View Poll Results: Chi Cubs at St. Louis Cardinals | Lester vs Wacha | Over 3.5 runs or Under 14.5 runs

Voters
5. You may not vote on this poll
  • Over 3.5 .... At least 4 runs get scored

    3 60.00%
  • Under 14.5 ... 15 runs or more won't get scored

    2 40.00%
  1. #1
    rake922
    rake922's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-23-07
    Posts: 11,692
    Betpoints: 2105

    Chi Cubs at St. Louis Cardinals | Lester vs Wacha | Over 3.5 runs or Under 14.5 runs

    This is one of the biggest games of the year and first pitch is around 2 hours from now




  2. #2
    rake922
    rake922's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-23-07
    Posts: 11,692
    Betpoints: 2105

    Don't forget to vote guys as this is a huge game which is televised nationally on MLB Network

  3. #3
    rake922
    rake922's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-23-07
    Posts: 11,692
    Betpoints: 2105

    I'm 36-1 on these alternative totals for national televised games since April 29th.... I don't bet them all but lately I have been making sure to get a bet in.

  4. #4
    rake922
    rake922's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-23-07
    Posts: 11,692
    Betpoints: 2105

    Quote Originally Posted by rake922 View Post
    I'm 36-1 on these alternative totals for national televised games since April 29th.... I don't bet them all but lately I have been making sure to get a bet in.
    The one loss occured on May 23rd when I bet over 3.5 runs in a game between Indians and Cubs at Wrigley.
    Final score was Cle 1, Cubs 0

    Lester was pitching and he has so much heart. I made a mistake and will try not to forget about that one loss

  5. #5
    rake922
    rake922's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-23-07
    Posts: 11,692
    Betpoints: 2105

    It's expected to be 88° F and with a 1% chance of rain and 8 MPH wind blowing right to left in St. Louis at 8:15 PM ET.

    Friday night's NL Central matchup at Busch Stadium will feature partly cloudy skies and hot temperatures. A light breeze will blow across the diamond from right to left. Balls will carry extremely well in the warm air, so home run potential is high.

  6. #6
    rake922
    rake922's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-23-07
    Posts: 11,692
    Betpoints: 2105

    Michael Wacha has a 7.90 ERA over the last 3 years when facing the Cubs

    Jon Lester has a 2.29 ERA over the last 3 years when facing St Louis

  7. #7
    Chi_archie
    GASPING FOR AIR
    Chi_archie's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-22-08
    Posts: 63,130
    Betpoints: 2368

    over

  8. #8
    rake922
    rake922's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-23-07
    Posts: 11,692
    Betpoints: 2105

    Quote Originally Posted by Chi_archie View Post
    over
    Why Archie? John Lester has heart and we both know that

  9. #9
    Chi_archie
    GASPING FOR AIR
    Chi_archie's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-22-08
    Posts: 63,130
    Betpoints: 2368

    yeah my model has Lester showing an avg June projection of 8.9 on the Heart scale

    but just a 3.3 MPS rating

    Moxie Per Start rating

    Heart is great, but if you don't get the underlying Moxie..... you'll see a regression to mean on Bapip

  10. #10
    rake922
    rake922's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-23-07
    Posts: 11,692
    Betpoints: 2105

    oh. i see

  11. #11
    rake922
    rake922's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-23-07
    Posts: 11,692
    Betpoints: 2105

    poor participation in my thread

  12. #12
    Shute
    Shute's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-20-17
    Posts: 11,822
    Betpoints: 10802

    Got
    Cubs
    Rarely play totals
    Good luck!!

  13. #13
    hotcross
    hotcross's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-04-17
    Posts: 7,934
    Betpoints: 7208

    Quote Originally Posted by rake922 View Post
    poor participation in my thread
    ahh, just saw this

    I picked the Over biggly in this game, but the standard 8.5 line being offered

    As for why no participation, it's the avatar. You've had it awhile, I'm aware. But time for a change.

  14. #14
    2daBank
    2daBank's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-26-09
    Posts: 88,966
    Betpoints: 90

    Quote Originally Posted by rake922 View Post
    Michael Wacha has a 7.90 ERA over the last 3 years when facing the Cubs

    Jon Lester has a 2.29 ERA over the last 3 years when facing St Louis
    Wacha a drastically different pitcher than last few years. Had good start against them earlier this year but cubs just gashed him for 3 in the 3rd. Don’t expect Lester to give up more than a few runs.. I sold the under down to u8 +110, didn’t see much point in the 8.5 as I thought only way I get beat is if they get tied up at 4. Now my only real worry is wacha not going deep and cards using our crappy pen guys since they down and gonna need 3+ innings from them probably.

  15. #15
    bigbubbafade
    bigbubbafade's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-15-17
    Posts: 644
    Betpoints: 2456

    I think Wacha is going for 9th win in a row. Guy is on fire.

    Of course I don't know what the score is right now.... probably getting lit up.

  16. #16
    d2bets
    d2bets's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-10-05
    Posts: 39,775
    Betpoints: 21629

    Quote Originally Posted by bigbubbafade View Post
    I think Wacha is going for 9th win in a row. Guy is on fire.

    Of course I don't know what the score is right now.... probably getting lit up.

  17. #17
    d2bets
    d2bets's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-10-05
    Posts: 39,775
    Betpoints: 21629

    Wacha's ERA taking a beating tonight.

  18. #18
    rake922
    rake922's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-23-07
    Posts: 11,692
    Betpoints: 2105

    Quote Originally Posted by Chi_archie View Post
    over
    What a sharp.

  19. #19
    2daBank
    2daBank's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-26-09
    Posts: 88,966
    Betpoints: 90

    Quote Originally Posted by d2bets View Post
    Wacha's ERA taking a beating tonight.
    Been coming, his peripherals bout a run better than his era. Hard hit percentage is about 10% higher than any other time in his career. He is doing some things tremendously well to offset that to a degree but kinda playing w fire. Dunno why matheny left him out there to rot so long? Guess cause he a freaking idiot.

  20. #20
    d2bets
    d2bets's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-10-05
    Posts: 39,775
    Betpoints: 21629

    Quote Originally Posted by 2daBank View Post
    Been coming, his peripherals bout a run better than his era. Hard hit percentage is about 10% higher than any other time in his career. He is doing some things tremendously well to offset that to a degree but kinda playing w fire. Dunno why matheny left him out there to rot so long? Guess cause he a freaking idiot.
    Doesn't matter. We may see some position player pitching coming.

  21. #21
    rake922
    rake922's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-23-07
    Posts: 11,692
    Betpoints: 2105

    16 runs so far.. wow... and it was 0-0 start of the 3rd

Top