1. #1
    444
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    444 NBA picks

    Hey guys I have been tracking my picks since 2013 on mlb and have had a positive return. Not going to throw numbers out there because anybody can do that. I have been tracking NBA the last 3 years and ended up with profit each year as well. Just here to share and track.. Hope this is the right place to post these. I might even post some NHL..problem is I have never tracked my NHL picks so not sure if I am willing to share those yet. Hopefully I can build some rapport here and make you guys some money in the future.

    *Edit: Forgot to mention I'll be posting NFL every week as well.

    All lines are from pinny.



    Today October 30th 2018:

    Miami +4 (1.917)

    Cleveland -4.5 (1.925)

    Detroit +9 (1.934)

    Sacramento +5 (1.97)

    Memphis -1.5 (1.934)

    OKC -2 (1.934)
    Last edited by 444; 11-04-18 at 02:23 AM.

  2. #2
    Clutchut12
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    Im in where so i sign up?

  3. #3
    sheedy17
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    BOL, I hate the idea of ever taking the Cavs, new coach, no love, already loss to Atlanta, just seems like a easy Hawks ML bet

    Everything else bang on

  4. #4
    kidcudi92
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    Comes in not throwing numbers, SBR pro

    This guy is showing class already

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  5. #5
    beavis13
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    Quote Originally Posted by kidcudi92 View Post
    Comes in not throwing numbers, SBR pro

    This guy is showing class already

    Agreed. GL with your wagers 444

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  6. #6
    shocka1212
    [Too Long]
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    Moroni, take notes

  7. #7
    ans61201
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    Hawks suck but I canít justify the Cavs being favored against anyone. Especially without their best player on a depleted roster.

    Also, not sure if this is the norm for you, I know several people who gamble (poker, sports etc) for a living, nba is tough, never met one who has that many picks a day be super profitable long term. Two cents. Good luck.

  8. #8
    beavis13
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    Quote Originally Posted by shocka1212 View Post
    Moroni, take notes

    Fuk off

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  9. #9
    kac23
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    Guys Miami are on b2b and Road game against kemba will not be an eazy one they lost only 1 Home game against bucks after cut over 20 point lead, for me should be +8 game for hornets

  10. #10
    444
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    Thanks for the warm welcome guys. Was expecting to be trolled.

    Tried this many moons ago on a different forum but never kept up with it once I dipped below 60%. Back then I used to think you needed to pick something obscene like 65% to be a successful handicapper LOL. Not going to mention which forum but it starts with "c" and we all now how the people on their troll or become avid followers if you struggle or do really well. Now any ROI above 0 is great. I guess these are simple things you learn as you make your way through this industry.

    Again I'm not promising any numbers or records. Just hoping to track and share some of my picks here. Please for the love of god don't put a lean on your home if I have a week where I absolutely destroy. I can just as easily have a week where I struggle to win any sides. This stuff is tough for anyone. I've had 7-0 days and I've also had plenty of 0-7 days where my mom could have picked better. Feel free to pile on if I have a losing week or month or whatever..that is justified but please do not think I am the nuts if I start off hot. I am not nor will I ever be..heck nor will anyone ever be for a long period of time.

    I am posting the lines because that's how I've been able to keep my ROI over the years where it is. It's an important aspect and I am still learning. I place sides on pinnacle only + I have a bookie that offers 5 cent juice. So I am always getting great lines (could be the difference between a winning capper and loser obv.) I am much better at finding prices for MLB games than I am for NBA..and I need to learn to line shop and beat the closing/opening line to increase my ROI more. These are just things I need to work on because I am basically leaving revenue at the door by not doing them. By getting the best line I mean that I am paying very little juice and you'll never seen me doing -110s.

    Also I have left "feel" at the door a long time ago. I find you can get on much better hot streaks and it's awfully satisfying when you slam a game you are 100% sure of. But to be profitable long term you have to ensure you're beating the line. So I basically create my own spread and if I'm getting some edge compared to the books I'll take that side. Even if I think Kemba might drop 65 on the Heat tonight I am going to be taking the Heat because I think Charlotte should be a 2-3 point fav. I'm sure this is all routine and makes sense for most of you..but I am just trying to explain myself to those who may not get the big picture.

    Good luck guys and thanks again! Hope we have a nice long season and I can't wait till baseball!
    Last edited by 444; 10-30-18 at 06:31 PM.

  11. #11
    444
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    Quote Originally Posted by ans61201 View Post
    Hawks suck but I can’t justify the Cavs being favored against anyone. Especially without their best player on a depleted roster.

    Also, not sure if this is the norm for you, I know several people who gamble (poker, sports etc) for a living, nba is tough, never met one who has that many picks a day be super profitable long term. Two cents. Good luck.

    I don't focus on winning % when it comes to handicapping as much as I do ROI. I think I'd have a better winning % if I bet less games..but If I have the slightest of edge in a sport I try to wager as much as possible to capitalize on the ROI. Average day in MLB I'll have about 7-8 games going so this is normal for me. NBA is obviously less but you can expect me to have anywhere from 30-40% of the card on a regular basis.

  12. #12
    444
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    If I got Miami at +8 today I think it would be one of my lock of the years..regardless of outcome lol.

  13. #13
    444
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    October 31 2018

    Detroit +3 (1.917)

    Indiana Pacers -5.5 (1.934)

    Twolves +6 (1.943)

    Spurs -7 (1.934)

    5-1 YTD





    I'll do weekly numbers to calculate the units along with ROI at the end of the week. Good luck everyone!

  14. #14
    Bcatswin
    Bcats Winning Everywhere
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  15. #15
    jjgold
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    lol another tout

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  16. #16
    ikid2groove415
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    OP any thoughts on GSW vs pelicans?

  17. #17
    444
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    Quote Originally Posted by ikid2groove415 View Post
    OP any thoughts on GSW vs pelicans?
    Your guess would be as good as mine

    Looks like a blackjack hand right now.

  18. #18
    danshan11
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    where did you find detroit at 3?

  19. #19
    ans61201
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    Butler and Teague our for minn.

  20. #20
    444
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    Quote Originally Posted by danshan11 View Post
    where did you find detroit at 3?
    All lines are from pinnacle sports

  21. #21
    444
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    Quote Originally Posted by ans61201 View Post
    Butler and Teague our for minn.
    Yeah line up to 6.5 probably ends up around 7 so let's hope that doesn't bite me in the ass. Wiggins is back..it's the Twolves of old tonight..I'm hoping they play free and easy.

  22. #22
    Clutchut12
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    We wont hear from this guy in another week after his system goes down like the other 2 million posters before him that claimed they were winning bettors.

  23. #23
    Deenoz
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    sweep, nicely done!
    Points Awarded:

    444 gave Deenoz 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  24. #24
    ans61201
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    Good day!

  25. #25
    kidcudi92
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    Quote Originally Posted by Clutchut12 View Post
    We wont hear from this guy in another week after his system goes down like the other 2 million posters before him that claimed they were winning bettors.
    Chill the fukk out for a second
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  26. #26
    Tarboroken
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    A very nice night.
    Nomination(s):
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  27. #27
    jjgold
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    Quote Originally Posted by Clutchut12 View Post
    We wont hear from this guy in another week after his system goes down like the other 2 million posters before him that claimed they were winning bettors.
    of course

    nobody lasts like me and a few others tracking as soon as they start losing

    Pussy boys

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  28. #28
    444
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    Good start. A couple of games were close and could have gone the other way. Best part about a solid 2 days is it gives you wiggle room for the upcoming bath

    November 1st 2018

    Philly -5.5 (1.97)

    Boston -3 (2.01)

    Charlotte -1.5 (1.952)

    Denver -4.5 (1.917)

    Hawks +2.5 (1.934)

    9-1 YTD. Good luck guys

  29. #29
    skinhead
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    celtic oh yeaahhh

  30. #30
    thomorino
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    Quote Originally Posted by shocka1212 View Post
    Moroni, take notes
    Quote Originally Posted by beavis13 View Post

    Fuk off
    Fuk off

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  31. #31
    kingdom
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    Quote Originally Posted by 444 View Post
    Good start. A couple of games were close and could have gone the other way. Best part about a solid 2 days is it gives you wiggle room for the upcoming bath

    November 1st 2018

    Philly -5.5 (1.97)

    Boston -3 (2.01)

    Charlotte -1.5 (1.952)

    Denver -4.5 (1.917)

    Hawks +2.5 (1.934)

    9-1 YTD. Good luck guys
    13-2? damn dude. where you been all my life?

  32. #32
    444
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    November 2nd 2018

    Bulls +8 (1.877)

    Grizzlies +8 (1.909)

    Wiz -3.5 (1.961)

    Magic +3.5 (1.917)

    Dallas -5.5 (1.943)

    12-3 YTD. Good luck guys!
    Last edited by 444; 11-02-18 at 04:25 PM.

  33. #33
    444
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    Yikes forgot to add:

    Dallas -5.5 (1.943)

  34. #34
    betforbread
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    Quote Originally Posted by 444 View Post
    Yikes forgot to add:

    Dallas -5.5 (1.943)
    ???????.Good luck 444

  35. #35
    tokyotuna
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    Gl today

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