2-4 to open the wildcard weekend after the bad beat in the Seattle game. I think the value is with Dallas at +7 and on the moneyline at +245.
Dallas's offense has been great since the Cooper trade, Cooper has to be doubled and that opens up Beasley in the slot and Dallas deep threat receivers like Gallup, before the Cooper trade teams just doubled Beasley and brought safeties down into the box to stop the run. Dallas is 7-2 since the trade. The 2 losses were to a Tennessee team that stuffed the run and the Colts in an obvious letdown spot after beating the Eagles in overtime.
Dallas has been great since the Cooper trade and Dallas has covered the spread every single time Elliot has run for 100 yards except once against Seattle, and that was before the Cooper trade. The Rams run defense is below average, Donald is great, but the rest of the defensive line is mediocre and the Rams linebackers are horrible against the run.
The Rams offense starts with Gurley, who has had a lot of injuries going back to when he was at Georgia and he's banged up. The rams are 1-2 when Gurley averages less than 4 yards carry and Goff was horrible against a Bears defense that is very similar to the Cowboys defense.
Dallas was tight against the Seahawks, if they lost Garret likely would have been fired and Dak's extension would have been in doubt.Now that Dallas won they get to play with no pressure, they won the division and their first playoff game in 5 year.