would you take the Rockets tonight -1 -2 -3 -4 -5 -6 -7 -8 -9 -10 -11
would you take the NEts at +1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
and where do those 2 numbers meet and that is your fair line
like for me I would take the Rockets up to -4 and I would take the Nets +7, I have the fair line at 5.5. Now I get that by trying to model a comparable and fair line, I cant say I dont care about the things you use but I dont use those directly they are more indirectly in the line so I have them in my comparable analysis,
Opponent Rating Line Home Away Adjusted Line Guess Net Rest All -6.00 0 Grizzlies -0.45 -6.5 home -6.5 -6.4 Last 4 -6.50 Magic 1.82 -5.5 away -8.5 -6.1 Closest 3 -5.50 Cavaliers 6.60 -14 home -14 -6.8 Direct -7.8 Bucks -8.11 1.5 home 1.5 -6.1 Final -6.0 Nuggets -5.99 -1.5 home -1.5 -6.9 Trailblazers -3.84 2 away -1 -4.3 Warriors -9.85 8 away 5 -4.3 Grizzlies -0.45 -4.5 home -4.5 -4.4 Pelicans -4.31 -3.5 away -6.5 -10.3 Celtics -6.81 0 home 0 -6.3 Grizzlies -0.45 -6.5 home -6.5 -6.4 Magic 1.82 -5.5 away -8.5 -6.1 Trailblazers -3.84 2.0 away -1.0 -4.3
once I have this data I then adjust for Capela and bam I get 5.5 as the fair number
yeah, but what about your bowel movements?