1. #36
    Fire in da hole
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    Tailing for 1k

    gets get this biach

  2. #37
    AlgoLady
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    Quote Originally Posted by Golden fleece View Post
    Oh I agree man. Everyone loves bad teams in certain spots cuz of the "due factor". I am not excluded but i try my best to avoid these fallacies as much as possible these days

    The Kings are basically like the wizards in he nba right now. Everyone is looking for the right spot where they snap out of it and put together a good game. It actually finally worked for wizard backers last night so sometimes it is warranted and you can kinda make that case for the kings tonight schedule wise.... but im with ya on Leafs. They are much better rated team here. I like our odds
    Not really the "due factor" there is a reason 75% of people are pounding Toronto ML and its not budging usually that's not a good sign just like last night the best team in hockey the Predators 70% of the money was on Preds and for the first time all year the line went the opposite way against a average at best team in the Ducks and you seen what happen Ducks won in a S/O and outplayed them almost the whole game. Not saying it happens every time but usually if it's to good to be true bet the opposite way.

  3. #38
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    Quote Originally Posted by AlgoLady View Post
    Not really the "due factor" there is a reason 75% of people are pounding Toronto ML and its not budging usually that's not a good sign just like last night the best team in hockey the Predators 70% of the money was on Preds and for the first time all year the line went the opposite way against a average at best team in the Ducks and you seen what happen Ducks won in a S/O and outplayed them almost the whole game. Not saying it happens every time but usually if it's to good to be true bet the opposite way.
    I get what you are saying but I think that Anaheim is much closer in terms of talent to Nashville than the Kings are compared to the Leafs. The Leafs> Kings talent/ability gap is much greater.

    Anaheim could at least skate with Nashville. The Kings are too slow to keep up with Toronto.

  4. #39
    canepole
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    Quote Originally Posted by icon View Post
    Toronto Maple Leafs -125.
    This line is way off. I mean by at least 50 cents.
    Toronto should be -180.
    I would bet my entire existence that this line moves a ton and that TORONTO -125 or anything close to it will not be available come game time Tuesday night.
    Leafs rested and ready to go after getting drubbed by the Bruins Sat night in the 2nd game of a B2B. Toronto can and does score in bunches, especially on the road. Kings are now old/slow and will have a very hard time keeping up with Leafs youth/speed.
    LA can't score and are now down to their 3rd goaltender as their top 2 goalies are out.
    Leafs absolutely roll in this game.
    Fk it, I'm in. Don't know shet about hockey here in Louisiana..Don't they play on horseback??

  5. #40
    nyplayer33
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    Budja in goal kings... line was 137 heritage back to 125...the difference in these teams for tonight is a coin flip

  6. #41
    ikid2groove415
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    The Los Angeles Kings are:
    5-16 in their last 21 overall
    4-9 in their last 13 home games
    1-5 in their last six games against teams with winning percentages over .600
    The Toronto Maple Leafs are:
    6-1 in their last seven road games
    12-4 in their last 16 games against the Western Conference
    16-7 in their last 23 games against teams with losing records

    And of course when everyone leans 1 side? You often know what Happens- bet accordingly

  7. #42
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    Quote Originally Posted by nyplayer33 View Post
    Budja in goal kings... line was 137 heritage back to 125...the difference in these teams for tonight is a coin flip
    Lol, no. Not even close. This is more like the Jets vs the Patriots. Could the Jets win? Technically yes.

    Budaj? Hes washed up and unwanted, he lucked out that both LA goalies got injured and a spot opened up for him.

  8. #43
    ikid2groove415
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    Bol op

  9. #44
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    Quote Originally Posted by ikid2groove415 View Post
    The Los Angeles Kings are:
    5-16 in their last 21 overall
    4-9 in their last 13 home games
    1-5 in their last six games against teams with winning percentages over .600
    The Toronto Maple Leafs are:
    6-1 in their last seven road games
    12-4 in their last 16 games against the Western Conference
    16-7 in their last 23 games against teams with losing records

    And of course when everyone leans 1 side? You often know what Happens- bet accordingly
    I hear ya and understand why some might be hesitant. Yes alot of heavy leans have gone up in flames but not all of them and certainly none of my big picks (lol).

    Fear not! Bet more! (on Toronto)

  10. #45
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    The main reason I started this thread was to inform my fellow posters that this is a solid bet and that the moneyline the books offered was very generous.

    For the record I'm all in on this game, as in I have no more money in my gambling budget (bankroll) this month if it loses. My Pinnacle balance is at stake. I don't think I'm nuts.

  11. #46
    Golden fleece
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    Quote Originally Posted by AlgoLady View Post
    Not really the "due factor" there is a reason 75% of people are pounding Toronto ML and its not budging usually that's not a good sign just like last night the best team in hockey the Predators 70% of the money was on Preds and for the first time all year the line went the opposite way against a average at best team in the Ducks and you seen what happen Ducks won in a S/O and outplayed them almost the whole game. Not saying it happens every time but usually if it's to good to be true bet the opposite way.
    I know what you're saying. There is certianly some truth there from some observations ive seen in the past

    However, I never ever care what other people are doing when I make a wager. Its completely irrelavant to me what 50%, 75% or 90% are out there doing. That would jus cause 2nd guessing shit and i aint playin that way

    Its wins or lessons for me. Thats it

  12. #47
    ikid2groove415
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    Leafs are playing without there best player Matthews - is Anderson goaltending tonight?

  13. #48
    ikid2groove415
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    All in bets should wait for important playoff games - this is still only 1 of 82 regular season games - never go all in on hockey/Nba regular season games - Football is different - regular season games are more critical - because there’s only 16 or college 12-11 games

  14. #49
    AlgoLady
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    Quote Originally Posted by Golden fleece View Post
    I know what you're saying. There is certianly some truth there from some observations ive seen in the past

    However, I never ever care what other people are doing when I make a wager. Its completely irrelavant to me what 50%, 75% or 90% are out there doing. That would jus cause 2nd guessing shit and i aint playin that way

    Its wins or lessons for me. Thats it

    I agree if you don't have some kind of system or model your going off of your basically throwing darts anyway no matter what sport your betting. I could care in the least what someone else bets as long as i'm winning that's all I care about. Good luck icon on your all in.

  15. #50
    Slipknot26
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    Quote Originally Posted by icon View Post
    The main reason I started this thread was to inform my fellow posters that this is a solid bet and that the moneyline the books offered was very generous.

    For the record I'm all in on this game, as in I have no more money in my gambling budget (bankroll) this month if it loses. My Pinnacle balance is at stake. I don't think I'm nuts.
    No reason in stats , counter-stats now . It's a done deal , bet is made , nothing is changing .
    Best of luck , hope you hit it

  16. #51
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by canepole View Post
    Fk it, I'm in. Don't know shet about hockey here in Louisiana..Don't they play on horseback??
    Lmfao. Apparently LSU is pretty decent at hoops this year (believe it when i see it) over looks pretty solid tonight vs memphis.

  17. #52
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    Just reading up on Budaj. He was put on waivers in Sept and cleared so he was sent to the minors.

    At one time a few years ago Budaj used to be the Kings goto guy.

    Clearing waivers = no other NHL team wanted him. They all took a pass.

  18. #53
    hugh_morris
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    It must be that ace goalie for LA....n

  19. #54
    pilebuck13
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    I wish you luck man

  20. #55
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    Quote Originally Posted by hugh_morris View Post
    It must be that ace goalie for LA....n
    Yeah I don't see Budaj beating Anderson. I'm just stunned that this line isn't -150 yet.

    Quote Originally Posted by pilebuck13 View Post
    I wish you luck man
    cheers!

  21. #56
    pilebuck13
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    Well idk of it makes you feel better but bovada has it at -150 lol

  22. #57
    nyplayer33
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    137 heritage....close game...I'd lean kings

  23. #58
    jjgold
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    here we go

    I tailed

    It better win

  24. #59
    cincinnatikid513
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    bet my bankroll on this hope it wins baby needs a new pair of shoes


    Nov 13 10:01 PM NHL STRAIGHT BET
    [15] TORONTO -1½+192
    31.00 / 59.52

  25. #60
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    Quote Originally Posted by nyplayer33 View Post
    137 heritage....close game...I'd lean kings

    Prediction:

    Final score:

    Leafs 6 Kings 1

  26. #61
    gauchojake
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    here we go

    I tailed

    It better win
    it starts in 20 minutes jj

    are you ready????

    figs? oriole cookies??? cole cuts????

  27. #62
    dawg58kahn
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    boom. one up already. sensational pp goal.

  28. #63
    Fire in da hole
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    2-0 already counting my money

    nice job OP

  29. #64
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    Quote Originally Posted by Fire in da hole View Post
    2-0 already counting my money

    nice job OP
    Long way to go pal but it should be very clear to anyone that doubted that the Leafs are much faster and more skilled than the Kings. As I write this after 9 minutes played Leafs outshooting Kings 11-0.



    On the power play Toronto skating circles around the Kings.

  30. #65
    pilebuck13
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    Nice call man looks like a runaway train of cash!

  31. #66
    pilebuck13
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    Why the fuk are the leafs -130 up a goal. Icon what’s going on here

  32. #67
    dawg58kahn
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    Quote Originally Posted by pilebuck13 View Post
    Why the fuk are the leafs -130 up a goal. Icon what’s going on here
    -130 lmao. they are -300 dawg on the 2 way ml

  33. #68
    odog11
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    Quote Originally Posted by pilebuck13 View Post
    Nice call man looks like a runaway train of cash!
    Looks can be deceiving. That said still looks good for the Leafs.

    Whats the better play Kings ml +205 or Leafs pl +110? If you HAD to pick one.

  34. #69
    pilebuck13
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    Quote Originally Posted by odog11 View Post
    Looks can be deceiving. That said still looks good for the Leafs.

    Whats the better play Kings ml +205 or Leafs pl +110? If you HAD to pick one.
    I know zero about hockey. I just got a bad line for about 5 minutes I figured it was bad lol... but PL +110 seems low

  35. #70
    FrogHorn
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    Taking the Kings after the 1st period @ +250 because I like looking stupid.

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