[Big Bear]

It almost seems a bit too easy.

[stevek173]

Yes.

[sourtwist]

I am unable to bet against him in this spot

[TheMoneyShot]

Ever heard of someone blitzing you on offense? That's what KC will do to New England.

Only way NE has a chance... matching KC TD for TD.

[sourtwist]

Ever heard of someone blitzing you on offense? That's what KC will do to New England.

Only way NE has a chance... matching KC TD for TD.

Well, we know they can score

[TheMoneyShot]

Well, we know they can score

Going to be interesting to see what happens in COLD WEATHER. I'm curious to see how high the score could actually go.

You don't see that many shootouts in the cold. What's the highest scoring game for a 11 degree temp?

Scheduled forecast:

High of 11 Degrees. UNREAL.

[sourtwist]

I think the cold helps the NE style of play

Damn thats cold tho

[TheMoneyShot]

I didn't realize it was going to be that cold. No wonder the O/U dropped from 58 to 55.

[castlegreyskull]

I am a lifelong, diehard Chiefs fan and I will tell you right now they aren't going to win.

[jjgold]

Kansas City is a powerhouse Brady’s toughest challenge of all times

[stevek173]

Of all times?

Tougher than the teams that already beat him?

[chico2663]

i can't see n.e. winning if kc plays as well as they did last game. Tom is a timing qb so just get in the face of receivers. Shouldn't have to worry about the long pass.

[ans61201]

Were also telling you Tommy has to go on the road

[JIBBBY]

Certainly seems to be bad for your health when you bet against Tommy and the Pats in the playoffs.. I can't argue this logic..

KC and young Mahones could be in trouble. Tom gonna shred and pick apart that suspect KC defense.

[The Kraken]

Like Brady, Bellicek and Gronk to ffigure this out, especially now that they have a decent running game. The weather does not favor Kc in this game

[KingKolzig]

getting colder. chance of negative temps. total could settle at 51

[Snowball]

Kansas City is a powerhouse Brady’s toughest challenge of all times

nah

[shocka1212]

Certainly seems to be bad for your health when you bet against Big Bill and the Pats in the playoffs.. I can't argue this logic..

KC and young Mahones could be in trouble. Bellichick gonna shred and pick apart that suspect KC offense.

fixed it for you

[JIBBBY]

fixed it for you

Billy and his system of play for sure works.. Fixed correctly I agree..

Reminds me of Pop in the NBA.. Coaches with systems that work with about any player you bring, just plug em in and they perform it seems like in each well run system of play..

Billy is the best coach in football today I believe, Pop is also the best coach in the NBA still today.. Is what it is as both coaches always produce winning teams and seasons.

[KVB]

You don't see that many shootouts in the cold. What's the highest scoring game for a 11 degree temp?

Scheduled forecast:

High of 11 Degrees. UNREAL.

That's just the high.

I'm seeing 8 or 9 degrees.

Cold weather does not have an impact on scoring like many believe.

Cold weather will most definitely have an impact on turnovers, increasing them.

The market tends to exaggerate the line drop for Totals in cold games, it goes to far. But it doesn't go to far for every game. Each game must be capped.

Going back nearly 15 years, for games from 0-10 degrees I gave the Total bets at 11-11, 50%. Expanding that number to games with 0-20 degrees, I get the Totals bets at 47-47...the same 50%.

When it comes to the playoffs alone, it's the same exact 50% for both categories.

You have to pick the spot for sure.

Now, for scoring, here's a breakdown showing scoring, overall, isn't affected by temperature.

If anything, it goes down in the hotter games...



There are older studies that disagree, but those do tend to not include recent years.

[BigJay]

Tom has obviously aged better than Farve did but I’ll never forget that 2007 conference title game in GB. Temp -1, wind chill -23. I needed GB money line vs NYG to close out a 3k parlay in Vegas. Couldn’t believe how cold and uncomfortable Farve looked. Had previously been the master in games like that. It was like he aged 10-15 years during that game.

Talk of a potential artic blast in KC sat eve/Sunday. I’d love to see those conditions again. I think advantage would go to the much younger QB.

[shocka1212]

Tom has obviously aged better than Farve did but I’ll never forget that 2007 conference title game in GB. Temp -1, wind chill -23. I needed GB money line vs NYG to close out a 3k parlay in Vegas. Couldn’t believe how cold and uncomfortable Farve looked. Had previously been the master in games like that. It was like he aged 10-15 years during that game.

Talk of a potential artic blast in KC sat eve/Sunday. I’d love to see those conditions again. I think advantage would go to the much younger QB.

objectively, yes. Have to account for the fact that its a conference championship and Andy Reid is a Fuktard in tight spots where as his counterpart here sort of lives for them.

[The Giant]

Who hates frigid, cold temperatures more: old people or black people?

When you uncover this riddle you'll be able to figure out the winner of the AFC Championship Game.

[BankrBIG]

LOL, dont even compare Patriots to Colts. This is not Manning's Colt, they're weak as heck.

[sweethook]

amd in the weather - this game is now 50/50

[pavyracer]

The crowd will be a factor. If the refs favor Brady then Andy Reid will unleash the snowballs.

[GWags]

First half Chiefs is my play. Billy will make adjustments at half time.

[House]

Of all times?

Tougher than the teams that already beat him?

Brady is 1 and 3 at Arrowhead and the Chiefs have had their number more than any other team in the NFL since Brady has been there .

[House]

First half Chiefs is my play. Billy will make adjustments at half time.

Yup , Chiefs first half ml or -2 and Chiefs -3 for the game .... By the time they make the adjustments it will be to late .. Chiefs by double digits

[JIBBBY]

In on the Patriots.. Extremely hard to bet against them confidently in the playoffs. I wouldn't dare fade the Pats in this spot.

Tommy a savy seasoned vet and knows what to do in these spots..

[Big Bear]

In on the Patriots.. Extremely hard to bet against them confidently in the playoffs. I wouldn't dare fade the Pats in this spot.

Tommy a savy seasoned vet and knows what to do in these spots..

True

[Horse Player]

If the same O-line shows up for the Pats as last week, this one will be over at halftime.

[TheMoneyShot]

Who hates frigid, cold temperatures more: old people or black people?

When you uncover this riddle you'll be able to figure out the winner of the AFC Championship Game.

[Seattle Slew]

Another example, look at Peyton Manning in Denver's loss to Baltimore a few years back. His body language was horrible, coming out for the OT flip in an overcoat. He was done. Brady is obviously tougher, but NE's defense is not any good. They had 2 good games last year against bad offenses (Jax and Tenn.), then got shredded in the Super Bowl. The DC already has his foot out the door for Miami.

Tom has obviously aged better than Farve did but I’ll never forget that 2007 conference title game in GB. Temp -1, wind chill -23. I needed GB money line vs NYG to close out a 3k parlay in Vegas. Couldn’t believe how cold and uncomfortable Farve looked. Had previously been the master in games like that. It was like he aged 10-15 years during that game.

Talk of a potential artic blast in KC sat eve/Sunday. I’d love to see those conditions again. I think advantage would go to the much younger QB.

[kufan11]

My opinion is that the Chiefs will win, because 1) Brady is 41 and hasnt been that great this year 2) Gronk hasnt been good this year either 3) Edelman hasnt been that great this year 4) Chiefs are at home 5) chiefs have better playmakers 6) chiefs have good pass rushers 7) Mahomes 8) Mahomes 9) Mahomes 10) Mahomes