1. 07-15-19 02:05 PM #1
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 62,660
    Betpoints: 32291

    Nasher likes the Reds tonight +130 over the Cubs

    Quick quiz hot shots.
    Who’s got the second best pitching staff in the National League?
    The answer would be the Cincinnati Reds.

    Reds visit the Cubs tonight, Reds will start Castillo, Cubs start Hendricks.
    Now even though Chicago has come out of the break storming winning three straight there are a few reasons why I think the Reds are a good spot play here.
    Hendricks started the season fine however his past three starts have been awful losing all three while failing to get out of the fifth inning all three times. Walking five while giving up 14 hits in 11 1/3 innings yielding 7 earned runs.
    Hendricks is 0-3 lifetime vs. the Reds with an ERA over 7.

    The Reds have demonstrated they can hit Hendricks in the past.
    Joey Votto is 10 for 24 with three home runs vs. Hendricks.
    Puig is 4 for 12 with a homer as well.

    Conversely Cubs bat .222 against Castillo in a 126 at bat sample size.
    Scwarber and Contreras are the batters Castillo has to fade tonight, especially Schwarber who has two homers vs. Castillo, everyone else Castillo has had his way with.

    Lastly Castillo is having a monster season for the Reds, he’s third in the major league in ERA at 2.28 he’s 8 and 3 overall, strikes out more than 9 per inning (124 in 106IP), and has a stellar WH/IP of 1.08 and has given up a stingy nine homeruns.

    I personally think the Reds are in a good spot tonight at +130 and Castillo.

    50 gets you 65, 10 gets you 13 if you are a small player.
    Last edited by stevenash; 07-15-19 at 02:10 PM.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  2. 07-15-19 02:13 PM #2
    2daBank
    2daBank's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-26-09
    Posts: 88,966
    Betpoints: 90

    I was shocked how much plus money cincy was getting w Castillo on the bump.

    I actually made a small future wager on reds. If it wasn’t for the abysmal start they could very well be leading the central.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  3. 07-15-19 02:14 PM #3
    2daBank
    2daBank's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-26-09
    Posts: 88,966
    Betpoints: 90

    Castillo’s change up is one the filthiest pitches in the game right now imo.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  4. 07-15-19 02:15 PM #4
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 62,660
    Betpoints: 32291

    ^
    I think the Cubs are getting all the love due to their 3-0 post All Star game start.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  5. 07-15-19 02:24 PM #5
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 62,660
    Betpoints: 32291

    Quote Originally Posted by 2daBank View Post
    Castillo’s change up is one the filthiest pitches in the game right now imo.
    He looked good in the All Star game.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  6. 07-15-19 02:26 PM #6
    2daBank
    2daBank's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-26-09
    Posts: 88,966
    Betpoints: 90

    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    ^
    I think the Cubs are getting all the love due to their 3-0 post All Star game start.
    Wanna say this Cubs team has mostly been a team that turns it on after the break. If I’m remembering correctly most this recent good run they played pretty average in 1st half then much better after asb. Dunno that sweeping the pirates is all that impressive tho? I’d say lot of it has to do w how good they been at wrigley. It on the road where they have struggled mightily.

    Cincy lost 2 of 3 at coors over weekend but they played pretty well. Both losses were by 1 run and the offense def performing!

    Not only reds but I’m really interested in the under (possibly 1st 5 opposed to game), havnt checked wind and obviously don’t know ump yet but think that 10 they hanging little high based off reds at coors and cubs offense looking strong over the weekend. Both these pitchers have handled these offenses in a recent series in reds band box. Think the offenses both be cooled down tonight especially in the early innings.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  7. 07-15-19 02:31 PM #7
    sosawestbrook
    sosawestbrook's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-10-16
    Posts: 3,135
    Betpoints: 4486

    everything you wrote is already factored into the line. you got an angle? or just backing Castillo?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  8. 07-15-19 02:42 PM #8
    2daBank
    2daBank's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-26-09
    Posts: 88,966
    Betpoints: 90

    Hendricks been at his worst on 6+ days rest too, he on more than 6 since his last start tonight.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  9. 07-15-19 02:45 PM #9
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    Tailing here
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  10. 07-15-19 03:01 PM #10
    2daBank
    2daBank's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-26-09
    Posts: 88,966
    Betpoints: 90

    Another plus for reds, wind is blowing out hard and Castillo has a 2 to 1 ground ball/fly ball ratio this year while Hendricks only at 1.17 gb/fb.,
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  11. 07-15-19 03:03 PM #11
    jts1207
    jts1207's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-15-16
    Posts: 8,011
    Betpoints: 242

    Cubs for me. GL
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  12. 07-15-19 03:04 PM #12
    2daBank
    2daBank's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-26-09
    Posts: 88,966
    Betpoints: 90

    Quote Originally Posted by jts1207 View Post
    Cubs for me. GL
    Man, can’t see laying that juice here. Not that they can’t or won’t win, just don’t think as likely as the price suggest.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  13. 07-15-19 03:17 PM #13
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 62,660
    Betpoints: 32291

    Quote Originally Posted by sosawestbrook View Post
    everything you wrote is already factored into the line. you got an angle? or just backing Castillo?
    No angle per se just a pro Castillo/anti Hendricks spot play.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  14. 07-15-19 08:12 PM #14
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 62,660
    Betpoints: 32291

    Why does Castillo pitch to Schwarber? As mentioned he’s the only Castillo killer and what’s he do? Solo homer to tie it up.

    1-1 bottom fourth
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  15. 07-15-19 08:55 PM #15
    2daBank
    2daBank's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-26-09
    Posts: 88,966
    Betpoints: 90

    1st 5 under cashed. Now we need reds to come back!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  16. 07-15-19 09:58 PM #16
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    🍾🍾🍾🍾🍾
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  17. 07-15-19 10:49 PM #17
    jts1207
    jts1207's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-15-16
    Posts: 8,011
    Betpoints: 242

    Nice call Nash.....lots of missed opportunities and sloppy play for the Cubs
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  18. 07-16-19 06:02 AM #18
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 62,660
    Betpoints: 32291

    ^
    Thanks
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  19. 07-16-19 09:44 AM #19
    MrSink
    MrSink's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-30-08
    Posts: 8,087
    Betpoints: 4888

    Thank you sir
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  20. 07-16-19 09:49 AM #20
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 62,660
    Betpoints: 32291

    ^
    Glad to help
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
Top
« Previous Thread | Players Talk | Next Thread »