manager associated with Premier League success. Mike Ashley's failure to keep hold of the brilliant Rafa Benitez has caused further unrest on Tyneside, and the Toon Army are fed up of Ashley's reign of austerity.
Bruce's biggest challenge will be to win over the supporters, but having lost some of their best players (Salomon Rondon and Ayoze Perez), it looks a big ask.
Thankfully it seems Manchester United's pursuit of Sean Longstaff seems to have gone cold, but if the Geordie youngster goes before Friday's transfer deadline, then they would be in trouble.
Even if he stays, with such bitter unrest in the stands and a perceived tactical dinosaur in the dugout, it looks a big ask for Bruce to keep the Magpies in the top flight.
The picks: Sheffield United at 4-5 (Paddy Power) and Newcastle United at 2-1 (Paddy Power) to be relegated.
Top goal-scorer market (Golden Boot)
To the surprise of absolutely nobody, Harry Kane and Mo Salah again head the betting. Kane's season was disrupted by injury in 2018-19 and Salah finished as joint top scorer with 22 goals alongside Anfield teammate Sadio Mane and Arsenal's Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang.
The usual suspects are going to be tough to dislodge at the top of the scoring charts again, but this season Raheem Sterling's double-figure price immediately catches the eye.
The England star has 66 goals from 226 Premier League appearances and is approaching his peak now at 24. He has looked lively in preseason and looked ominously sharp against Liverpool in the recent Community Shield. Sterling scored 17 goals last season and looks set to improve on that with Guardiola using him as a central striker on more than one occasion over the summer. Sterling operating in such an advanced role can only be a positive, and odds of 12-1 look tasty.
The pick: Raheem Sterling at 12-1 (Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook) to be Premier League top scorer.
Special/prop betting market
Total season points: Leicester City have done some stellar transfer business this summer and look like a team on the up again under Brendan Rodgers. The Northern Irishman was able to get a tune out of Jamie Vardy after taking over from Claude Puel in the second half of last season, and Vardy could be crucial to their prospects again this term.
Losing Maguire is an obvious negative, but if they can spend some of that £80 million on a replacement defender, with the brilliant Youri Tielemans and Ayoze Perez supporting Vardy in attack, then they could enjoy a fine campaign. With the Foxes expected to be pushing for a top-six finish, history suggests they could finish on 60 points or more, so -110 quotes about them collecting over 53 points looks a gift.
The pick: Leicester City over 53.5 points at -110 (Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook)
Top-four finish: Arsenal came up short on two fronts in their quest for Champions League qualification last season, finishing fifth in the Premier League while also losing to Chelsea in the Europa League final. Nevertheless, the Gunners look to be a team going in the right direction under Unai Emery, with Arsenal's home form the third-best in the division last term. In Aubameyang and Alexandre Lacazette, they have two strikers who will always score goals, and Nicolas Pepe looks a fantastic acquisition. Aubameyang finished in a three-way tie for the Golden Boot last season, but his minutes-to-goal ratio was better than the Liverpool duo.
Improving their away form is going to be key, with Arsenal keeping just one clean sheet in 19 Premier League away games last season. They must improve on defense, but I would not be shocked to see them finish above Chelsea, and therefore odds of +150 to end the season in a Champions League spot look massively tempting.
The pick: Arsenal to finish in the top four at +150 (bet365)
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