1. 03-31-18 09:57 PM #1
    The Giant
    The Giant's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-21-12
    Posts: 21,480
    Betpoints: 233

    Michigan versus Villanova, National Championship Game.

    What's the line?

    I'm thinking Villanova -6 or so.

    Should I let this ride?

    https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/60...Zz09/r/696721/
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  2. 03-31-18 09:57 PM #2
    lakerboy
    lakerboy's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 04-02-09
    Posts: 94,069
    Betpoints: 7696

    Bro let's face it the Nazi might win
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  3. 03-31-18 09:58 PM #3
    ikid2groove415
    ikid2groove415's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-08-18
    Posts: 11,981
    Betpoints: 1184

    Hope so- taking Michigan ML- everyone will get sucked into nova performance tonight !! Every game is different -
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  4. 03-31-18 09:59 PM #4
    The Giant
    The Giant's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-21-12
    Posts: 21,480
    Betpoints: 233

    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    Bro let's face it the Nazi might win
    I wouldn't mind being held captive by his mother.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  5. 03-31-18 10:00 PM #5
    robbypark
    robbypark's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-13-18
    Posts: 794
    Betpoints: 1313

    Quote Originally Posted by ikid2groove415 View Post
    Hope so- taking Michigan ML- everyone will get sucked into nova performance tonight !! Every game is different -
    Nova is the far better team.
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: RPP
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote 1
  6. 03-31-18 10:02 PM #6
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
    KVB's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-29-14
    Posts: 74,849
    Betpoints: 7576

    Quote Originally Posted by The Giant View Post
    What's the line?

    I'm thinking Villanova -6 or so.

    Should I let this ride?

    https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/60...Zz09/r/696721/
    Is that a free bet? I don't see any risk.

    That's not a bad position to be in The Giant.

    If it's free, you're sort of hedging, but it could be viewed as just closing a position. Nova a likely winner in the next game, but not necessarily the spread.

    You have a decision to make on how much and how to place the next bet. Everyone's situation is different, but I would imagine you'll be making some type of bet on the finals.

    That next bet you make, unless it's a spread bet, should be the winning bet. (Nova ML of some sort).

    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  7. 03-31-18 10:08 PM #7
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
    KVB's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-29-14
    Posts: 74,849
    Betpoints: 7576

    I'm seeing -6.5 but it will probably pressure downward. That extra .5 will probably induce some underdog bets. I see other indicators pointing to the dog but I think the upsets are all done this year.

    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  8. 03-31-18 10:08 PM #8
    The Giant
    The Giant's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-21-12
    Posts: 21,480
    Betpoints: 233

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Is that a free bet? I don't see any risk.

    That's not a bad position to be in The Giant.

    If it's free, you're sort of hedging, but it could be viewed as just closing a position. Nova a likely winner in the next game, but not necessarily the spread.

    You have a decision to make on how much and how to place the next bet. Everyone's situation is different, but I would imagine you'll be making some type of bet on the finals.

    That next bet you make, unless it's a spread bet, should be the winning bet. (Nova ML of some sort).

    It is a free play.

    It would have been worth a lot more in February, the time I placed it, but with bitcoin dropping, the ticket is only worth about $5900.

    I might put 2800 to win 1000 on Villanova in the final.

    I haven't done any sort of selling thus far, I thought Michigan would win their previous five games. I'm not so sure about Monday night.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  9. 03-31-18 10:11 PM #9
    lakerboy
    lakerboy's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 04-02-09
    Posts: 94,069
    Betpoints: 7696

    Nova way better
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  10. 03-31-18 10:11 PM #10
    DOM_Toretto
    Hoop Head
    DOM_Toretto's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-28-13
    Posts: 9,035
    Betpoints: 989

    Villanova ML for me
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  11. 03-31-18 10:12 PM #11
    lakerboy
    lakerboy's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 04-02-09
    Posts: 94,069
    Betpoints: 7696

    I will unload on Michigan ml
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  12. 03-31-18 10:12 PM #12
    gummo
    Bearcats
    gummo's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-04-06
    Posts: 6,297
    Betpoints: 1195

    I'm on Michigan. I don't think they will allow that 3 point shooting.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  13. 03-31-18 10:14 PM #13
    fourlokobro
    fourlokobro's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-02-17
    Posts: 302
    Betpoints: 1413

    Mich +7 seems like the "fun" play on Monday night
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  14. 03-31-18 10:15 PM #14
    The Giant
    The Giant's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-21-12
    Posts: 21,480
    Betpoints: 233

    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    Nova way better
    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    I will unload on Michigan ml
    You're the best.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  15. 03-31-18 10:17 PM #15
    bonusguy
    bonusguy's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-25-17
    Posts: 1,785
    Betpoints: 1445

    wow michigan +7 -115

    yes thats the fun bet. and the right side
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  16. 03-31-18 10:18 PM #16
    funnyb25
    Go Get Laid Man!
    funnyb25's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-09-09
    Posts: 39,622
    Betpoints: 23984

    The -6.5 is already juiced
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  17. 03-31-18 10:21 PM #17
    Plaza23
    Plaza23's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-29-13
    Posts: 7,392
    Betpoints: 13787

    It's up to -7 at 5d. Wait till it gets to 8.5 and unload on Michigan.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  18. 03-31-18 10:22 PM #18
    funnyb25
    Go Get Laid Man!
    funnyb25's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-09-09
    Posts: 39,622
    Betpoints: 23984

    Not sure this number is near high enough
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  19. 03-31-18 10:25 PM #19
    TheMoneyShot
    TheMoneyShot's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-14-07
    Posts: 28,681
    Betpoints: 23701

    Michigan runs you off of the 3 point line on defense...

    Villanova won't have the looks like they did with Kansas tonight.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  20. 03-31-18 10:34 PM #20
    The Giant
    The Giant's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-21-12
    Posts: 21,480
    Betpoints: 233

    Defense wins championships.

    Michigan will dirty the game up, should go way under.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  21. 03-31-18 10:39 PM #21
    TheMoneyShot
    TheMoneyShot's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-14-07
    Posts: 28,681
    Betpoints: 23701

    Quote Originally Posted by The Giant View Post
    Defense wins championships.

    Michigan will dirty the game up, should go way under.
    Don't under value Michigan's scoring ability... Michigan +7 might have better value than an O/U.

    I think that hook +7 is huge.

    Line will be -6.5 at most places later on tonight or tomorrow morning.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  22. 03-31-18 10:39 PM #22
    DOM_Toretto
    Hoop Head
    DOM_Toretto's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-28-13
    Posts: 9,035
    Betpoints: 989

    Quote Originally Posted by TheMoneyShot View Post
    Michigan runs you off of the 3 point line on defense...

    Villanova won't have the looks like they did with Kansas tonight.
    Nova proved they could win big games shooting only 20% from 3
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  23. 03-31-18 10:42 PM #23
    The Giant
    The Giant's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-21-12
    Posts: 21,480
    Betpoints: 233

    Quote Originally Posted by TheMoneyShot View Post
    Don't under value Michigan's scoring ability... Michigan +7 might have better value than an O/U.

    I think that hook +7 is huge.

    Line will be -6.5 at most places later on tonight or tomorrow morning.
    I'm only in the business of trying to figure out how to make a few dollars off my original post.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  24. 03-31-18 10:42 PM #24
    DOM_Toretto
    Hoop Head
    DOM_Toretto's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-28-13
    Posts: 9,035
    Betpoints: 989

    17% from 3 vs. Texas Tech in Elite Eight and won by double digits. 22% from 3 AT Seton Hall and won.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  25. 03-31-18 10:42 PM #25
    ikid2groove415
    ikid2groove415's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-08-18
    Posts: 11,981
    Betpoints: 1184

    Quote Originally Posted by robbypark View Post
    Nova is the far better team.
    Better team doesn’t always win in 1 game elimination ? Nova ain’t got Michigan toughness
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  26. 03-31-18 10:43 PM #26
    TheMoneyShot
    TheMoneyShot's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-14-07
    Posts: 28,681
    Betpoints: 23701

    Quote Originally Posted by DOM_Toretto View Post
    Nova proved they could win big games shooting only 20% from 3
    They shoot 20% against Michigan....

    Michigan will cover.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  27. 03-31-18 10:44 PM #27
    ikid2groove415
    ikid2groove415's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-08-18
    Posts: 11,981
    Betpoints: 1184

    Quote Originally Posted by The Giant View Post
    Defense wins championships.

    Michigan will dirty the game up, should go way under.
    odds makers isn’t dumb!! They will make you think twice about the total
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  28. 03-31-18 10:45 PM #28
    ThaTopMoron
    Body-Bags
    ThaTopMoron's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-30-10
    Posts: 26,554
    Betpoints: 6892

    I wouldn't touch this game

    just feels weird

    so prob Nova just wins and covers pretty easily

    easy favorite bets easy favorite covers in the final 4 this year... missed out, oh well
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  29. 03-31-18 11:00 PM #29
    ChuckyTheGoat
    ChuckyTheGoat's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 04-04-11
    Posts: 31,511
    Betpoints: 24869

    Giant...props on the nice exposure. U have to feel like you're in the catbird's seat.

    My sentiment would be this. Do u feel like you're over-exposed here? Would it HURT to lose this game, w/o scoring ANY $$?

    Think about how much u might want to hedge. If u decide to scalp out 10% (or something in that ballpark)...totally reasonable. U have an 84/1 ticket that is going to go to tip around +250. Perfectly sane to take some profits + stick em in your pocket. If u want to pay for a flight somewhere...scalp out like 0.10 BtC.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  30. 03-31-18 11:03 PM #30
    TheMoneyShot
    TheMoneyShot's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-14-07
    Posts: 28,681
    Betpoints: 23701

    If Michigan's starting 5... plays like the FAB 5...

    Look the fuk out.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  31. 03-31-18 11:06 PM #31
    johnnyvegas13
    johnnyvegas13's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-21-15
    Posts: 26,180
    Betpoints: 247

    I'm letting mine ride giant if it makes u feel better
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  32. 03-31-18 11:08 PM #32
    Jatt24
    FBG
    Jatt24's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-13-14
    Posts: 834
    Betpoints: 201

    Michigan gonna win it book it
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  33. 03-31-18 11:14 PM #33
    ikid2groove415
    ikid2groove415's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-08-18
    Posts: 11,981
    Betpoints: 1184

    Nova -6.5 145 at Bookmaker !! No money line set yet
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  34. 03-31-18 11:54 PM #34
    TheMoneyShot
    TheMoneyShot's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-14-07
    Posts: 28,681
    Betpoints: 23701

    Stations in Vegas opening line Villanova -7.5 ML -360

    Could be a typo??? Crazy.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  35. 03-31-18 11:57 PM #35
    Art Vandelay
    Corona on St. Pats... WTF!
    Art Vandelay's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 09-11-06
    Posts: 6,532
    Betpoints: 57541

    Should be able to buy to +8 the way its moving, and grab under 146. Both would be temtping...
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
1234 ... Last
Top
« Previous Thread | Players Talk | Next Thread »