Anyone Else playing NBA Overs??

**Hman** · 10-22-18, 08:00 AM

I used to follow and wager the game religiously, but it has turned into a joke the past several years.

**cankid** · 10-22-18, 08:04 AM

quite the scorefest early

**Jayvegas420** · 10-22-18, 08:09 AM

34-10 over just the last week.

**cwnotorious** · 10-22-18, 08:10 AM

Here is the data
2018-19 NBA Season Over/Under Record
Total 39 Games
Over 26 Games
Under 13 Games
Pinnacle lines are used.
Yesterday Over 3, Under 1.
Saturday Over 8, Under 2

**texhooper** · 10-22-18, 08:14 AM

Used to be, just several years ago you had maybe two or three games a night with a total over 200. Wasn’t weird for a total to be in the 180s. Now you never see anything under 200. Tonight nothing under 210

**allnighter** · 10-22-18, 08:25 AM

What would be the cause of this trend?

**Hman** · 10-22-18, 08:27 AM

MJ would average 42 ppg today

**cwnotorious** · 10-22-18, 08:29 AM

Originally posted by allnighter

What would be the cause of this trend?

The 3 pointer and also the new shot clock rule change, plus rules in all sports have been adjusted over the last 15 years to produce a more offensive game. Basically to appeal to fans but the problem is it doesn't always produce a better product on the field

**jjgold** · 10-22-18, 08:53 AM

I’m playing over tonight and the Washington game

**pilebuck13** · 10-22-18, 09:18 AM

Originally posted by jjgold

I’m playing over tonight and the Washington game

Square. Blazers have tremendous defense.....off all the games you pick that one lmao

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-22-18, 09:58 AM

I count 26-12 Over for the season

20-6 Over since Thursday

If you take out 2 elite defensive teams in GS & Boston (both 1-2 Over) then the total is 24-8 (75%) Over! Crazy, but the books always adjust. They just keep moving the totals higher and higher.

I'm a little late to the party on this one but I'm riding with Pacers/TWolves Over 226. Opened up at 221.5. Minnesota is both scoring and allowing 125 points per game!!! Thats like NBA All-Star game defense! The Pacers are also 2-1 Over and put up 132 in their last game.

Pacers 120-114

**Mackballs** · 10-22-18, 10:18 AM

7 games tonight with totals in the 220s. I'm just blindly betting every over for a unit.

**ans61201** · 10-22-18, 10:22 AM

Originally posted by cwnotorious

The 3 pointer and also the new shot clock rule change, plus rules in all sports have been adjusted over the last 15 years to produce a more offensive game. Basically to appeal to fans but the problem is it doesn't always produce a better product on the field

New freedom of movement rule.

Teams are in the bonus 5 minutes into the quarter

**pimike** · 10-22-18, 10:37 AM

Yep good observations

**Slipknot26** · 10-22-18, 10:54 AM

If you take a look , all sports are modifying rules to drive scoring thus interest in TV ratings . Most sports TV ratings are going down , so they have to do something to drive Entertainment to get viewers back . So scoring is just the answer .
College basketball, NBA, NFL (can't touch the QB) , hell even the NHL scoring is up .
Get it while you can because Vegas will adjust to the new style and those early overs become later unders once they adjust those lines in all sports .

**SharpAngles** · 10-22-18, 11:07 AM

Oddsmakers are already adjusting towards the over so it’s time to look at unders. Case in point, tonight’s Memphis @ Utah game opened at 209 and is being bet up to 214.5. Last 10 games between these two going back to 2015 have never gone over 209 and joe public is giving us 5.5 extra points because of this years over trend.

**jjgold** · 10-22-18, 11:22 AM

A good betting nugget for NBA Totals Bettors:

In 39 games, the O/U record is 27-12 this season. Avg. combined score: 226.3

Last season after 39 games:
18-18-3 Avg. combined score: 212.3

**k13** · 10-22-18, 11:43 AM

Originally posted by cwnotorious

The 3 pointer and also the new shot clock rule change, plus rules in all sports have been adjusted over the last 15 years to produce a more offensive game. Basically to appeal to fans but the problem is it doesn't always produce a better product on the field

NHL has not adjusted in that time frame. Scoring got lower.

NBA is a joke, NFL now is too, can't play defense.

**k13** · 10-22-18, 11:44 AM

NHL overs are 54-58....

**LT Profits** · 10-22-18, 11:57 AM

Originally posted by SharpAngles

Oddsmakers are already adjusting towards the over so it’s time to look at unders. Case in point, tonight’s Memphis @ Utah game opened at 209 and is being bet up to 214.5. Last 10 games between these two going back to 2015 have never gone over 209 and joe public is giving us 5.5 extra points because of this years over trend.

The bolded part now becomes irrelevant though. Who knows how many points would have been scored if those games were played by today's rules.

**cwnotorious** · 10-22-18, 12:09 PM

Originally posted by k13

NHL has not adjusted in that time frame. Scoring got lower.

NBA is a joke, NFL now is too, can't play defense.

U may be correct in hock overall but I cannot remember seing totals of 6 and 6.5 even 4-5 years ago

**SharpAngles** · 10-22-18, 12:20 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

The bolded part now becomes irrelevant though. Who knows how many points would have been scored if those games were played by today's rules.

True but it doesn’t change the fact that these teams are always in defensive battles. The average total score for those last 10 is 180. I highly doubt the new rules would give us 30 more points in any of those.

**Slipknot26** · 10-22-18, 12:23 PM

At least someone is paying attention .
NHL , very few 5.5 which was the norm up until now . Today is 6 juiced , large precentage of 6.5 which was unheard a few years back besides a couple of teams .
60%+ is 6.0 now , they've already adjusted .
Pre season they probably got killed , a large percentage was over 6 .

**ans61201** · 10-22-18, 12:44 PM

Originally posted by SharpAngles

True but it doesn’t change the fact that these teams are always in defensive battles. The average total score for those last 10 is 180. I highly doubt the new rules would give us 30 more points in any of those.

We’re seeing totals over 250 routinely and you don’t think 30 can be added to a total. It’s happening multiple times a night.

**lakerboy** · 10-22-18, 12:52 PM

NHL scoring will go down

**stevenash** · 10-22-18, 12:58 PM

Originally posted by 19th Hole

Anyone Else playing NBA Overs??
Average NBA game so far this year (points)226

I've been tracking every game this opening week, Holy Mother of God overs are covering at an alarming rate.
Nobody plays defense, 3 pointers are draining at will, I was wondering when the books will adjust the totals.

One thing fellas, the rule of gravity, what comes up must come down.

**Harry N. Lloyd** · 10-22-18, 02:46 PM

Originally posted by stevenash

I've been tracking every game this opening week, Holy Mother of God overs are covering at an alarming rate.
Nobody plays defense, 3 pointers are draining at will, I was wondering when the books will adjust the totals.

One thing fellas, the rule of gravity, what comes up must come down.

Agreed. The Books will adjust.

**Roscoe_Word** · 10-22-18, 03:44 PM

69% ATS on Overs so far this year. Holy shit!

The books will adjust; but the question is how long will it take them to do so?

I'm thinking the trend might hold till the All-Star break. (although certainly not at 65% ATS)

Perhaps at about a 56%-57% clip. Still time to cash in IMO.

**stevenash** · 10-22-18, 05:28 PM

My boy from UConn Kemba is off to a blazing start.
I saw greatness in him as a junior with the Huskies.

Mr. Calhoun drew up this play to perfection.
Watch the pick, then the step back ankle breaker nothing but net.

**alamo** · 10-23-18, 02:31 AM

Another great night.

I’m starting to do first half overs also

**Roscoe_Word** · 10-23-18, 03:24 AM

Only 44% on Overs for Mon night.

**jjgold** · 10-23-18, 05:40 AM

Its like all star games now

Nobody plays defense ????

**LT Profits** · 10-23-18, 06:09 AM

Originally posted by Roscoe_Word

Only 44% on Overs for Mon night.

Only thing that matters to me is the three I played Monday went 2-1

**danshan11** · 10-23-18, 12:25 PM

Oct for the past few years!
2014 oct
O/U:12-14-0 (-1.04, 46.2%) avg total: 198.8
2016 Oct
O/U:23-22-0 (0.20, 51.1%) avg total: 206.0
2017 oct
O/U:45-57-2 (-1.59, 44.1%) avg total: 211.6
2018 oct
O/U:31-17-0 (6.51, 64.6%) avg total: 219.4