Follow me here, and I know this is very unconventional, lol.
I made a spreadsheet of the last 212 college basketball games for the over/under. 1 hour before games start, I go to the site odds shark and pull up the consensus for all of the O/U games. I tested this for the ATS and it is definitely a bust. I circle every game that is 60% and over on the consensus and put it in the spreadsheet with the O/U line. I logged all of the results and it is at 121-87-4 (removed pushes). Now, this is a crapload of games (11 days worth is all), but 58.17% isn't bad. I have only been putting $10 bets per game, so it is a very low yield, but I haven't lost anything, only gained. What I plan to do is take 35% of my bankroll (using this number for a full week) and divide that over the amount of games for each day that are over the 60% consensus. With 20 games in a day and a $2k bankroll, that would be 700/20, making it $35 per game. I would need to do a consistent bet though through the week to make up for any losses and hold true to the winning percentage. Again, this would be a really slow method, but I think worth it. 140 games in a week, at $35 a games, with 58% winning, and an average of -110, yields $500 for the week. I find that way better than losing for sure, lmao.
Thoughts? Rip me if you want, that is fine, cause I'm just spitballing here. I would upload my spreadsheet, but I'm not sure if I can. I tracked NBA O/U and ATS this way, and CBB ATS and neither of those work out like this.
I made a spreadsheet of the last 212 college basketball games for the over/under. 1 hour before games start, I go to the site odds shark and pull up the consensus for all of the O/U games. I tested this for the ATS and it is definitely a bust. I circle every game that is 60% and over on the consensus and put it in the spreadsheet with the O/U line. I logged all of the results and it is at 121-87-4 (removed pushes). Now, this is a crapload of games (11 days worth is all), but 58.17% isn't bad. I have only been putting $10 bets per game, so it is a very low yield, but I haven't lost anything, only gained. What I plan to do is take 35% of my bankroll (using this number for a full week) and divide that over the amount of games for each day that are over the 60% consensus. With 20 games in a day and a $2k bankroll, that would be 700/20, making it $35 per game. I would need to do a consistent bet though through the week to make up for any losses and hold true to the winning percentage. Again, this would be a really slow method, but I think worth it. 140 games in a week, at $35 a games, with 58% winning, and an average of -110, yields $500 for the week. I find that way better than losing for sure, lmao.
Thoughts? Rip me if you want, that is fine, cause I'm just spitballing here. I would upload my spreadsheet, but I'm not sure if I can. I tracked NBA O/U and ATS this way, and CBB ATS and neither of those work out like this.