1. #36
    vividjohn45
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sam Odom View Post
    1-2% of BR

    In theory ... Never
    This. Kind of whack to start a thread to lose 100 units. Lol

  2. #37
    Vadym
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    0001 + 1.04U
    0002 - 2.00U
    0003 - 2.00U
    0004 - PENDING
    0005 - PENDING
    0006 - PENDING

    Overall record: 1 - 2

    Balance: 97.04 (-02.96) U

    0007
    C Berlocq / A Ramos-Vinolas - H Podlipnik-Castillo / A Vasilevski
    Match Odds - Match - ATP Buenos Aires - Doubles
    H Podlipnik-Castillo / A Vasilevski @ 1.495 4U to win 1.98U

  3. #38
    Vadym
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    0001 + 1.04U
    0002 - 2.00U
    0003 - 2.00U
    0004 - PENDING
    0005 - PENDING
    0006 - PENDING
    0007 - PENDING

    Overall record: 1 - 2

    Balance: 97.04 (-02.96) U

    0008
    Kettering — Royston Town
    English Southern Premier
    OVER 2.5 @ 1.43 3U to win 1.29U (-2%)

  4. #39
    steve smith
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    If you buy picks from anyone who has ever been associated with pregame it won’t take long.

  5. #40
    Vadym
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    0001 + 1.04U
    0002 - 2.00U
    0003 - 2.00U
    0004 +2.54U
    0005 - PENDING
    0006 - 3.00U
    0007 - PENDING
    0008 - PENDING

    Overall record: 2 - 3

    Balance: 96.58 (-03.42) U

  6. #41
    JohnGalt2341
    46 and 2 are just ahead of me
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    Quote Originally Posted by Vadym View Post
    Thanks for your advice man. I did some researches before deposit some money. It's not a huge money for me. I need to lose this bankroll to feel the ground. I have some ideas about my next level of betting but I need more time to test and be confient in result. So I think after I loose this bankrol I'll be ready to play with bigger bankrol (and I hope to win some mony).

    P.S. You give me 220 days in average // I think that this will happen faster )).
    Sorry for mistakes. I am not a native speaker.
    220 days if you average betting 10 units a day. How many units do you bet a day on average? I could give you a more accurate estimate. Or... just assume that you will lose 4.5% of every bet you make. Generally... your expected value is going to be around -$4.55 for every $100 you bet if you are completely average.

  7. #42
    Vadym
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    Quote Originally Posted by JohnGalt2341 View Post
    220 days if you average betting 10 units a day. How many units do you bet a day on average? I could give you a more accurate estimate. Or... just assume that you will lose 4.5% of every bet you make. Generally... your expected value is going to be around -$4.55 for every $100 you bet if you are completely average.
    I will try to figure out how much I will bet on average, because it's different from testing bets without money on them. Emotions have an impact. I can't avoid it for now.
    I decided to start the thread in hope it will give me some discipline. In the future I will try to play 3 - 10 picks per week. And 10 should be a max amount of picks per week no matter how good or bad the streak is.

  8. #43
    Vadym
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    0001 + 1.04U
    0002 - 2.00U
    0003 - 2.00U
    0004 +2.54U
    0005 - PENDING
    0006 - 3.00U
    0007 - PUSH

    0008 +1.98U

    Overall record: W - L - P = 3- 3 - 1

    Balance: 98.56 (-01.44) U

    0009
    Sydney — Suwon Bluewings
    AFC Champions League
    Sydney DNB @ 1.5 3U to win 1.5U


  9. #44
    JMobile
    CM Punk -1000.5 (100X)
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    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    One play
    Follow his plays and watch your bankroll go "poof"

  10. #45
    Vadym
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    Join Date: 12-31-17
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    0001 + 1.04U
    0002 - 2.00U
    0003 - 2.00U
    0004 +2.54U
    0005 +1.36U
    0006 - 3.00U
    0007 - PUSH

    0008 +1.98U
    0009 - 3,00U

    Overall record: W - L - P = 4 - 4 - 1

    Balance: 96.92 (-03.08) U

    0010
    Real Madrid CF - Paris Saint-Germain
    UEFA Champions League
    UNDER 4 @1.5 2.5U to win 1.25U


  11. #46
    Vadym
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    0001 +1.04U
    0002 - 2.00U
    0003 - 2.00U
    0004 +2.54U
    0005 +1.36U
    0006 - 3.00U
    0007 - PUSH

    0008 +1.98U
    0009 - 3,00U
    0010 - PENDING

    Overall record: W - L - P = 4
    - 4 - 1
    Balance: 96.92 (-03.08) U

    0011
    Porto - Liverpool
    O/U - FT - UEFA - Champions League
    OVER 2 @ 1.432 3U to win 1.3U


    0012
    Bragantino SP — Mirassol
    Brazilian Paulista Serie A1
    OVER 1.5 @ 1.51 3U to win 1.43U (-6.5%)
    Last edited by Vadym; 02-14-18 at 12:59 PM.

  12. #47
    JohnGalt2341
    46 and 2 are just ahead of me
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    Quote Originally Posted by Vadym View Post
    I will try to figure out how much I will bet on average, because it's different from testing bets without money on them. Emotions have an impact. I can't avoid it for now.
    I decided to start the thread in hope it will give me some discipline. In the future I will try to play 3 - 10 picks per week. And 10 should be a max amount of picks per week no matter how good or bad the streak is.
    In my opinion Streaks are WAY overvalued in gambling and in most sports. You are far better off ignoring the streaks completely. Try flipping a coin 100 times. I can guarantee that at some point you will have either a decent Heads or Tails streak. What does it mean? NOTHING. Or, for even more accuracy put 55 Blue marbles and 45 Red marbles in a bag. Pick 100 marbles out blindly 1 at a time(put the marble back in before pulling out another) and record the data. Regardless of how many Red marbles you picked out in a row you still should be betting that you are going to pick out a Blue marble EVERY TIME if you are getting even odds. Streaks data is fun to look at(especially in retrospect) but your overall data is far more important. Why do you think Casino's are willing to show you the current streaks in games like Roulette? It's because the streaks are completely meaningless in these types of games. There are some situations in sports where streaks CAN have value but for the most part I think they can be ignored.

  13. #48
    Vadym
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    0001 +1.04U
    0002 - 2.00U
    0003 - 2.00U
    0004 +2.54U
    0005 +1.36U
    0006 - 3.00U
    0007 - PUSH

    0008 +1.98U
    0009 - 3,00U
    0010 - PENDING
    0011 - PENDING
    0012 - 3.00U

    Overall record: W - L - P = 4
    - 5 - 1
    Balance: 93.92 (-06.08) U



    0013
    Limon FC — Deportivo Saprissa
    Costa Rican Primera Division
    OVER 2.5 @ 1.564 5U to win 2.82U

  14. #49
    Vadym
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    0001 +1.04U
    0002 - 2.00U
    0003 - 2.00U
    0004 +2.54U
    0005 +1.36U
    0006 - 3.00U
    0007 - PUSH

    0008 +1.98U
    0009 - 3,00U
    0010 - PUSH
    0011 +1.30U
    0012 - 3.00U
    0013 +2.82U


    Overall record: W - L - P = 6
    - 5 - 2
    Balance: 98.04 (-01.96) U

    0014
    Parlay:
    • Atlanta Hawks @ Detroit Pistons - Match Betting
    • Detroit Pistons 1.20
    • East Carolina @ Tulane - Match Betting
    • Tulane 1.12
    • Sacramento Kings @ Houston Rockets - Match Betting
    • Houston Rockets 1.10

    Stake: 3.00U to win 1.46 U
    Last edited by Vadym; 02-14-18 at 04:45 PM.

  15. #50
    Vadym
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    Quote Originally Posted by JohnGalt2341 View Post
    In my opinion Streaks are WAY overvalued in gambling and in most sports. You are far better off ignoring the streaks completely. Try flipping a coin 100 times. I can guarantee that at some point you will have either a decent Heads or Tails streak. What does it mean? NOTHING. Or, for even more accuracy put 55 Blue marbles and 45 Red marbles in a bag. Pick 100 marbles out blindly 1 at a time(put the marble back in before pulling out another) and record the data. Regardless of how many Red marbles you picked out in a row you still should be betting that you are going to pick out a Blue marble EVERY TIME if you are getting even odds. Streaks data is fun to look at(especially in retrospect) but your overall data is far more important. Why do you think Casino's are willing to show you the current streaks in games like Roulette? It's because the streaks are completely meaningless in these types of games. There are some situations in sports where streaks CAN have value but for the most part I think they can be ignored.
    I completely agree with you. You are absolutely right in term of mathematical expectation. But I am not a machine. And I think they have significant impact especially on non professional players. If you win you are more confident in your next pick. If you loose you try to chase a loses. I can't ignor it.

  16. #51
    Vadym
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    0015
    Tennis - ATP Rotterdam - Doubles
    FT - 1X2
    P-H Herbert / N Mahut -vs- K Khachanov / L Pouille

    P-H Herbert / N Mahut @1.279
    Accepted Risk 4.00
    Win 1.12

  17. #52
    RudyRuetigger
    Leave of absence until March Madness
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    just go all in

  18. #53
    Vadym
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    0001 +1.04U
    0002 - 2.00U
    0003 - 2.00U
    0004 +2.54U
    0005 +1.36U
    0006 - 3.00U
    0007 - PUSH

    0008 +1.98U
    0009 - 3,00U
    0010 - PUSH
    0011 +1.30U
    0012 - 3.00U
    0013 +2.82U
    0014 - 3.00U

    0015 - PENING

    Overall record: W - L - P = 6
    - 6 - 2
    Balance: 95.04 (-04.96) U


    0016
    D Marrero / F Verdasco - D Schwartzman / D Thiem
    Match Odds - Match - ATP Buenos Aires - Doubles
    D Marrero / F Verdasco @ 1.719 5.00 U to win 3.60 U

  19. #54
    Sam Odom
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    Quote Originally Posted by Vadym View Post


    Overall record: W - L - P = 6
    - 5 - 2
    Balance: 98.04 (-01.96)



    Better than most here

  20. #55
    Vadym
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    Quote Originally Posted by RudyRuetigger View Post
    just go all in
    I am almost ready. I feel like UFC 126 can help with it some how.

  21. #56
    Vadym
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    0001 +1.04U
    0002 - 2.00U
    0003 - 2.00U
    0004 +2.54U
    0005 +1.36U
    0006 - 3.00U
    0007 - PUSH

    0008 +1.98U
    0009 - 3,00U
    0010 - PUSH
    0011 +1.30U
    0012 - 3.00U
    0013 +2.82U
    0014 - 3.00U
    0015 +1.12U
    0016 - PENING

    Overall record: W - L - P = 7
    - 6 - 2
    Balance: 96.16 (-03.84) U

    0017
    FC Spartak Moskva - Athletic Bilbao
    UEFA Europa League
    TT FC Spartak Moskva OVER 1 @1,54 2.6U to win 1.4U

  22. #57
    Vadym
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    0018
    Drogheda Utd v Bangor Celtic
    Leinster Senior Cup
    Over 2.5 Goals @1.4 2.5U to win 1U

  23. #58
    Vadym
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    0019
    Napoli - RB Leipzig
    FT - UEFA - Europa League
    Napoli DNB @1.588 6.00U to win 3.53U

  24. #59
    Vadym
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    0020
    J S Cabal / R Farah - P Carreno Busta / P Cuevas
    ATP Buenos Aires - Doubles
    J S Cabal / R Farah @ 1.497 5.00U to win 2.49U

  25. #60
    RudyRuetigger
    Leave of absence until March Madness
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    this guy is a wanna be tout

    hope he loses it all SOON

  26. #61
    Vadym
    Vadym's Avatar Become A Pro!
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    0001 +1.04U
    0002 - 2.00U
    0003 - 2.00U
    0004 +2.54U
    0005 +1.36U
    0006 - 3.00U
    0007 - PUSH

    0008 +1.98U
    0009 - 3,00U
    0010 - PUSH
    0011 +1.30U
    0012 - 3.00U
    0013 +2.82U
    0014 - 3.00U
    0015 +1.12U
    0016 - 5.00U
    0017 - PUSH
    0018 - PENDING
    0019 - PENDING
    0020 -
    PENDING

    Overall record: W - L - P = 7
    - 7 - 3
    Balance: 91.16 (-08.84) U

  27. #62
    BrickJames
    Action
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    Quote Originally Posted by Vadym View Post
    0001 +1.04U
    0002 - 2.00U
    0003 - 2.00U
    0004 +2.54U
    0005 +1.36U
    0006 - 3.00U
    0007 - PUSH

    0008 +1.98U
    0009 - 3,00U
    0010 - PUSH
    0011 +1.30U
    0012 - 3.00U
    0013 +2.82U
    0014 - 3.00U
    0015 +1.12U
    0016 - 5.00U
    0017 - PUSH
    0018 - PENDING
    0019 - PENDING
    0020 -
    PENDING

    Overall record: W - L - P = 7
    - 7 - 3
    Balance: 91.16 (-08.84) U
    Spoiler alert you slowly lose all your money over the next 52 days.

    Next topic

  28. #63
    Vadym
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    Quote Originally Posted by BrickJames View Post
    Spoiler alert you slowly lose all your money over the next 52 days.

    Next topic
    Yeah. You a are right. Now I feel like I was doing something wrong. If I would bet opposite, I'd have a good profit. Now I am thinking to avoid bet odds lower than - 102.

  29. #64
    PittsburghPlayer
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    OP, if you have any of your money left, invest in
    crack
    either way you get that rush

    and if your air bet is/was a loser
    at least you got high

    win/win

  30. #65
    Vadym
    Vadym's Avatar Become A Pro!
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    0001 +1.04U
    0002 - 2.00U
    0003 - 2.00U
    0004 +2.54U
    0005 +1.36U
    0006 - 3.00U
    0007 - PUSH

    0008 +1.98U
    0009 - 3,00U
    0010 - PUSH
    0011 +1.30U
    0012 - 3.00U
    0013 +2.82U
    0014 - 3.00U
    0015 +1.12U
    0016 - 5.00U
    0017 - PUSH
    0018 - 2.50U
    0019 - 6.00U

    0020 - PUSH

    Overall record after 20 bets:

    0001 - 0020 -> Balance: 82.66 (-17.34) U -> W - L - P = 7 - 9 - 4

    The result is not good. I will try to change the approach. In the future I'll be avoiding bet lower than -102.



  31. #66
    PittsburghPlayer
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    dude, was just fukking with Ya
    with a bong hit or two you can bring this shit back

  32. #67
    Vadym
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    0001 - 0020 -> Balance: 82.66 (-17.34) U -> W - L - P = 7 - 9 - 4

    0021
    West Virginia - Kansas
    HCP - FT - NCAA
    Kansas -3.5 @2.00 3U to win 3U

  33. #68
    Vadym
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    0022
    Morehead State - Belmont
    HCP - FT - NCAA
    Belmont -17 @2.02 3.00U to win 3.06U

  34. #69
    Vadym
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    0023
    North Carolina - Louisville
    HCP - FT - NCAA
    North Carolina -2 @ 2.06 3.00U to wint 3.18U
    Last edited by Vadym; 02-17-18 at 07:46 PM.

  35. #70
    Vadym
    Vadym's Avatar Become A Pro!
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    0001 - 0020 -> Balance: 82.66 (-17.34) U -> W - L - P = 7 - 9 - 4
    0021 +3.00
    0022 +3.06
    0023 +3.18

    Overall record: W - L - P = 10 - 9 - 4
    Balance: 91.90 (-8.10) U


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