the sharp forecast shows winnipeg winning with 33 points to hamilton’s 10 points. The stacking forecast has winnipeg winning with 30 points to hamilton’s 20 points. The non-predictive public gauge also has winnipeg at roughly 30-26.
Less sophisticated methods using season averages and medians show winnipeg winning by as low as 10 points to as high as 20 points in scores in the upper 40’s.
The line opened with winnipeg -4 and moved toward the forecasts to -5.5 on clear early winnipeg pressure. This line opened low but the originators may have been taking into account hamilton’s last game and its effect on the public.
The sharp forecast proceeds a little more cautiously than the other two, especially in situations like last week in montreal where it seeks confirmation of hamilton’s greatness. This may account for the extra credit given in the stacking forecast and most certainly accounts for the close public gauge.
The total opened, like last night, above the forecasts, and the gauge, and has ticked upward, away from all the numbers. The public seeks the over and early indications show the money the same way; that will change a bit.
I can identify some groups taking the under, that will be large money that i expect to counter the public. I’m passing on this total, but i wouldn’t be surprised if they light it up and take down that large money.
There are strong metrics that indicate an upset in this game. It could be that the public is right in seeing a close game. The inevitable down tick of winnipeg and hamilton with receivers back could be heading upward.
This could be the game that makes the statement and we do see metrics that are in line increasing this possibility.
Winnipeg could be a juggernaut, they have the stats, and even though the cfl sharp forecast fund has the favorite here, i am going to make my second bold play against that backdrop for this thread.
I have picked up
hamilton tiger-cats +190 over winnipeg blue bombers.
The cfl thread is one set of plays, as always, the difference this year is that i am showing the cfl sharp forecast fund when the lines open instead of at each write up.
I can’t win both of these bets, but that doesn’t mean that both the sharp forecast fund and the cfl thread tracking can’t both profit by season’s end.
We've seen it before, that's for sure.
Good luck.