1. #1
    Fidel_CashFlow
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    I can get Berdych +498 against Federer at one of my books

    That might be too good to pass up
    They have played each other a lot
    and Fed has won twice as many as Berd has
    but they have always been close
    Berd just usually chokes
    Talent wise at this stage of their careers they are pretty close
    with Berd being the more powerful of the 2

    if Berd is lacing those aces he will be hard to break
    if Federer isn’t going sideline to sideline with great accuracy
    and allows Berd to get behind his returns this is
    damn near a 50/50 match

    +498 is a great line
    ppl say value doesn’t count if the bet won’t win
    but this is a winnable match for Berd
    he cruised last match over Del Porto
    he was one stroke away from beating Del Portro 6-0
    in the last set but won 6-2 instead

    Both players have looked great but Fed hasn’t beat someone
    like Del Portro , especially how easily Berd handled JDP
    he had 20 aces against him

    +498 cashes once out of 5 times you break even


    a regular -115 play you risking 1.15 to win a single unit
    and unless you have great patience you are in a dogfight
    on that str8 wager just at chance to win a single unit
    I feel like this match will be a dogfight for Federer
    being almost 37 years old and coming back from
    knee problems

    Going to make a milkshake , urinate , walk past the mirror
    in the bathroom and flex hard a few times till I feel lightheaded
    Put on deodorant and then make my decision on this play

  2. #2
    Fidel_CashFlow
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    I played it at +498

    the other books I have best line I can get is +405 and +420 ish

    Book I’m using to make this play is caribsports , a book not many people use

    but I swear they always have crazy lines comparable to others

    this shouldn’t be a +500 match , +300 at best

    Stay true with some good rallies , wait till can get centered with feet behind ball

    and try to smash one down the line and break Federer a few times

    He should handle his own on serve , I just hope he takes some chances in this

    match and goes for some dimes down the line in returns and rallies and doesn’t

    wait for Fed to make unforced error . Leave it all out there , take it to a final set

    and make it one set for all the marbles at +500

  3. #3
    ans61201
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    Fed 3-0

  4. #4
    JaimeMiro
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    difference between top 3, Berdych, Raonic, Kei & also rans isn't much... mostly court coverage and movement. Berd always looks good until he runs into top guns and gets dragged. +500 is good value; prob fed already in the finals.

    Good luck!

  5. #5
    cincinnatikid513
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    fed has beat him the last 9 meetings and berdy only won 2 sets and fed has him 19-6 h2h i don't see how u can say talent wise they are close berdych has made 1 final in his career in majors fed won 2 majors last year when they walk on the court fed starts the match with a 1 set lead over this guy he knows mentally he can't beat fed

  6. #6
    Fidel_CashFlow
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    So does that mean any of you are laying -620 on Federer ?

    Should be a easy u it then.....

    6.2 u it’s to win 1

    i know ans61201 must be since he puts Fed 3 matches to 0

    Yo Cincy , Fed bout 37 years old and Berd looking strong

    on them serves and forehand rips down the lines , I said

    if Berd plays pretty much unforced error free like he did against JDP

    then its 50-50

    Of course the moneyline going to be hard but Berd also is getting + 5.5 games

    that’s certainly reasonable . I’m going to enjoy the match either way

    1. I’ve been up for 2 days straight and basically rooster eyed at this point

    2. Want to see Berd take risks like a mo fo in this match


    3. I’m playing on house money
    when he isnt being stretched sideline to sideline and gets in gets in front of a shot

    Im hoping he goes for the gold and tries to nail some perfect rips

    win or lose go down swinging , no hesitation

  7. #7
    JaimeMiro
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    should only factor in age when fed is playing Nadal/Djoko. Most of these other chumps can't figure out granpa. like how we keep saying Ivo is old ... dude's only 40?

  8. #8
    cincinnatikid513
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    i dont bet heavy favs just gonna enjoy the match like watching fed move around the court like a gazelle bol on your wager

  9. #9
    cincinnatikid513
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    good start for tomas fed not serving well to start

  10. #10
    cincinnatikid513
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    if fed keeps playing like this u got a good shot hes not sharp at all missed easy volley fed never misses

  11. #11
    ans61201
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    If berdych doesn't win the first set after all that, he's toast.

  12. #12
    WalkingLuckCharm
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    easiest hedge when berdych was up a break

  13. #13
    cincinnatikid513
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    tomas better win 1st set might be hard over come letting that one slip if he loses it

  14. #14
    JaimeMiro
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    The birdman is toast hereon out. Up 3-0 & can't even serve out the set?.

  15. #15
    ans61201
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    It's over. Easy money on fed. Save yourself 1.5 hours of sleep.

  16. #16
    JaimeMiro
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    6-6(7-1), & the bird is toast!

  17. #17
    cincinnatikid513
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    bird man is hanging around fed not looking as good as usual

  18. #18
    cincinnatikid513
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    poor berdych guy is in the wrong era if no nadal federer joker murray this guy would of won a major

  19. #19
    JaimeMiro
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    Fed knows how to snatch Berd's heart out... dude was clearly having a bad day & yet covers

  20. #20
    cincinnatikid513
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    if you want beat federer better take that 1st set, he is a front runner once he gets ahead it's usually game over, when federer gets down a set or 2 he becomes more human

  21. #21
    jjgold
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    Fed seems unbeatable

  22. #22
    Fidel_CashFlow
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    Damn , Fed shows why he is a true champion
    so many times Berd had him dead to rights and
    somehow fed held

    Was a great match , just started betting Tennis this year and
    I’m up almost 20 units , there are things from a betting angle
    that I love about this sport .

  23. #23
    RudyRuetigger
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    Quote Originally Posted by Fidel_CashFlow View Post
    Damn , Fed shows why he is a true champion
    so many times Berd had him dead to rights and
    somehow fed held

    Was a great match , just started betting Tennis this year and
    I’m up almost 20 units , there are things from a betting angle
    that I love about this sport
    .
    thanks for letting us know what they are

  24. #24
    Fidel_CashFlow
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    No 1 listens here anyways Rudy lol
    I could be up 100 units instead of just 50 overall
    and it would be the same shit .
    Anyways , this play lost so wtf do I know

  25. #25
    RudyRuetigger
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    believe it or not

    I listen bro

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