1. 06-25-18 06:48 AM #1
    LT Profits
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    MLB - Monday, 6/25/18

    4 MLB Plays Monday

    Orioles +123 (Heritage)
    Orioles +1.5 -130 (Heritage)
    Mariners / Orioles UNDER 9.5 -105 (Heritage)
    Diamondbacks / Marlins UNDER 8.5 -110 (Heritage)


    YTD: 231-234-13, +19.50
    Last edited by LT Profits; 06-25-18 at 07:22 AM. Reason: Added Record
    Points Awarded:

    Brian Fallon gave LT Profits 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.

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  2. 06-25-18 06:56 AM #2
    jjgold
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    LT no excuses for yesterdays blunder of no plays

    Now some say you were drunk???
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  3. 06-25-18 07:21 AM #3
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    LT no excuses for yesterdays blunder of no plays

    Now some say you were drunk???


    Actually it was not a day off, I put the usual work in. I just could not find any plays.
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  4. 06-25-18 07:34 AM #4
    snider
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    We know you had Tampa and cashed 3 straight under a ton of criticism.

    Edwin Jackson? Line already moved on Baltimore.
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  5. 06-25-18 07:49 AM #5
    jjgold
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    Chase the Yankees can they lose four in a row?
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  6. 06-25-18 08:33 AM #6
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by snider View Post
    We know you had Tampa and cashed 3 straight under a ton of criticism.

    Edwin Jackson? Line already moved on Baltimore.
    No I passed on Rays Sunday because Yankees actualy had a bit of value vs. Andriese per the model (but not enough).

    I have Tigers 54% (-117) vs. Edwin, resisting Detroit for now, seems like fishy line move.

    And WOW. O's game is actually scalpable with M's now -118 at Heritage! That is not my thing though, I will let the value ride. Also the +1.5 is now -145.
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  7. 06-25-18 08:35 AM #7
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Chase the Yankees can they lose four in a row?
    Streaks mean nothing, Yankees losing three in a row dies not change odds forecast of next game in and of itself.
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  8. 06-25-18 08:37 AM #8
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Streaks mean nothing, Yankees losing three in a row dies not change odds forecast of next game in and of itself.
    People are human. Losing streaks affect players, just like gamblers. LOL.
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  9. 06-25-18 08:52 AM #9
    snider
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    chase like sweeps thread and live undefeated
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  10. 06-25-18 09:20 AM #10
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by 44 Mag View Post
    People are human. Losing streaks affect players, just like gamblers. LOL.
    Changes nothing about what I said, each game is modeled on its own merit. If there is a legitimate statistical reason for a team slump (or for a team being hot), it would get picked up by model anyway, so no need to be concerned with the streak itself.
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  11. 06-25-18 10:04 AM #11
    killersweet
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post


    Actually it was not a day off, I put the usual work in. I just could not find any plays.
    But you are not denying the drunk part. 😏
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  12. 06-25-18 10:26 AM #12
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by killersweet View Post
    But you are not denying the drunk part. ��
    That was Saturday night.
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  13. 06-25-18 10:27 AM #13
    LT Profits
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    1 MLB Addition

    5 MLB Plays Monday

    Orioles +123 (Heritage)
    Orioles +1.5 -130 (Heritage)
    Mariners / Orioles UNDER 9.5 -105 (Heritage)
    Yankees / Phillies UNDER 8.5 +105 (Heritage)
    Diamondbacks / Marlins UNDER 8.5 -110 (Heritage)
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  14. 06-25-18 11:09 AM #14
    EyesWideShut
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    What you think of Dodgers tonight?
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  15. 06-25-18 11:33 AM #15
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by EyesWideShut View Post
    What you think of Dodgers tonight?
    I have Dodgers 63% (-170) so it does look like they have a bit of value in the -150s. I just never lay those kinds of odds and this will never dip to the -149 max I want.
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  16. 06-25-18 02:17 PM #16
    44 Mag
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    Cincy @ ATL ???? I am liking Cincy as a live dog.....???? Don't like pitching matchup..... Thoughts Boss.
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  17. 06-25-18 03:32 PM #17
    aortega521
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    Like the Braves too but struggling to pull the trigger.... LT where you at boss?
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  18. 06-25-18 03:48 PM #18
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by 44 Mag View Post
    Cincy @ ATL ???? I am liking Cincy as a live dog.....???? Don't like pitching matchup..... Thoughts Boss.
    Quote Originally Posted by aortega521 View Post
    Like the Braves too but struggling to pull the trigger.... LT where you at boss?
    Line seems fine to me, I am right at Atlanta 60% (-150). Maybe real line is a tad deflated because of Reds winning STREAK (meh, that word again!).
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  19. 06-25-18 04:04 PM #19
    Brian Fallon
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    is that it for the day LT?
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  20. 06-25-18 04:12 PM #20
    Blackballer
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    Like the NYY vs PHI Under 8.5! Yankees are on a 'long' road losing streak, whatever long losing streak means for Yankees

    one short question LT: do you watch the games you bet on or just follow the scores??
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  21. 06-25-18 04:18 PM #21
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Brian Fallon View Post
    is that it for the day LT?
    Will do one more run-through at about 5:45 ET
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  22. 06-25-18 04:18 PM #22
    jjgold
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    LT how do you hide gambling from your family daily?? I would think your clever and tell them your an insurance agent.
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  23. 06-25-18 04:19 PM #23
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Blackballer View Post
    Like the NYY vs PHI Under 8.5! Yankees are on a 'long' road losing streak, whatever long losing streak means for Yankees

    one short question LT: do you watch the games you bet on or just follow the scores??
    Sometimes catch few innings here and there, but only watch full games occasionally during post-season.
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  24. 06-25-18 04:20 PM #24
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    LT how do you hide gambling from your family daily?? I would think your clever and tell them your an insurance agent.
    Who says I hide it? Family accepts it.
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  25. 06-25-18 04:40 PM #25
    Blackballer
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    LT how do you hide gambling from your family daily?? I would think your clever and tell them your an insurance agent.
    Or nowadays you can say you are a sport's analytic, I think some people accept it as a profession today but if you say I gambler or sports gambler than you're done . I always thought LT is doing this part time not professionally (as a full time job)??
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  26. 06-25-18 04:43 PM #26
    Blackballer
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Who says I hide it? Family accepts it.
    The coolest part is when the family accetps it
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  27. 06-25-18 04:43 PM #27
    jjgold
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    I tell people I am a online gaming consultant
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  28. 06-25-18 05:06 PM #28
    LT Profits
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    1 Last MLB Addition

    6 MLB Plays Monday

    Orioles +123 (Heritage)
    Orioles +1.5 -130 (Heritage)
    Mariners / Orioles UNDER 9.5 -105 (Heritage)
    Yankees / Phillies UNDER 8.5 +105 (Heritage)
    Diamondbacks / Marlins UNDER 8.5 -110 (Heritage)
    Padres +122 (Bookmaker)
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  29. 06-25-18 05:44 PM #29
    Blackballer
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    I tell people I am a online gaming consultant
    I think for society that would be acceptable as a profession.
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  30. 06-25-18 06:00 PM #30
    Chi_archie
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    get em
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  31. 06-25-18 06:04 PM #31
    Rich Boy
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post


    Actually it was not a day off, I put the usual work in. I just could not find any plays.
    The difference between a pro and a degenerate action junkie
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  32. 06-25-18 09:10 PM #32
    tecmoslayer
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    damn that Orioles pick sucked...they were so bad in this game. 10BB from pitchers
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  33. 06-25-18 09:24 PM #33
    Civerus
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    Orioles. Again and again.
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  34. 06-25-18 10:21 PM #34
    TheSchafe
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    The Orioles are the sole reason he can't climb over 20 units. Unbelievable.
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  35. 06-26-18 07:26 AM #35
    LT Profits
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    Orioles were good to me last two times I had them at nice prices vs. Nationals and Braves, and I smashed the closing line on Monday, Shit happens, moving on...
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