1. 10-22-18 02:11 AM #1
    19th Hole
    19th Hole's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-22-09
    Posts: 17,844
    Betpoints: 10288

    Anyone Else playing NBA Overs??

    Anyone Else playing NBA Overs??
    Average NBA game so far this year (points)226
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  2. 10-22-18 08:00 AM #2
    Hman
    Hman's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-04-17
    Posts: 21,429
    Betpoints: 1222

    I used to follow and wager the game religiously, but it has turned into a joke the past several years.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  3. 10-22-18 08:04 AM #3
    cankid
    cankid's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-22-08
    Posts: 7,103
    Betpoints: 10352

    quite the scorefest early
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  4. 10-22-18 08:09 AM #4
    Jayvegas420
    Vegas Baby!
    Jayvegas420's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-09-11
    Posts: 28,154
    Betpoints: 14709

    34-10 over just the last week.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  5. 10-22-18 08:10 AM #5
    cwnotorious
    cwnotorious's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-13-13
    Posts: 950
    Betpoints: 10757

    Here is the data
    2018-19 NBA Season Over/Under Record
    Total 39 Games
    Over 26 Games
    Under 13 Games
    Pinnacle lines are used.
    Yesterday Over 3, Under 1.
    Saturday Over 8, Under 2
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  6. 10-22-18 08:14 AM #6
    texhooper
    texhooper's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-05-09
    Posts: 9,863
    Betpoints: 7858

    Used to be, just several years ago you had maybe two or three games a night with a total over 200. Wasn’t weird for a total to be in the 180s. Now you never see anything under 200. Tonight nothing under 210
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  7. 10-22-18 08:25 AM #7
    allnighter
    allnighter's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-12-17
    Posts: 708
    Betpoints: 8253

    What would be the cause of this trend?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  8. 10-22-18 08:27 AM #8
    Hman
    Hman's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-04-17
    Posts: 21,429
    Betpoints: 1222

    MJ would average 42 ppg today
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  9. 10-22-18 08:29 AM #9
    cwnotorious
    cwnotorious's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-13-13
    Posts: 950
    Betpoints: 10757

    Quote Originally Posted by allnighter View Post
    What would be the cause of this trend?
    The 3 pointer and also the new shot clock rule change, plus rules in all sports have been adjusted over the last 15 years to produce a more offensive game. Basically to appeal to fans but the problem is it doesn't always produce a better product on the field
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  10. 10-22-18 08:53 AM #10
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    I’m playing over tonight and the Washington game
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  11. 10-22-18 09:18 AM #11
    pilebuck13
    pilebuck13's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-15-15
    Posts: 17,889
    Betpoints: 1717

    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    I’m playing over tonight and the Washington game
    Square. Blazers have tremendous defense.....off all the games you pick that one lmao
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  12. 10-22-18 09:58 AM #12
    Fred The Hammer
    Fred The Hammer's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-13-13
    Posts: 11,496
    Betpoints: 8395

    I count 26-12 Over for the season

    20-6 Over since Thursday

    If you take out 2 elite defensive teams in GS & Boston (both 1-2 Over) then the total is 24-8 (75%) Over! Crazy, but the books always adjust. They just keep moving the totals higher and higher.

    I'm a little late to the party on this one but I'm riding with Pacers/TWolves Over 226. Opened up at 221.5. Minnesota is both scoring and allowing 125 points per game!!! Thats like NBA All-Star game defense! The Pacers are also 2-1 Over and put up 132 in their last game.

    Pacers 120-114
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  13. 10-22-18 10:18 AM #13
    Mackballs
    Mackballs's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-01-16
    Posts: 5,807
    Betpoints: 12393

    7 games tonight with totals in the 220s. I'm just blindly betting every over for a unit.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  14. 10-22-18 10:22 AM #14
    ans61201
    ans61201's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-11-15
    Posts: 3,661
    Betpoints: 4181

    Quote Originally Posted by cwnotorious View Post
    The 3 pointer and also the new shot clock rule change, plus rules in all sports have been adjusted over the last 15 years to produce a more offensive game. Basically to appeal to fans but the problem is it doesn't always produce a better product on the field
    New freedom of movement rule.

    Teams are in the bonus 5 minutes into the quarter
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  15. 10-22-18 10:37 AM #15
    pimike
    SPORTS IS MONEY
    pimike's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-23-08
    Posts: 37,100
    Betpoints: 90326

    Yep good observations
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  16. 10-22-18 10:54 AM #16
    Slipknot26
    Slipknot26's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-17-15
    Posts: 5,046
    Betpoints: 1575

    If you take a look , all sports are modifying rules to drive scoring thus interest in TV ratings . Most sports TV ratings are going down , so they have to do something to drive Entertainment to get viewers back . So scoring is just the answer .
    College basketball, NBA, NFL (can't touch the QB) , hell even the NHL scoring is up .
    Get it while you can because Vegas will adjust to the new style and those early overs become later unders once they adjust those lines in all sports .
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  17. 10-22-18 11:07 AM #17
    SharpAngles
    SharpAngles's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-15-14
    Posts: 9,467
    Betpoints: 1638

    Oddsmakers are already adjusting towards the over so it’s time to look at unders. Case in point, tonight’s Memphis @ Utah game opened at 209 and is being bet up to 214.5. Last 10 games between these two going back to 2015 have never gone over 209 and joe public is giving us 5.5 extra points because of this years over trend.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  18. 10-22-18 11:22 AM #18
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    A good betting nugget for NBA Totals Bettors:


    In 39 games, the O/U record is 27-12 this season. Avg. combined score: 226.3


    Last season after 39 games:
    18-18-3 Avg. combined score: 212.3
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  19. 10-22-18 11:43 AM #19
    k13
    k13's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-16-10
    Posts: 17,537
    Betpoints: 1830

    Quote Originally Posted by cwnotorious View Post
    The 3 pointer and also the new shot clock rule change, plus rules in all sports have been adjusted over the last 15 years to produce a more offensive game. Basically to appeal to fans but the problem is it doesn't always produce a better product on the field
    NHL has not adjusted in that time frame. Scoring got lower.

    NBA is a joke, NFL now is too, can't play defense.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  20. 10-22-18 11:44 AM #20
    k13
    k13's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-16-10
    Posts: 17,537
    Betpoints: 1830

    NHL overs are 54-58....
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  21. 10-22-18 11:57 AM #21
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by SharpAngles View Post
    Oddsmakers are already adjusting towards the over so it’s time to look at unders. Case in point, tonight’s Memphis @ Utah game opened at 209 and is being bet up to 214.5. Last 10 games between these two going back to 2015 have never gone over 209 and joe public is giving us 5.5 extra points because of this years over trend.
    The bolded part now becomes irrelevant though. Who knows how many points would have been scored if those games were played by today's rules.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  22. 10-22-18 12:09 PM #22
    cwnotorious
    cwnotorious's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-13-13
    Posts: 950
    Betpoints: 10757

    Quote Originally Posted by k13 View Post
    NHL has not adjusted in that time frame. Scoring got lower.

    NBA is a joke, NFL now is too, can't play defense.
    U may be correct in hock overall but I cannot remember seing totals of 6 and 6.5 even 4-5 years ago
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  23. 10-22-18 12:20 PM #23
    SharpAngles
    SharpAngles's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-15-14
    Posts: 9,467
    Betpoints: 1638

    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    The bolded part now becomes irrelevant though. Who knows how many points would have been scored if those games were played by today's rules.
    True but it doesn’t change the fact that these teams are always in defensive battles. The average total score for those last 10 is 180. I highly doubt the new rules would give us 30 more points in any of those.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  24. 10-22-18 12:23 PM #24
    Slipknot26
    Slipknot26's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-17-15
    Posts: 5,046
    Betpoints: 1575

    At least someone is paying attention .
    NHL , very few 5.5 which was the norm up until now . Today is 6 juiced , large precentage of 6.5 which was unheard a few years back besides a couple of teams .
    60%+ is 6.0 now , they've already adjusted .
    Pre season they probably got killed , a large percentage was over 6 .
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  25. 10-22-18 12:44 PM #25
    ans61201
    ans61201's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-11-15
    Posts: 3,661
    Betpoints: 4181

    Quote Originally Posted by SharpAngles View Post
    True but it doesn’t change the fact that these teams are always in defensive battles. The average total score for those last 10 is 180. I highly doubt the new rules would give us 30 more points in any of those.
    We’re seeing totals over 250 routinely and you don’t think 30 can be added to a total. It’s happening multiple times a night.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  26. 10-22-18 12:52 PM #26
    lakerboy
    lakerboy's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 04-02-09
    Posts: 94,069
    Betpoints: 7696

    NHL scoring will go down
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  27. 10-22-18 12:58 PM #27
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 62,660
    Betpoints: 32291

    Quote Originally Posted by 19th Hole View Post
    Anyone Else playing NBA Overs??
    Average NBA game so far this year (points)226
    I've been tracking every game this opening week, Holy Mother of God overs are covering at an alarming rate.
    Nobody plays defense, 3 pointers are draining at will, I was wondering when the books will adjust the totals.

    One thing fellas, the rule of gravity, what comes up must come down.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  28. 10-22-18 02:46 PM #28
    Harry N. Lloyd
    Harry N. Lloyd's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-26-08
    Posts: 4,809
    Betpoints: 12914

    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    I've been tracking every game this opening week, Holy Mother of God overs are covering at an alarming rate.
    Nobody plays defense, 3 pointers are draining at will, I was wondering when the books will adjust the totals.



    One thing fellas, the rule of gravity, what comes up must come down.
    Agreed. The Books will adjust.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  29. 10-22-18 03:44 PM #29
    Roscoe_Word
    Roscoe_Word's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-28-12
    Posts: 4,000
    Betpoints: 8667

    69% ATS on Overs so far this year. Holy shit!

    The books will adjust; but the question is how long will it take them to do so?

    I'm thinking the trend might hold till the All-Star break. (although certainly not at 65% ATS)

    Perhaps at about a 56%-57% clip. Still time to cash in IMO.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  30. 10-22-18 05:28 PM #30
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 62,660
    Betpoints: 32291

    My boy from UConn Kemba is off to a blazing start.
    I saw greatness in him as a junior with the Huskies.

    Mr. Calhoun drew up this play to perfection.
    Watch the pick, then the step back ankle breaker nothing but net.

    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  31. 10-23-18 02:31 AM #31
    alamo
    Why R.E.M. and not The Go-Betweens
    alamo's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-21-09
    Posts: 7,131
    Betpoints: 10890

    Another great night.

    I’m starting to do first half overs also
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  32. 10-23-18 03:24 AM #32
    Roscoe_Word
    Roscoe_Word's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-28-12
    Posts: 4,000
    Betpoints: 8667

    Only 44% on Overs for Mon night.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  33. 10-23-18 05:40 AM #33
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    Its like all star games now

    Nobody plays defense ????
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  34. 10-23-18 06:09 AM #34
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by Roscoe_Word View Post
    Only 44% on Overs for Mon night.
    Only thing that matters to me is the three I played Monday went 2-1
    Last edited by LT Profits; 10-23-18 at 06:15 AM.
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: Jayvegas420
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote 1
  35. 10-23-18 12:25 PM #35
    danshan11
    I am good at coin flips, I really am!
    danshan11's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-08-17
    Posts: 4,101
    Betpoints: 2888

    Oct for the past few years!
    2014 oct
    O/U:12-14-0 (-1.04, 46.2%) avg total: 198.8
    2016 Oct
    O/U:23-22-0 (0.20, 51.1%) avg total: 206.0
    2017 oct
    O/U:45-57-2 (-1.59, 44.1%) avg total: 211.6
    2018 oct
    O/U:31-17-0 (6.51, 64.6%) avg total: 219.4
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
12 Last
Top
« Previous Thread | Players Talk | Next Thread »