1. 01-07-19 11:56 PM #1
    DJK
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    Who needs capping? Just bet against the public based on Purdum's twit.

    David Payne Purdum's tweets may be the way to go when you see lopsided money on one side at all books in Vegas.

    I'm sure it will be more than 53% winners.

    I know I would have saved a decent amount if I paid closer attention to his tweets.
    Last edited by DJK; 01-08-19 at 12:40 AM.
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  2. 01-08-19 12:30 AM #2
    hotcross
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    fuk me

    are we talking about tweets?
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  3. 01-08-19 12:40 AM #3
    DJK
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    Quote Originally Posted by hotcross View Post
    fuk me

    are we talking about tweets?
    Yes, tweets. Sorry.
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  4. 01-08-19 01:20 AM #4
    DJK
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    Latest tweet from Purdum.

    Basically, it looks like the books in Vegas made a killing in the CFP final except for MGM.

    Line to cash tickets isn’t long at the @BeauBiloxi sportsbook, but I heard MGM books got dinged pretty good by Clemson tonight.
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  5. 01-08-19 01:28 AM #5
    19th Hole
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    David Payne Purdum
    Big bet: @WilliamHillUS just took a $200,000 money-line on Clemson at +190.
    Would pay a net $380,000.
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  6. 01-08-19 01:31 AM #6
    DJK
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    I saw that and I wish I had bigger balls and bet the Clemson ML instead of the spread.

    I would have made $2,180 more.
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  7. 01-08-19 01:39 AM #7
    19th Hole
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    Quote Originally Posted by DJK View Post
    I saw that and I wish I had bigger balls and bet the Clemson ML instead of the spread.
    I would have made $2,180 more.
    ~~~
    Bs careful what you wish for...
    "    Pigs Get Fat. Hogs get Slaughtered"
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  8. 01-08-19 01:49 AM #8
    DJK
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    Quote Originally Posted by 19th Hole View Post
    ~~~
    Bs careful what you wish for...
    "    Pigs Get Fat. Hogs get Slaughtered"
    Yes, I know that greed kills. Whenever I get greedy and add just one or two more teams to my ML parlays and teasers, I end up losing.

    I've somewhat learned to reduce the number of teams and take less payout before placing my final bets. I just need to be more disciplined and do it more often.
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  9. 01-08-19 05:16 AM #9
    jjgold
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    David never made a bet in his life, he does not understand math and sportsbetting


    IT DOES NOT WORK
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  10. 01-08-19 08:13 AM #10
    KiDBaZkiT
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    Quote Originally Posted by 19th Hole View Post
    David Payne Purdum
    Big bet: @WilliamHillUS just took a $200,000 money-line on Clemson at +190.
    Would pay a net $380,000.
    Ass wipe money for William Hill.
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  11. 01-08-19 09:44 AM #11
    DJK
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post

    David never made a bet in his life, he does not understand math and sportsbetting


    IT DOES NOT WORK
    Are you saying betting against the public does not work?

    I am not expecting it to work all the time. Just enough to make a profit if you are consistent with it.

    Everyone on SBR is nervous about their picks if they think everyone else on SBR is taking the same side.

    So, if it's like that and the public money is on the same side, then isn't it a good fade material?

    All I know is that what David reported on ESPN about what Vegas needing came in more often than not and I for one is willing to take a chance and go with whatever Vegas needs as the books lose far less than the bettors.
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