1. #1
    Hman
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    A Falcons Win Would Give NFL Favs A 14-0 Sweep This Week (ESPN Wrong?)

    With a win tonight, Falcons would cap a perfect 14-0 week for favorites.

    Since the 1970 merger, favorites have won every game during an NFL week only twice--Week 9 of 2005 and Week 5 of 2006--per @ESPNStatsInfo.

    David Payne Purdum @davidpurdum

  2. #2
    daneblazer
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    Only 28 teams this week?

  3. #3
    Hman
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    Quote Originally Posted by daneblazer View Post
    Only 28 teams this week?


    Were a couple of games pick'em?

  4. #4
    johnnyvegas13
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    Don't worry they won't

  5. #5
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hman View Post
    Were a couple of games pick'em?
    I was going to say your stat must be about favorites winning the game, not necessarily covering, and also it depends on whether you count the opener, closer, or most of the trades that took place.

    For example, Kansas City opened as a 1 point favorite but traded as an underdog for the vast majority of the time before we saw a pick at many houses.

    But the stat really goes awry when you realize that Seattle, at some places, never traded as an Underdog or a pickem, they were favored the entire time.

    Seattle didn't win or cover.

    The every favorite won stat is not holding water, particularly when considering Las Vegas originators and bookmakers.

    Points Awarded:

    johnnyvegas13 gave KVB 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  6. #6
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by daneblazer View Post
    Only 28 teams this week?
    Quote Originally Posted by Hman View Post

    Were a couple of games pick'em?
    No consensus fave in SD/KC and Rams/SEA

  7. #7
    Hman
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    I was going to say your stat must be about favorites winning the game, not necessarily covering, and also it depends on whether you count the opener, closer, or most of the trades that took place.

    For example, Kansas City opened as a 1 point favorite but traded as an underdog for the vast majority of the time before we saw a pick at many houses.

    But the stat really goes awry when you realize that Seattle, at some places, never traded as an Underdog or a pickem, they were favored the entire time.

    Seattle didn't win or cover.

    The every favorite won stat is not holding water, particularly when considering Las Vegas originators and bookmakers.




    ESPN sucks
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  8. #8
    Renegades
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    Nah man giants covered as a dog

  9. #9
    Renegades
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    Tenn covered as well as a dog

  10. #10
    Chi_archie
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    Quote Originally Posted by Renegades View Post
    Tenn covered as well as a dog
    talking straight up outright winners


    not spread

  11. #11
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Renegades View Post
    Nah man giants covered as a dog
    Quote Originally Posted by Renegades View Post
    Tenn covered as well as a dog
    And Jets.

    But stat is straight up and discounting the 2 games I mentioned.

  12. #12
    Renegades
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    Oh ok i misunderstood. I thought we were talking ATS

  13. #13
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hman View Post
    ESPN sucks


    I tend to agree.

    By about lunchtime Monday, last week, the Chargers were favored by 1 over KC at Will Hill and that NEVER changed; the Chargers closed as 1 point favorites...they lost.

  14. #14
    big joe 1212
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    nothing to see here

  15. #15
    Renegades
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    I would imagine this year is on pace to be one of the worst ever for books. The faves ats have crushed, in particular, the most lopsided public plays. Also, there have been very few true upsets. Teasing faves down has been a gold mine. How many 7-8 pt dogs have won outright? Very very few

    Dont get me wrong, books will still win because of the vig and volume but revenue has to be way down

  16. #16
    Hman
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    If a bettor had used a 14-team money-line parlay of all winning Week 15 NFL favorites from the closing lines of the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook, a $100 bet would have won $12,584.40.


    Ben Fawkes, ESPN Staff Writer

  17. #17
    TheMoneyShot
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hman View Post
    If a bettor had used a 14-team money-line parlay of all winning Week 15 NFL favorites from the closing lines of the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook, a $100 bet would have won $12,584.40.


    Ben Fawkes, ESPN Staff Writer
    Tell Ben Fuks to call me.

  18. #18
    jjgold
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    Books mainly got hurt teasers and ML parlays

  19. #19
    funnyb25
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    Hman is new...he is trying very hard. Give him the benefit of the doubt.

  20. #20
    Eddy Munny
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    So that means Christmas weekend is going to be a very sour one for squares hoping for a Miracle on 34th Street, because I smell a revenge card for the books and a public burial that'll lead to some heavy drinking and possibly a rash of liquor store robberies from degens looking to break even.

    You've been warned!

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