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we got games coming up less than 13 hours away from wanderers wellington who u like this week opti
what stands out to me and surprises me line so low is perth sydney over 2.5 only -115. thought it would be a 3 line. both teams score a ton 3 straight overs perth 7 straight over 2.5 for sydney unless im missing something on this game over 2.5 looks very good
Even without these week 12 games being mid week, it seems like a really tricky round to me.Originally Posted by cincinnatikid513
Wanderers haven't lost to Wellington since 2015, in 8 meetings. But they have only managed to beat Mariners and Wellington so far this year. Can't take them at +110.
+260 for the draw seems under the odds to me too.
So I guess by that logic Wellington +240 should be the bet.
I was leaning the Under 2.5 +120 mainly due to Wellington having been so good in defense recently, only giving up 4 goals in their last 6 matches. Wanderers have given up 13 in the same period though. And Wellington have their regular defensive mid fielder out after a red card last game.
Neither team has a star goal scorer to try an obvious to score bet.
I'll probably end up having a late bet on something but only small for interest I think. But really think this match is a pass :\
Tomorrow, Victory +170 @ Adelaide in the early game seems like the pick of the round to me, but that's a drifting price so money must have come for Adelaide since openers
Will bet Toivonen to score. Probably first and anytime.
And Perth +165 v Sydney +165... I thought Perth was a special in this same matchup 3 weeks ago and am stuck with the feeling of just wanting to "stick with red" for another spin. But really can't come up with a lot of good logic to back that. :\ And agree Over 2.5 -115 feels like the books are begging us to be the over for some reason.
I may not have a serious bet on any of these games.
At least MelbCity @ Mariners to complete round 12 next Wednesday shouldn't take too much thinking. 2 and over.
Last edited by Optional; 01-07-19 at 09:53 PM.
Better make actual picks for the record, not that they mean much.
Wellington DNB (PK) +140
Victory +170
Glory DNB -108
like that mel victory pick good price on them tailing also played over sydney perth feels odd to be the line but going with it prob end 1-1
all this guy does is win 3-2 wellington
only had $20 on it so I had a real bet for record, doesn't really count. But I am liking how this is rolling along.
What do you think about all these 3 and 4 day between matches at the moment?
"Lucky" round 13 this coming weekend looks so easy I am starting to fear over confidence.
Every game will be Home win + Over??
Can you find a dog?
i like how they are spreading these games out , gives something to bet on late at night here during the week i remember in past used to be like one friday night game then sat and sun
What do you think about all these 3 and 4 day between matches at the moment?
"Lucky" round 13 this coming weekend looks so easy I am starting to fear over confidence.
Every game will be Home win + Over??
Can you find a dog?
i agree next week does look good for the home teams and the over i'm going with victory tonight and the over against adelaide
Oh yeah, I like it too, but haven't followed A League close enough previous years to know if this is normal and how much it has an effect.
Round 15 is also like week 12 and played over 3 weeks midweek. And that starts next Tuesday.
So we have 6 full weeks, at the height of summer, with half the teams only having 3 or 4 days break each week.
Do you think Adelaide is going to score? Not high on Victory scoring 3 against them at home.
yah u right maybe the over isnt' a good play adelaide shut out at home 3 of last 5 games, really love victory road form 4 wins 1 draw on road 10 goals scored to 5 given up the over 2.5 is juiced pretty high to -140 victory down to +165 on my site i would think by game time victory will be the betting fav maybe +150 adelaid up to +160
It feels like the books put too much value on home field advantage to me.
It's not even really the public doing it most games, as betting takes it where it should go 80% of the time (it feels like)
If I come across a database of opening odds I'll do some analysis.
doesn't look like perth's best lineup in against sydney favor sydney going to play them at pk even worried about the over
I stuck with Perth PK
Adelaide looked in control entire match v Victory.
I didn't end up putting in the big parlay btw, lucky.
hope i get my over at least lol adelaide game 2 early goals ended 2-0 surely perth sydney wouldnt do that to me
Week 13
Friday 3.50am ET
Melbourne City FC -1 +105 v Brisbane Roar
Saturday 1.35 am
Wellington Phoenix -1 -108 v Central Coast Mariners
Saturday 3.50am ET
Melbourne Victory -105 v Newcastle United Jets
Sunday 2.00am ET
Sydney FC -110 v Adelaide United
Sunday 4.00am ET
Perth Glory -1 +125 v Western Sydney Wanderers
Also took MelbCity ML + Ov 2.5 +117 for tonight.
'Nix a little light in midfield for this one with Rufer and Mandi suspended who have both been a big part of this turn around. Means Kopczyński will move into mid (like the Wanderers game and probably Nichols, not a bad combo but the Pole hasn't been great in midfield and was a great fit at the back when there). If it was anyone other than the Mariners I'd be more concerned.
Should get it done though in what might be a very open game. Looks like the Wellington locals are getting behind the team also, I've read ticket sales are very good so that'll be a big boost for the side.
Will tail that City bet for tonight, the Roar will do well to put that midweek implosion behind them to get up for this one. Think I'll sit the rest of the round out looks a little tricky but good to watch on paper, GL.
Mariners have a couple of key mid fielders suspended too. I like Wellington at home on that watered down slick field they like at the moment. I was tossing up the Over 3 at about same odds. Think Phoenix will get that many themselves.
Just bet the overs and fade central coast,
took wellington -1.5 and over 3.5 3-1 4-0 home win against rubbish central coast
I'm not going to make same mistake as last night and add an over bet. Just sticking with the -1 but agree -1.5 probably safe and would have been better.
Mariners dominate first half and lead 2-0 at half time
This not supposed to be the way it goes today.
Penalty Wellington and a red to start 2nd half
Stupid push in back right in front of goal.
Might have a chance yet. Maybe should have taken the Wellington +1.5 -120 at half time.
15 mins into 2nd half, Wellington lead 3-2
wow, insane turnaround
I wasn't amused lol
Now I think we go 4-2
just need 1 more and hit both 4-2 wellington final be nice,15 mins into 2nd half, Wellington lead 3-2
u like the over in victory jets match
Really not sure.
That game smells like anything could happen to me.
Man I wish Wellington would convert one of these chances soon.
Victory/Jets Toivonen First Scorer +525 and Anytime Scorer +150
i don't get those nice prop offerings at my book , kind of wish i just took wellington -1 now instead of -1.5 got greedy small bet over 3 for me like how jets score better on road than at home 5 of 6 road matches they have scored at least 1 goal, victory 3-1 final will work
Victory 3-1 would be awesome thanks
Toivo will surely have at least one of those.
You are welcome to look where I am betting this and give me advice on props.
https://www.neds.com.au/sports/event...0-7fd277a934b9
https://beteasy.com.au/sports-bettin...70649-33710127
i would say bet bobo to score anytime for fc sydney but he's out of the league nowseemed like every game he played though he was scoring goals i thought there would be some goals in this game not liking this 0-0 first half ughh
Both teams looking pretty Vanilla and slow.
Jets always look Vanilla though. Victory making them look better than usual so far.
Not sure if it's just Honda missing or the schedule with mid week matches right now is getting on top of Victory.
the match im looking forward too is adelaide sydney i see goals in this game
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