1. 07-16-19 08:51 AM #1
    RangeFinder
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    If the Angels come at +120 or better today they are a good play

    Still waiting on the opener

    Heaney is coming around strong. Astro's will be tough but I believe the game is a coinflip.
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  2. 07-16-19 08:52 AM #2
    leetreaper
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    Lets get it buddy.
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  3. 07-16-19 08:55 AM #3
    LT Profits
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    I have McHugh plugged in for Astros and get Houston 55% (-122). Let's see who actual starter is first.
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  4. 07-16-19 09:09 AM #4
    jjgold
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    Ranger taking shots everywhere now

    Is trout playing?
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  5. 07-16-19 10:49 AM #5
    pinnerpsk
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    Heaney is due to pitch well for sure.
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  6. 07-16-19 11:13 AM #6
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Ranger taking shots everywhere now

    Is trout playing?
    Trout officially Questionable but I have him Out of lineup
    Last edited by LT Profits; 07-16-19 at 11:22 AM. Reason: grammar
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  7. 07-16-19 11:18 AM #7
    BigdaddyQH
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    I don't know if I can go with a pitcher that has a 5.18 ERA.
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  8. 07-16-19 11:23 AM #8
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigdaddyQH View Post
    I don't know if I can go with a pitcher that has a 5.18 ERA.
    It's only over 41.2 innings but his 4.83 xFIP is more alarming to me.
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  9. 07-16-19 11:24 AM #9
    jjgold
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    Angles a bad play as of now
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  10. 07-16-19 11:29 AM #10
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Angles a bad play as of now
    There's no line yet, Gold.

    Go hang out with BigDaddy for a while, you two suit each other.
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  11. 07-16-19 11:42 AM #11
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    There's no line yet, Gold.

    Go hang out with BigDaddy for a while, you two suit each other.
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  12. 07-16-19 12:01 PM #12
    KVB
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    You're right LT, it was an unnecessary insult to JJ Gold.

    For that Gold, I apologize.

    It's good to see that a few of us put BigDaddy in his place when he was lying about his betting, seems he's a bit more tame since then as well.

    Guy got so embarrassed he doesn't make nearly the senseless, violent posts he used.

    Well, maybe he still makes the senseless posts, but we really put him his place, curbing his violent posts. It's hard to talk shit when you just come across as a fool with no integrity.

    That eagles guy learned the same lesson.

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  13. 07-16-19 12:53 PM #13
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by RangeFinder View Post
    Still waiting on the opener

    Heaney is coming around strong. Astro's will be tough but I believe the game is a coinflip.

    Looks like a bit closer to a pick than you had hoped Range. Close to a coinflip in the markets too.

    Line might move the way of the Angels as well, not helping to get to +120.

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  14. 07-16-19 12:54 PM #14
    LT Profits
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    Astros going with world famous combo of Hector Rondon - Rogelio Armenteros
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  15. 07-16-19 01:05 PM #15
    KVB
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    I think the 10.5 was a bit too high. Liking the UNDER there.

    Seeing a lot of 10s already.

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  16. 07-16-19 01:12 PM #16
    RangeFinder
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Looks like a bit closer to a pick than you had hoped Range. Close to a coinflip in the markets too.

    Line might move the way of the Angels as well, not helping to get to +120.

    +103 not good enough for me. Would settle for 115 but prefer 120. Doesn't look like it will get there.
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  17. 07-16-19 01:15 PM #17
    RangeFinder
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    Btw, how long does it take SBR to update the odds?
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  18. 07-16-19 04:41 PM #18
    KVB
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    Took the +104 Range, not my favorite play. Like the UNDER too, but the way the market is configured there, I don't think we see a Contrarian Fund trigger.

    Good Luck on the other plays today.

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  19. 07-16-19 06:09 PM #19
    dhristov211
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    No trout no play
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  20. 07-16-19 08:14 PM #20
    RangeFinder
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    We might see that 120 before 1st pitch after all
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  21. 07-16-19 08:57 PM #21
    RangeFinder
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    I fired at +116

    Good enough
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  22. 07-16-19 09:04 PM #22
    hotcross
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    yep
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  23. 07-16-19 09:06 PM #23
    KVB
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  24. 07-16-19 09:07 PM #24
    sosawestbrook
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    why is it a good play at +120 but not +100?

    unless you are betting 1000's
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  25. 07-16-19 09:45 PM #25
    hotcross
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    good start
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  26. 07-16-19 09:53 PM #26
    jjgold
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    It sounds good that is why

    Quote Originally Posted by sosawestbrook View Post
    why is it a good play at +120 but not +100?

    unless you are betting 1000's
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  27. 07-16-19 10:01 PM #27
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by sosawestbrook View Post
    why is it a good play at +120 but not +100?

    unless you are betting 1000's
    Because at +100 the bettor needs to win 50% of the games to break even.

    At +120, the bettor needs to win 45% of the games to break even.

    Depending on the number of games over time, it could be easy to bet into the 1000's, even if only churning $20 bets over and over.

    Over a single season of betting the 20% difference in payout, and the discipline to wait for it, could mean the difference between a winning and losing season.

    Or the difference between losing a lot and not so much in a season.

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  28. 07-16-19 10:06 PM #28
    sosawestbrook
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    I like both KVB & JJ's answers

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  29. 07-18-19 07:56 PM #29
    RangeFinder
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    I guess only the winning plays get bumped
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