One more thing, hanging that huge dog moneyline has consequences.
If Calgary is the play, with all of those numbers pointing that way, then the big line, like I did when it came out, will get hit. And it did get hit.
They tested the market and settled it back down to 20, but the still need some Montreal bets. So they hold 20, then drop to 19.5 when they are satisfied. But Calgary buyers loved it at that point, the "test market" couldn't contain itself.
Hmmmm.
Everyone wants that moneyline. You have to adjust the moneyline down, while keeping the spread high. Because of this, even with the huge spread, you get the superbowl effect.
There becomes value on the favorite moneyline and on the Underdog Spread. They had to deal with that a bit tonight.
Even though I say the books might favor Montreal, there is parlay exposure with Montreal and I wouldn't doubt that some of that is teaser exposure with the first game. Whenever you get that many points, you tend to get those bets.