Most books held off on putting out a line until after the Eagles defeated the Rams Sunday night. When they finally released it, most shops went with a Pk’em (a few had Hou -1.5 before quickly moving) which appeared to have attracted plenty of Eagles action as the line has since moved to Philly -2.5.
The angle is simple: much like last year, the Eagles are rallying behind Nick Foles. Super Bowl champs, pride, Foles magic, etc. It has all led to action being placed on the Eagles. I’ve always believed the public is more inclined to bet a short fave over a short dog. You make the Eagles less than a field goal favorite, and it’s going to attract plenty of public money.
The general consensus is that books are tipping their hand - by making Philadelphia a favorite despite their season long struggles, they are telling us they too believe in the Eagles. However I don’t quite buy into this. Houston should absolutely be favored here, albeit by less than a field goal. By making Philly a favorite, I think books are attempting to rope in action on the Eagles and it certainly appears to be working.
I haven’t made a play here yet. Can the Eagles win? Absolutely. But there are so many factors working against them. I’m more inclined to believe they spilled their bucket Sunday night and don’t have much left in the tank. Let’s not forget, the Rams this past week and Cowboys in the week before won the time of possession battle. With cross country travel, I have to imagine this Eagles team is just about spent.
Anyways, that’s my midweek take on this game.
EDIT:
Texans +2.5 -110 (5x); ML +120 (2x)
Texans 1H ML +110 (1x)
Not going to wait on this. As much as my heart wants the Eagles to make a run, my head is telling me Houston wins this game. Simply too many factors working against the Eagles.