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Ncaaf totals free falling
Keep an eye on some of the totals. Big drops on some of these number last couple days.just going by lines on my local site which I think mirrors Bovada.
Baylor /Ok St went from 72.5 to 68.5
Cincinnati/South Florida went from 69.5 to 65
Navy/Memphis went from 75 to 71
UCLA/Arizona went from 79 to 74.5
Texas tech/West Virginia went from 79 to 75
Yes, these are all high totals but 4-5 point drops on all of them seem a bit odd. Not sure ive seen that on so many games in one week.
Any ideas why?
Okay thanks Tom
I am looking into the weather reports
Could be a cold front coming in from the northeast
That type of cold will not affect the Totals it’s not low enough
We are not in December and January
Okay perhaps the Tom petty reference was too soon.
they are hitting at a 56% rate so far
maybe taking some trend riders
They are over inflated to start with on purpose because the last few yrs the books didnt adjust to the “new” pace of the game. Many many teams now run 80-85 plays a game. They put up 450 yards of offense and it seems impressive but its really not on a yards per play basis. Games that used to be 50 are now 55. Totals that were 62 are now 68 etc. the easy bets on the over are done. Its all baked into the line now
That's a good point. I remember seeing some of the Baylor and Oregon totals a few years back be in the mid 60s and would automatically bet the over. They would basically cover it themselves everytimeOriginally Posted by Renegades
Navy/Memphis should go Over. Memphis plays no defense and Navy's D shuts down 2nd half.
I want more thoughts about this and I want to continue the anonymous avatar replies only.
Maybe its a Friday the 13th thing with everyone going under?
We are not privy to something. That TT game is alarming. Side moves from 7 to 3 and now mackball with this total situation.
Tex Tech game makes no sense. West Virginia will do whatever they want when they wanna do it against that defense.
Usually when you see totals dropping across the board at this point of the season it is weather related.
Teams also running a lot more this year. Has not been accounted for yet.
WVU and TTech down to 72.5
Weather looks not just good, but great. What's the catch?
Eddy this is what I'm not understanding. Down virtually an entire touchdown since Wednesday morning. Other games also dropping heavy. Total comes out at 79ish and we can now get 72.5??? How is the over not a play here for at least something. It's not like points will be at a premium in this one either. Idk man I'm stumped
Any weather updates?
I'm betting Over this total, fukk it.
High powered offenses, sorry defenses, balmy weather... make these teams show me they can play under that total. I'll believe it when I see it.
Toledo/ Central Michigan
62.5
56.5
Is this a frog curse or something?
hell has frozen over?
I like the frogs well I’m respectful of them.
this may be biblical
Going with the overs
For those curious, I have last year's average points per game for every week of the season. Compared to last year at this time, scoring is down almost exactly .5 ppg. An average game is just under 60 ppg.
That UCLA total is probably too high at 79 so not surprised that fell.
rich rods offense is run heavy and their QB is terrible throwing.
if UCLa loses this game they're pretty sorry.
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