1. 04-16-18 03:38 PM #1
    hotcross
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    NHL ANAHEIM Monday

    Monday April 16
    PLAYOFFS ROUND 1, GAME 3

    ANAHEIM +130 ML // 3 units to win 3.90

     ANAHEIM +444 SERIES WIN // 1 unit to win 4.44

    Road team is Anaheim tonight. They lost the first two games of this series at home to the Sharks. I feel stongly about the Ducks winning tonight....as for the series I'm honestly not sure but throwing a unit at it....Sharks have a history of choking, although they have a different roster going this year win Evander Kane in (and Joe Thorton out). But look, if the Ducks do win tonight, then this +444 series price is best value right now....could look to hedge out of it later, if possible.

    But I like Anaheim tonight.
    Here are a couple trends with these rivals:

    1) Road team is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
    2) Ducks are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings....why? one thing is all home games (see trend #1)

    Ducks overall trends:
    1) Ducks are 4-1 in their last 5 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.
    2) Ducks are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.
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  2. 04-16-18 03:44 PM #2
    Hman
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    GL Hc
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  3. 04-16-18 04:02 PM #3
    lakerboy
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    Ducks don't have a history of choking?
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  4. 04-16-18 04:14 PM #4
    hotcross
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    wise up, LB. Now you come off looking lazy and dumb. And by the way, no more fukkin questions from you azz, not until AFTER you answer the one I asked you - when is the last time you watched a few hockey games LB?

    Anaheim past two post-seasons looked like this, in summary:

    2016: Round 1 lost first two games AT HOME vs Nashville, then Won the next 3 in a row, before losing the last two close ones (3-1 and 2-1 scores)

    2017: Round 1 swept Calgary 4-0 games
    Round 2 lost first two games AT HOME vs Edmonton, then Won the next 3 in a row, before splitting the last two including winning game 7
    Round 3 split the first four games 2-2 vs Nashville, before losing game 5 and 6

    see a trend here?
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  5. 04-16-18 04:22 PM #5
    Ralphie Halves
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    This guy is up 70+ units in NHL alone this year. I don't ask questions. Because I know those questions would be square AF.
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  6. 04-16-18 04:25 PM #6
    hotcross
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    thanks Mr. Halves.... I welcome questions but not if the guy won't answer mine

    I like LB and hoping to rattle his tree a little bit. Too much bulllliiiisht from him lately.

    By the way my picks are always a risk and have about 50-50 chance. I try to risk more the stronger the play feels to me.
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  7. 04-16-18 04:45 PM #7
    Ralphie Halves
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    Yeah, I've seen your thread. The end result is what matters.

    ....and consistency, to a lesser degree.
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  8. 04-16-18 04:54 PM #8
    Jbidness
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    I like this, GL HC
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  9. 04-16-18 05:07 PM #9
    DavidGoliath5003
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    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    Ducks don't have a history of choking?
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  10. 04-16-18 05:10 PM #10
    DavidGoliath5003
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    Omg probably the worst Logic i have read in a long time... “If they win tonight, then +444 series price looks good right now?” What in the actual fck? Anahiem has zero form right now +444 lol... 12% of teams come back from an 0-2 hole going home.... sooo wheres the Value?
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  11. 04-16-18 05:17 PM #11
    hotcross
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    I don't really care about the Series pick and I said that Series bet is unsure in the original post.

    The way I look at the wager, is I expect Anaheim to win tonight. That portion will be +3.90 units. So then giving up 1 of those units for a +444 shot to win the series.

    Take it further out, if Anaheim win games 3 and 4.....can probably hedge out of the series as well for guaranteed profit on that portion.

    Yeah, quite a bit of "ifs" but this is my logic about it, since you asked.

    I recommend the moneyline on Anaheim if you are seeking the strongest pick (if you couldn't already figure that out by reading the original post). I cannot possibly writeup all the factors I think about when doing these. Putting my neck on the line by posting any pick in the first place is something that probably less than 5% of members do here.
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  12. 04-16-18 06:27 PM #12
    RangeFinder
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    They miss Thorton badly. Good luck HC.
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  13. 04-16-18 07:15 PM #13
    BankrollMafia
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    loved the sharks tonight, but with EVERYONE else on them as well kinda scared away now. hit them for game 1 and 2. but I am a sharks homer so could be blind luck.

    Initial prediction was sharks gm 3, ducks gm 4, sharks end series in gm 5. but the curse of the whole forum liking sharks tonight is danger alert forsure...=/
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  14. 04-16-18 07:30 PM #14
    hotcross
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    +444 to win the series I believe was the lowest odds offered on any of the teams down 2 games, by the way.

    Toronto was +555 from LB'S thread
    New Jersey +1050 saw that myself
    Colorado +1290 right now
    LA Kings mighta been +430 range yesterday before losing game 3

    Minnesota didn't see
    Washington is what right now? gotta be higher than +444

    point being, Anaheim might be the one who pulls off the longshot
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  15. 04-16-18 07:43 PM #15
    ikid2groove415
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    Just saying sharks choke 3-0 to the kings few years back - this team is knowing for choking
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  16. 04-16-18 08:41 PM #16
    DavidGoliath5003
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    Quote Originally Posted by BankrollMafia View Post
    loved the sharks tonight, but with EVERYONE else on them as well kinda scared away now. hit them for game 1 and 2. but I am a sharks homer so could be blind luck.

    Initial prediction was sharks gm 3, ducks gm 4, sharks end series in gm 5. but the curse of the whole forum liking sharks tonight is danger alert forsure...=/
    Not even close to the curse of the Public... San Jose has it going right now.
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  17. 04-17-18 12:09 AM #17
    BankrollMafia
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    Quote Originally Posted by DavidGoliath5003 View Post
    Not even close to the curse of the Public... San Jose has it going right now.
    Well, I'm not complaining. Go SJ!
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  18. 04-17-18 12:14 AM #18
    DavidGoliath5003
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    Quote Originally Posted by BankrollMafia View Post
    Well, I'm not complaining. Go SJ!
    It looked obvious to me even if they didnt win. Evander Kane has brought a diffrent life to this team plus Jones is a beast in net
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  19. 04-17-18 12:14 AM #19
    cincinnatikid513
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  20. 04-17-18 12:16 AM #20
    t-wizzle
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    How’d they do?
    Points Awarded:

    lakerboy gave t-wizzle 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.
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  21. 04-17-18 12:19 AM #21
    DavidGoliath5003
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    Quote Originally Posted by t-wizzle View Post
    How’d they do?
    Lol you serious? 7-1 SJ
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  22. 04-17-18 12:23 AM #22
    DavidGoliath5003
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    Make that 8-1
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  23. 04-17-18 12:34 AM #23
    hotcross
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    I was on the wrong call here big-time

    could Anaheim play any worse than they did? I watched it

    When its my losing pick, I lke losing in this manner, just get completely hammered, rather than squeezer at the end

    All results are tracked
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  24. 04-17-18 12:38 AM #24
    ikid2groove415
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    8 goals? Ducks already quit I believe
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  25. 04-17-18 12:39 AM #25
    ikid2groove415
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    Seems like home teams and taking the over on total is golden so far
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  26. 04-17-18 12:42 AM #26
    krk1030
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    what will the line for the next game be

    sharks -400? ducks have 100% quit
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  27. 04-17-18 12:49 AM #27
    tony_come
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    Next game

    It doesn't stop
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  28. 04-17-18 12:53 AM #28
    hotcross
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    ^^^exactly Tony

    you are wise
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  29. 04-17-18 01:00 AM #29
    cincinnatikid513
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    can't even blame bruce boudreau this year
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  30. 04-17-18 01:26 AM #30
    DavidGoliath5003
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    Anahiem showed up.... they had 45 shots on net... timely saves and Jones being stellar won this. That Anaheim defence is awful. Anaheim was ready to go they just didnt score.. probably should have been 8-5
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  31. 04-17-18 01:28 AM #31
    cankid
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    They really miss Fowler, and Jones is solid and is playing better than the 2 Anah goalies. SJ looks like a motivated and better team with Kane since the trading deadline.
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  32. 04-17-18 01:50 AM #32
    sunshineSpecial
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    Good to see anaheim getting sodomized in the first round. Such a boring team.
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  33. 04-17-18 09:45 AM #33
    DavidGoliath5003
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    This team is Completely diffrent with Kane. Just shows you how much he means to a team when motivated
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  34. 04-17-18 04:18 PM #34
    lakerboy
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    At least they didn't choke
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  35. 04-17-18 04:41 PM #35
    hotcross
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    it was a bad call. New Jersey wasn't

    Unfortunately I put more on Anaheim than New Jersey. That's called owning it, LB

    Most posters had San Jose so that was good for them
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