[ThaTopMoron]

First one hit easy with Pats -10 vs Colts (faded my own team, i knew them and the situation and won)

Tried a second one in baseball during playoffs (not my strong suit) with the brewers dodgers game and got burned by the Dodgers who got lucky with some HR that night.

I've waited over 5 weeks to post one again.
Time to get back to winning. Or else the body-bag plays will end up in a trash bag themselves... never to be seen again.


I'm once again fading one of the teams that I know best in sports.

The play is Michigan -3 vs North Carolina

Let's see how long UNC stays in the game before Michigan turns up the pressure and then turns defense into instant, easy offense.

Let's see how long it takes Roy to call a timeout to stop the bleeding. He likes to let his guys "figure it out themselves on the court" before he finally steps in. He does it all the time. You can't do that with these young players. When he waits too long and then finally stops play and UNC is down 14 after being down 1 just minutes earlier... they already feel beaten. They will play hurried, rushed offense and end up with bad shots/forced shots and turnovers... and the deficit my just continue to grow as Roy continues to tell them to play faster... as the other team grows more confident by the second on offense.

I've seen this story time and time again from UNC when playing great defensive teams. The script for this young Carolina team is already written for tonight.

The only thing that can keep them in it is if someone goes off and scores 30+... that was the only thing that kept UNC close to Texas (only L for UNC so far) in the 2nd half. They still lost by 3 and that was with someone hitting a late 3 with 5 seconds to go down 5 and then Texas going 1/2 from the FT line.

Michigan -3

[Chi_archie]

okay

[ThaTopMoron]

okay

would you enjoy a post that said nothing besides I have 100 units of air on Michigan -3 so that it felt more like a typical SBR pt post???


game starts soon...

[ThaTopMoron]

17-2 run by Michigan after a hot start for UNC for a 21-11 lead... which Michigan erased with a 11-0 run

23-28 now



It's like watching exactly what I saw happening unfold right before my eyes

instead of calling a timeout... Roy has his hands on his head and he's screaming

[Slipknot26]

I noticed he did exactly that , arms crossed like WTF is going on , just getting eat alive on the first night run .

[ThaTopMoron]

I noticed he did exactly that , arms crossed like WTF is going on , just getting eat alive on the first night run .

Yup
I've been watching Roy coach the Heels since he was hired. I still love him tho, 4 national title games and with 3 wins and 1 epic loss that came after having an epic comeback from being down 10 to Nova in 16. He gets enough wins vs Duke to keep the fans happy as well.

[Housemoney]

On UNC, if they lose it should be close.

[ThaTopMoron]

On UNC, if they lose it should be close.

Coby may keep them in it late if he has to... he did that in the Texas loss. He's holding them together right now while Michigan is a little cold again.

[ThaTopMoron]

these teams really struggling to hit the first half over

[ThaTopMoron]

michigan up 39-35 after trailing 11-21

28 to 14 run... doubled them up

run started for Michigan when they picked up the effort on defense... leading to offense and a couple wide open 3's on the 11-0 run

game going exactly like i envisioned so far

perfect halftime line... UNC Michigan probably a PK at half

74 pts scored in a game that has a game total of 148.... books almost spot on

[ThaTopMoron]

Michigan -1 2nd half has -119 juice on BM right now


edit: now it went back to -1 -110

[Ph q all]

Excellent analysis thus far. Bring this one home kid!

[2daBank]

On this one too, think we in good shape here, once they figured out heels pace they pretty much took over late in the half.

[ThaTopMoron]

Michigan has hit a couple 3's and all UNC does is go faster and faster after each make by Michigan... playing hurried and frantic like i expected which just leads to quick misses on offense and even more open shots on the other end

Michigan now -745 Live ML

-9 live spread

[ThaTopMoron]

On this one too, think we in good shape here, once they figured out heels pace they pretty much took over late in the half.

not surprised you picked the correct side, win or lose

[2daBank]

Michigan has hit a couple 3's and all UNC does is go faster and faster after each make by Michigan... playing hurried and frantic like i expected which just leads to quick misses on offense and even more open shots on the other end

Michigan now -745 Live ML

-9 live spread

If anyone wasn’t sure before game started I thought was pretty damn obvious at half and gm was still close enough to get decent second half line id guess (didn’t look since I was on full gm -3 as well).,

[ThaTopMoron]

If anyone wasn’t sure before game started I thought was pretty damn obvious at half and gm was still close enough to get decent second half line id guess (didn’t look since I was on full gm -3 as well).,

yep. they had all momentum. i forgot to mention that Michigan lost @UNC last year by a good margin. Kind of a revenge game even though UNC has a new team minus Maye. But I'm sure Michigan players remember the double digit L

[ThaTopMoron]

Michigan is on a 47-21 run since being down 11-21

[ThaTopMoron]

Michigan up 20...TIME TO GET THE BODY BAGS FOR UNC

[2daBank]

yep. they had all momentum. i forgot to mention that Michigan lost @UNC last year by a good margin. Kind of a revenge game even though UNC has a new team minus Maye. But I'm sure Michigan players remember the double digit L

I looked at the nova gm earlier in season as Michigan’s big revenge gm but yea that little fact unc whipped them last year wasn’t lost on me.

Michigan looks great this season. I really like Nebraska too. Big 10 strong.

[ThaTopMoron]

fading a team you know and love is a business decision when it comes to gambling

a tough one

not many teams can do this to UNC


Michigan not only covered -3... they went up by as many as 22 and won by 17. Michigan even hit the final shot of the game to get the total from 148 to 151 to cash bets for full game OVER backers

Body-Bag plays now 2-1 and back on track. I put the pressure on myself to win this one or retire them.

Congrats to anyone who had Michigan tonight!

[jolyolyolyman]

Didn’t have it, but loved the thread and commentary. Good stuff man! Keep em coming

[jjgold]

good call

Michigan one of top coached teams in America

[SEAHAWKHARRY]

Great call

[Housemoney]

Nice call, I took a beating last night

[swordsandtequila]

Yup
I've been watching Roy coach the Heels since he was hired. I still love him tho, 4 national title games and with 3 wins and 1 epic loss that came after having an epic comeback from being down 10 to Nova in 16. He gets enough wins vs Duke to keep the fans happy as well.

Pretty much sums up the feelings of 'Heels fans everywhere. Can't argue with Championships, but in the moment the timeout issues are maddening.

[gauchojake]

When do we get a sweep the leg play??? Nice call btw

[Grivas_Digeni]

Retired 10-15-2018?

fading a team you know and love is a business decision when it comes to gambling

a tough one

not many teams can do this to UNC


Michigan not only covered -3... they went up by as many as 22 and won by 17. Michigan even hit the final shot of the game to get the total from 148 to 151 to cash bets for full game OVER backers

Body-Bag plays now 2-1 and back on track. I put the pressure on myself to win this one or retire them.

Congrats to anyone who had Michigan tonight!

[ThaTopMoron]

Didn’t have it, but loved the thread and commentary. Good stuff man! Keep em coming

good callMichigan one of top coached teams in America

Great call

Nice call, I took a beating last night

When do we get a sweep the leg play??? Nice call btw

Retired 10-15-2018?

thanks guys

you'll get it back Housemoney

yeah, Grivas... I didn't stay retired for long

[Grits n' Gravy]

Congrats!

[19th Hole]

In The Bag!



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