1. #1
    jjgold
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    Friday Plays?? Reading Board Well This Week


  2. #2
    clockwise1965
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    Cubs ml

  3. #3
    jjgold
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    thank you

  4. #4
    Sam Odom
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    JJ

    when and where are you doing Vacation this summer ?

    one or two weeks ?

  5. #5
    funnyb25
    Go Get Laid Man!
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    Locks
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  6. #6
    kidcudi92
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    Diamondbacks

  7. #7
    Mackballs
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    I'm more interested in the fact that you claim you know how to read.

  8. #8
    eaglesfan371
    The great game of POT...LIMIT...OMAHA
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    Very tough day. NYM & CHC both opened at -110, should have jumped on those, now line looks more accurate.

    Do not see any plays today that jump at me. Initially leaned Diamondbacks but when I dug more into the stats, I only modeled diamondbacks 51% which is the current line sadly.

  9. #9
    juicername
    Thomorino - Fade and Get Paid
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    Quote Originally Posted by eaglesfan371 View Post
    Very tough day. NYM & CHC both opened at -110, should have jumped on those, now line looks more accurate.

    Do not see any plays today that jump at me. Initially leaned Diamondbacks but when I dug more into the stats, I only modeled diamondbacks 51% which is the current line sadly.
    Look at this clown. You ain't modeling shit Isabella.
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  10. #10
    thedenthead
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    Nats -145

  11. #11
    eaglesfan371
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    Quote Originally Posted by juicername View Post
    Look at this clown. You ain't modeling shit Isabella.
    I look at key pitching stats, assign weights of value to each one. Compare pitcher to pitcher. Then do the same for batting, both using Fangraphs. Recent performance weighted stronger than recent past seasons. Uses 4 years of stats if available. Use excel to create a dynamic template. It is not backtested and cannot predict a score but it creates a basic simulation. It is not a good model for those reasons but it is starting to get my head wrapped around the process sharps go through to find +EV. Sharps likely use a model that is 10x more advanced than what I created.

  12. #12
    kidcudi92
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    Quote Originally Posted by eaglesfan371 View Post
    I look at key pitching stats, assign weights of value to each one. Compare pitcher to pitcher. Then do the same for batting, both using Fangraphs. Recent performance weighted stronger than recent past seasons. Uses 4 years of stats if available. Use excel to create a dynamic template. It is not backtested and cannot predict a score but it creates a basic simulation. It is not a good model for those reasons but it is starting to get my head wrapped around the process sharps go through to find +EV. Sharps likely use a model that is 10x more advanced than what I created.

  13. #13
    TommieGunshot
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    Great day yesterday on underdogs and parlays. Favorites and overs today. France +0.5, Wings over 154, Fever 1h over 75.5, Liberty 1h money line.
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  14. #14
    leetreaper
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    3-1

  15. #15
    Cuse0323
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    Baseball board trash for me. Killed it the last few days so maybe a day off.

  16. #16
    jolyolyolyman
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    Couldnít find a damn thing so forced Padres over team total 4.5 runs. Donít feel confident at all about it, but I like the Padres team this year, so thereís that.

  17. #17
    jjgold
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    every bet I make is just really a hunch play

    only way bases

  18. #18
    Sam Losco
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    on braves

  19. #19
    Cuse0323
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    Iím taking Tampa. Everyone will fade them because of the long game, but think it may bust them out of their slump. Chirinos can go at least 6, and they have enough for the rest. Few guys didnít pitch all that much in relief. Sometimes you run better on fumes.

  20. #20
    flakeandbake
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    foot on the pedal JJ.. you're gonna crush it until all star break

  21. #21
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
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    Eagles go away, I skip over your posts, and long ones are just more to skip.

    Thanks in advance.

    Picked up a contrarian UNDER, just for you Gold...

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

    920 TEX/TB UNDER 8 (-110)

    On mobile, busy week...
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  22. #22
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cuse0323 View Post
    Iím taking Tampa. Everyone will fade them because of the long game, but think it may bust them out of their slump. Chirinos can go at least 6, and they have enough for the rest. Few guys didnít pitch all that much in relief. Sometimes you run better on fumes.
    Guilty. Plus I like Lynn.

  23. #23
    2daBank
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    Like that under KVB

  24. #24
    jjgold
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    Banker would you move cargo from Miami to Pittsburg 300k in your car if approached by Colombians???????

  25. #25
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Banker would you move cargo from Miami to Pittsburg 300k in your car if approached by Colombians???????
    lol. No comment.

    Definitely not right now while Iím still on paper, when you on paper they allowed to open everything and look. When not on paper you have a fighting chance they play it straight and donít open truck unless dog hits.,

  26. #26
    kidcudi92
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Banker would you move cargo from Miami to Pittsburg 300k in your car if approached by Colombians???????


  27. #27
    2daBank
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    I wouldnít just let them throw something in my trunk, Iíve seen dumb asses do this then dog hits on them instantly, you gotta wrap that shit proper like!!!

  28. #28
    jjgold
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    what a shot that would be

    trunk loaded with cargo

    I think if you just drive safe and not speed you should be clear but would be the equivalent to a 1 million dollar type bet

    Odds probably -275 you make it clear

  29. #29
    kidcudi92
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    Quote Originally Posted by 2daBank View Post
    I wouldn’t just let them throw something in my trunk, I’ve seen dumb asses do this then dog hits on them instantly, you gotta wrap that shit proper like!!!
    A Mexicano at the Cancun airport wrapped the top of my bag in duct tape cause it ripped, didn't even ask him to lol


    I threw him a buck


    I figured US customs were gonna have a lot of questions


    Everything went smoothly though

  30. #30
    flakeandbake
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Picked up a contrarian UNDER, just for you Gold...
    quickly added to the o/u fade list for tn

  31. #31
    leetreaper
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Eagles go away, I skip over your posts, and long ones are just more to skip.

    Thanks in advance.

    Picked up a contrarian UNDER, just for you Gold...


    Absolutely love this one bro, lets get it!!!

  32. #32
    biggie12
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    what a shot that would be

    trunk loaded with cargo

    I think if you just drive safe and not speed you should be clear but would be the equivalent to a 1 million dollar type bet

    Odds probably -275 you make it clear
    Trappin' getting old so I been movin' weight
    Pigeons in the trunk I'm on the interstate
    Made myself a plug get it 100 ways
    And I still got the act you know I love the taste

  33. #33
    jjgold
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    Biggie send me some leaf

  34. #34
    2daBank
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    Oh shit KVB. Iím in a spot where all my dogs have the early lead. Do I ride out and hope for best or live bet other sides?? Lol

  35. #35
    2daBank
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    Rangers, reds, Braves, and fish all out to early leads. Surely at least 2 of them will hold up?? Lol

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