1. #1
    danshan11
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    I was just looking at some bet365 data from past MLB gamblers

    this is the funniest shit I ever seen

    data was from 2018 season

    75ish% of the bets are against the Orioles, Royals, Tigers and Marlins (result -9.2% for the bettors)
    60-70%ish are on the under (result -2.1% for the bettors)

    those were the 2 funniest and biggest trends they had

  2. #2
    eaglesfan371
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    They ban anyone with a brain so their data is going to be worst squares you can imagine

    It does surprise me that majority of bettors were on unders

  3. #3
    danshan11
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    maybe I was not clear enough 75% of ALL MLB bets they had for the season including playoffs which these teams were not in obviously!

  4. #4
    danshan11
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    this data would include people they have banned, I could not get the data from Pinnacle yet, I sent in a ORC to see if I can get it but they have not replied yet!

  5. #5
    RudyRuetigger
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    Quote Originally Posted by danshan11 View Post
    this data would include people they have banned, I could not get the data from Pinnacle yet, I sent in a ORC to see if I can get it but they have not replied yet!
    let us know this info

    THANKS

  6. #6
    danshan11
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    and almost every bet that involved the Astros was on the Astros or OVER ( result -1.9% for the bettor)

    result is for the ML, I did not calculate the net on the OVERS.


    I just think its funny everyone thinks the Orioles are gonna lose and the Astros will win and go over

    and they just bet that every day

  7. #7
    danshan11
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    Yankees had a few bets but overall was slightly positive to bet against them for the season (.4% for bettors)
    Dodgers had a few bets but overall bettors bet on the Dodgers 63% and got their clock cleaned (-9% for bettors)

  8. #8
    danshan11
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    and the best team in Baseball the Angels had the fewest tickets overall and about 50-50 on against (bettors -1.2% )

  9. #9
    eidolon
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    Quote Originally Posted by danshan11 View Post
    Yankees had a few bets but overall was slightly positive to bet against them for the season (.4% for bettors)
    Dodgers had a few bets but overall bettors bet on the Dodgers 63% and got their clock cleaned (-9% for bettors)
    Baseball: bet on bad teams to win because the public hammers favorites.

  10. #10
    leovegas
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    Quote Originally Posted by danshan11 View Post
    Yankees had a few bets but overall was slightly positive to bet against them for the season (.4% for bettors)
    Dodgers had a few bets but overall bettors bet on the Dodgers 63% and got their clock cleaned (-9% for bettors)
    There's a certain machine learning expert who made a name for himself specifically fading the orioles and the royals last season. And backing the astros. It's funny that the action you outline coincides exactly with what he shared last season. Sharps can make square plays!

  11. #11
    danshan11
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    interesting stuff, I would die to see Pinnacles data, I highly doubt they will share it!

  12. #12
    danshan11
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    Orioles bettors had an expected roi of -2.3% and an actual ROi -14.9

  13. #13
    Rich Boy
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    Since when do books willingly share this kind of info?

  14. #14
    danshan11
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    Pinnacle surely has not as of yet! No reply so far, hope they do though!

  15. #15
    Rich Boy
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    Surprised any books would offer this info without charging for it

  16. #16
    spippen
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    Quote Originally Posted by danshan11 View Post
    and almost every bet that involved the Astros was on the Astros or OVER ( result -1.9% for the bettor)

    result is for the ML, I did not calculate the net on the OVERS.


    I just think its funny everyone thinks the Orioles are gonna lose and the Astros will win and go over

    and they just bet that every day
    If they bet that way they will be out of money by mid season, or sooner.

  17. #17
    danshan11
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    Quote Originally Posted by Rich Boy View Post
    Surprised any books would offer this info without charging for it
    I got the data from a Pinnacle writer, who writes articles on sports betting

  18. #18
    danshan11
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    Quote Originally Posted by spippen View Post
    If they bet that way they will be out of money by mid season, or sooner.
    looks like they just lost about the juice overall but again I have not tallied the overs as of yet!

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