1. #36
    cincinnatikid513
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    can get perth right now at +155 against roar sunday seems like an unreal line with the form of these 2 clubs surely that line will go down by sunday

  2. #37
    Optional
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    Quote Originally Posted by cincinnatikid513 View Post
    can get perth right now at +155 against roar sunday seems like an unreal line with the form of these 2 clubs surely that line will go down by sunday
    It's weird how often "lock" are dogs in A-League

    It's +160 here.

    Wish it wasn't 5 days away or I'd go allin now.

  3. #38
    cincinnatikid513
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    Quote Originally Posted by Optional View Post
    It's weird how often "lock" are dogs in A-League

    It's +160 here.

    Wish it wasn't 5 days away or I'd go allin now.
    curious where the line ends up by sunday maybe perth +110 only thing worries me would be the draw quite a distance from perth to brisbane traveling

  4. #39
    Optional
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    I think part of the reason is the public over values home advantage in A-League.

    6 of the 10 teams are within 1 hour of each other. Adelaide and wellington is 2.5 hours max from everyone but Perth.

    It's like an North East American league with a couple of Atalantas and an LA thrown in.

    The other reason home field advantage is less in Australia is that traditionally soccer has been divided by ethnically supported teams, not geographically.

    Italians, Croatians, Slavs, Greeks etc support their ethnic team, not local team.

    Whilst Soccer Australia has done all it can to squash that in the last 10 years, it still exists enough to mean in Sydney and Melbourne you dont get the crowd divided by region as much as bettors expect.

    Draws and Home field advantage are less in A-League than most other places.

  5. #40
    Optional
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    Quote Originally Posted by cincinnatikid513 View Post
    curious where the line ends up by sunday maybe perth +110 only thing worries me would be the draw quite a distance from perth to brisbane traveling
    I'll guess -120 Perth by game time.

    And Perth players more used to travel as they have to do it 14 times per season.

    Everyone else only has to do that big trip twice maximum.

  6. #41
    jjgold
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    Optional are you good this league?

  7. #42
    cincinnatikid513
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    Quote Originally Posted by Optional View Post
    I'll guess -120 Perth by game time.

    And Perth players more used to travel as they have to do it 14 times per season.

    Everyone else only has to do that big trip twice maximum.
    if the line is going to move that much would feel silly not to play some at +155 going to put in a wager today perth for sundays match they get 2 extra days rest brisbane play wed then a quick turn around have to play the in form team who plays great on the road at those odds

  8. #43
    cincinnatikid513
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    optional see what kind of pull you have around here to get australia a league lines in the SBR Sportsbook

  9. #44
    Optional
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    Quote Originally Posted by cincinnatikid513 View Post

    if the line is going to move that much would feel silly not to play some at +155 going to put in a wager today perth for sundays match they get 2 extra days rest brisbane play wed then a quick turn around have to play the in form team who plays great on the road at those odds
    -120 might be a bit ambitious really. You will probably be closer with the +110 guess.

    Quote Originally Posted by cincinnatikid513 View Post
    optional see what kind of pull you have around here to get australia a league lines in the SBR Sportsbook
    Already asked



    Easy winner for Melb City today.

    Also like them +105 to beat Jets next game on Saturday a lot.

  10. #45
    Optional
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    Wed 3:50am Newcastle -110 ML v Brisbane


    Week 11 games

    Fri 3:50am Sydney FC (-1.75) +105 v Central Coast

    Sat 1:35am Adelaide -115 v Wellington

    Sat 3:50am Melb Victory +110 @ West Sydney Wanderers

    Sun 1:00am Melb City +105 v Newcastle

    Sun 3:00am Perth +160 @ Brisbane



    Some danger of a draw in both Saturday matches.
    Last edited by Optional; 01-01-19 at 06:05 AM.

  11. #46
    Optional
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    Quote Originally Posted by Optional View Post
    Ugh. It does look like an easy one on paper I guess.

    I thought Jets looked lame at home v Glory 3 weeks back, struggled to put Mariners away in local derby and then lose to Adelaide at home this week. When Adelaide didnt really play too well.

    Nothing much changed about them in those 3 games that I noticed, and i watched all of them.
    Quote Originally Posted by Optional View Post
    Wed 3:50am Newcastle -110 ML v Brisbane
    Newcastle 2 - Brisbane 2


    That feeling you have when you know it's a trap line but still bet it anyway

  12. #47
    cincinnatikid513
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    nice one on sydney match have a feeling bookies lost some dough as most had to play sydney with the over melb city odds still holding strong at +105 perth have come down a bit from opening line seeing +137 right now

  13. #48
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    Quote Originally Posted by cincinnatikid513 View Post
    nice one on sydney match have a feeling bookies lost some dough as most had to play sydney with the over melb city odds still holding strong at +105 perth have come down a bit from opening line seeing +137 right now
    Yeah much better way to start the round proper.

    Not sure about line movement either but still like City at home to soundly beat the Jets. Don't think I care too much about it as far as affecting picks anyway. Just to get best odds.

    Gut is telling me that Adelaide bet might not be good. Was thinking about an Over might be good addon but not really sure how these two will matchup. Both seem to be favoring a defensive and counter attack style in games i have seen.

    Liking Victory to beat Wanderers still though. Honda still not in for Victory but they get Neidermeier back and Wanderers have Risdon out of the D playing for Australia in Asia Cup.

    What are you on for tomorrows games?

  14. #49
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    Quote Originally Posted by Optional View Post
    Yeah much better way to start the round proper.

    Not sure about line movement either but still like City at home to soundly beat the Jets. Don't think I care too much about it as far as affecting picks anyway. Just to get best odds.

    Gut is telling me that Adelaide bet might not be good. Was thinking about an Over might be good addon but not really sure how these two will matchup. Both seem to be favoring a defensive and counter attack style in games i have seen.

    Liking Victory to beat Wanderers still though. Honda still not in for Victory but they get Neidermeier back and Wanderers have Risdon out of the D playing for Australia in Asia Cup.

    What are you on for tomorrows games?
    adelaide game looks tough wellingon unbeaten last 5 maybe a slight lean to the over but that looks like the worst game left out of the 4 to bet agree with you on mel victory looks like solid play also over in that game, then on sunday like mel city and perth

  15. #50
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  16. #51
    cincinnatikid513
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    does anybody score in australia, looking for a goal been waiting 2 hours plus now

  17. #52
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    thank u mel victory

  18. #53
    Optional
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    Quote Originally Posted by cincinnatikid513 View Post
    does anybody score in australia, looking for a goal been waiting 2 hours plus now
    Usually!

    Glad I layed off that one tonight.

    That's their 4th draw in last 7 head to heads actually. In a league that averages just 12% draws overall.


    Quote Originally Posted by cincinnatikid513 View Post
    thank u mel victory


    We should be betting Toivenon to score every week. Especially whilst Honda still out.



    Tomorrow the big day!!!! Looking forward to those games all week

  19. #54
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    Quote Originally Posted by Optional View Post
    Usually!

    Glad I layed off that one tonight.

    That's their 4th draw in last 7 head to heads actually. In a league that averages just 12% draws overall.






    We should be betting Toivenon to score every week. Especially whilst Honda still out.



    Tomorrow the big day!!!! Looking forward to those games all week
    yup a little city perth double would be a nice way end the week

  20. #55
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    Quote Originally Posted by cincinnatikid513 View Post

    yup a little city perth double would be a nice way end the week


    If they both win I'll end up about +30u for the round.

  21. #56
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    Quote Originally Posted by Optional View Post


    If they both win I'll end up about +30u for the round.
    like it, keep posting ur australia a league picks

  22. #57
    Deenoz
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    i was surprised by Glorys odds aswell. just got them @2.34.
    almost full strength just missing Chris Ikonomidis.
    should still beat Brisbane.

  23. #58
    franz555
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    Melb City and Perth look like $ ( Took the over 2.5 in the later game )

    BOL Optional

    Go AUSSIES Go

  24. #59
    cincinnatikid513
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    1 down 1 to go let's go perth

  25. #60
    funnyb25
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  26. #61
    cincinnatikid513
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    this was not expected 2-0 roar

  27. #62
    cincinnatikid513
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    2-2 with 10 mins to go

  28. #63
    cincinnatikid513
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    WOW

  29. #64
    cincinnatikid513
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    that was turn of events 2-0 brisbane to 2-4 perth


    nice week opti u crushed it



  30. #65
    Optional
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    wow, just walked in later than epcted afetr family event here today.

    Looking at box scores I would have been sweating these all night so maybe a good thing


    WOO HOO. Picked up biggest winning weekend in about 6 months.

    Roll on A-League I love you

  31. #66
    Optional
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    Quote Originally Posted by cincinnatikid513 View Post
    2-2 with 10 mins to go
    That's where i walked in and nearly shat!

  32. #67
    Optional
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    Round 9: 2- 3
    Round 10: 4-1
    Round 11: 4-1
    Round 12: 0-1

    Overall I am 28 normal 1u bets in profit from it in the last 3 weeks.

    And will pick up another 3.5 units if Australia beats Jordon in Asia cup tonight, as I parlayed them with Syd/MelC/Glory.

    Think this learn the A-League plan is working out ok so far

  33. #68
    cincinnatikid513
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    Quote Originally Posted by Optional View Post
    Round 9: 2- 3
    Round 10: 4-1
    Round 11: 4-1
    Round 12: 0-1

    Overall I am 28 normal 1u bets in profit from it in the last 3 weeks.

    And will pick up another 3.5 units if Australia beats Jordon in Asia cup tonight, as I parlayed them with Syd/MelC/Glory.

    Think this learn the A-League plan is working out ok so far
    nice, keep it up, i'm starting to really like a league only 10 teams so easier to keep track of , some good games next week perth sydney re match

  34. #69
    5mike5
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  35. #70
    MorganSouss
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    Thank you for the winners. I remember when I started betting I really enjoyed. Australia's lower leagues (regional I believe), always a bunch goals.

    Happy to see they are still playing positive football there, even at top level

    Good luck going forward.

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