1. #1
    LT Profits
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    MLB - Tuesday, 9/4/18

    4 MLB Plays Tuesday

    Reds +135 (5 Dimes)
    Cubs / Brewers UNDER 9 +105 (Heritage)
    Tigers +148 (5 Dimes)
    Padres +160 (5 Dimes)


    YTD: 387-408-17, +11.50

  2. #2
    jjgold
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    steady

  3. #3
    Sam Odom
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post

    YTD: 387-408-17, +11.50


  4. #4
    5mike5
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    Nice job LT

  5. #5
    Hman
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    GL with the plays today

  6. #6
    Keepit100
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    Just bet Mariners ML-207 and Rays-121 on Heritage 2 game parlay. Of the 2 picks I'm more confident with the Mariners. Might bet $625 on just the Mariners to cover my loss if the parlay loses.
    Mariners 5-0 vs Orioles this year
    Rays 8-2 vs Toronto this year

  7. #7
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Keepit100 View Post
    Just bet Mariners ML-207 and Rays-121 on Heritage 2 game parlay. Of the 2 picks I'm more confident with the Mariners. Might bet $625 on just the Mariners to cover my loss if the parlay loses.
    Mariners 5-0 vs Orioles this year
    Rays 8-2 vs Toronto this year
    I disagree with both of those plays actually, although I am not acting on the opponents as of now. I have the Mariners at "only" 62% (-163) with fairly even pitching macthup. I also have Toronto slightly favored at 51% (-104) despite having Beeks rated slightly better than Borucki.

  8. #8
    Keepit100
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    I disagree with both of those plays actually, although I am not acting on the opponents as of now. I have the Mariners at "only" 62% (-163) with fairly even pitching matchup. I also have Toronto slightly favored at 51% (-104) despite having Beeks rated slightly better than Borucki.
    Well LeBlanc has a night time era under 3 which is good according to me and Cobb's era is plus 5 so I don't think the pitching matchup is that close. I understand the Rays game issue or concern but 8-2 vs Toronto this year and 11-2 overall last 13 games.

    I disagree with your Padres and Reds bet so I guess we will see at the end of the day. I'm guessing you are betting these lines individually.

  9. #9
    krk1030
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    Look at Cobb recently. Totally different pitcher

  10. #10
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Keepit100 View Post
    Well LeBlanc has a night time era under 3 which is good according to me and Cobb's era is plus 5 so I don't think the pitching matchup is that close. I understand the Rays game issue or concern but 8-2 vs Toronto this year and 11-2 overall last 13 games.
    Nothing in this sentence is meaningful really, ERA is not a predictive stat and head to head record means even less. What IS meaningful is Cobb 4.44 xFIP vs. LeBlanc 4.43 xFIP, does not get closer than that. Furthermore, Cobb has a positive ERA - xFIP variance and is thus in the midst of positive regression as evidenced by his improved recent form (prior to last start). On flip side, LeBlanc has negative ERA - xFIP, signaling negative regression on the horizon.
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  11. #11
    LT Profits
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    2 MLB Additions

    6 MLB Plays Tuesday

    Reds +135 (5 Dimes)
    Cubs / Brewers UNDER 9 +105 (Heritage)
    Tigers +148 (5 Dimes)
    Tigers / White Sox UNDER 8.5 +105 (Heritage)
    Twins / Astros UNDER 7.5 -110 (Heritage)

    Padres +160 (5 Dimes)

  12. #12
    krk1030
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    How do you grade out the bullpen games like with oakland tonight. With the expanded rosters we likely see guy that have not pitched in the majors.

  13. #13
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by krk1030 View Post
    How do you grade out the bullpen games like with oakland tonight. With the expanded rosters we likely see guy that have not pitched in the majors.
    I have Hendriks-Montas covering first 5 innings in model, but I am leaving it alone because Melvin did not exactly keep his word Saturday with Hendriks-Mengden.

  14. #14
    LT Profits
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    2 More MLB Additions

    8 MLB Plays Tuesday

    Cardinals / Nationals OVER 9.5 +100 (Heritage)
    Reds +135 (5 Dimes)
    Red Sox / Braves UNDER 8.5 +105 (Heritage)
    Cubs / Brewers UNDER 9 +105 (Heritage)
    Tigers +148 (5 Dimes)
    Tigers / White Sox UNDER 8.5 +105 (Heritage)
    Twins / Astros UNDER 7.5 -110 (Heritage)
    Padres +160 (5 Dimes)

  15. #15
    agendaman
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    LT this sp today for colorado marquez is the real deal

  16. #16
    krk1030
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    Like the Padres. The Arizona offense has just gone away completely.

    Got burned yesterday with zona thinking they could hit a gas can like Mitchell.

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