1. 10-10-17 11:09 AM #1
    Otters27
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    Anyway Troy loses to South Alabama?

    Thinking about a big bet here on the ML
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  2. 10-10-17 11:16 AM #2
    LT Profits
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    Weeknight Sun Belt game is probably not the best time to consider a big bet.
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  3. 10-10-17 11:23 AM #3
    BigdaddyQH
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    Lose, probably not. ML wager? You MAY get -800.
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  4. 10-10-17 11:27 AM #4
    Jay85
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    Troy will win
    S Alabama possibly a back door cover
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  5. 10-10-17 12:21 PM #5
    Rich Boy
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    We have seen 44 point dogs win games in College, anyone can lose
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  6. 10-10-17 12:58 PM #6
    chargers4222
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigdaddyQH View Post
    Lose, probably not. ML wager? You MAY get -800.
    Bigdaddy, any good ML plays you're looking at brother? Could use some advice from a pro...
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  7. 10-10-17 01:14 PM #7
    JayDr3am
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    Quote Originally Posted by chargers4222 View Post
    Bigdaddy, any good ML plays you're looking at brother? Could use some advice from a pro...
    lol
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  8. 10-10-17 08:01 PM #8
    Easy-Rider 66
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Weeknight Sun Belt game is probably not the best time to consider a big bet.
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  9. 10-10-17 08:22 PM #9
    BreesIsTheGOAT
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    I just can't see USA reaching 20 points in this game. I'm going to say 34-13
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  10. 10-10-17 08:25 PM #10
    Ralphie Halves
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    South Alabama is one of those teams that pulls out freak wins and covers. Well coached. Beat SDSU and MissSt last year.
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  11. 10-10-17 08:30 PM #11
    xKMACKx
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    This is a rivalry game that usually plays close. Also, Troy just won one of their biggest games in school history. How motivated are they going to be going from LSU to a Wednesday night Sun Belt game? Probably win but not worth the potential sweat job at that price.
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  12. 10-10-17 08:32 PM #12
    Otters27
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    Ok. Thanks guys. Not going to make the bet.
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  13. 10-10-17 08:39 PM #13
    BreesIsTheGOAT
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    Quote Originally Posted by xKMACKx View Post
    This is a rivalry game that usually plays close. Also, Troy just won one of their biggest games in school history. How motivated are they going to be going from LSU to a Wednesday night Sun Belt game? Probably win but not worth the potential sweat job at that price.
    I don't think the LSU win factors in here since they had a week off after to kinda let things settle down. I'm not sure I'm betting it either way, the line is just too inflated after that win.
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  14. 10-10-17 08:41 PM #14
    daneblazer
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    If South Alabama outscores Troy, I suppose they could beat them
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  15. 10-11-17 07:47 PM #15
    daneblazer
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    Uh oh
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  16. 10-11-17 07:52 PM #16
    LT Profits
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    I ended up on South Alabama +18
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  17. 10-11-17 07:57 PM #17
    Otters27
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    Man really glad I did not make this bet
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  18. 10-11-17 08:26 PM #18
    eastvan09
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    Troy offence can't get going
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  19. 10-11-17 08:35 PM #19
    xKMACKx
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    Quote Originally Posted by BreesIsTheGOAT View Post
    I don't think the LSU win factors in here since they had a week off after to kinda let things settle down. I'm not sure I'm betting it either way, the line is just too inflated after that win.
    The extra time could have have made it worse, sitting back getting complacent.
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  20. 10-11-17 09:10 PM #20
    Gooleez21
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    Lol
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  21. 10-11-17 09:19 PM #21
    Mike Huntertz
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    Wow!
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  22. 10-11-17 09:37 PM #22
    slapshot81
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    eee
    Last edited by slapshot81; 10-11-17 at 10:04 PM.
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  23. 10-11-17 10:06 PM #23
    Otters27
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    Wow. I could have lost a few thousand here. Very lucky you guys talked me out of it
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  24. 10-11-17 10:12 PM #24
    unusialsusp5
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    Quote Originally Posted by Otters27 View Post
    Wow. I could have lost a few thousand here. Very lucky you guys talked me out of it
    and hopefully for your sake all future big ML favorites. don't even look at those. the juice is always higher than it should be and is it really fun betting those knowing you have to win like 9 out of 10 to make money. there was once a guy named brock landers ...................who did this.......
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  25. 10-11-17 10:16 PM #25
    jjgold
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    Otter Bet big underdogs
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  26. 10-11-17 10:20 PM #26
    dlowilly
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    This is far from over

    Big underdogs look for ways to shit the bed when they should have it wrapped it up
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  27. 10-11-17 10:36 PM #27
    BossPicks30
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Otter Bet big underdogs
    Otter words of advice that helped me out tremoundously. Fade whatever JJ and Bigdaddy go with. They won me a lot last year after following them for 3 years
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  28. 10-11-17 11:04 PM #28
    Otters27
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    Again thanks guys for talking me out of this. Feel like I won a huge bet
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  29. 10-11-17 11:11 PM #29
    jtoler
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    The letdown is real.
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  30. 10-11-17 11:17 PM #30
    semibluff
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    The juice on a -110 vs -110 line is 4.76%.
    The juice on a -1000 vs +800 line, (which according to SBR's odds is what 5dimes closed at), is 2.02%.
    Bet whichever juice levels suit you. The problem with such heavy favourites is it's difficult to find lines that are sufficiently inaccurate to make it worthwhile. If a team shows as a 91% probability you have to think they're several % better than than to cover the juice and show a profit long term. People think there's more chance of finding a 5% or bigger error on a 50% probability, which is why they generally prefer close lines.
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  31. 10-12-17 01:33 AM #31
    Ralphie Halves
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    Quote Originally Posted by Otters27 View Post
    Wow. I could have lost a few thousand here. Very lucky you guys talked me out of it
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  32. 10-12-17 01:52 AM #32
    lonegambler23
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    Quote Originally Posted by unusialsusp5 View Post
    and hopefully for your sake all future big ML favorites. don't even look at those. the juice is always higher than it should be and is it really fun betting those knowing you have to win like 9 out of 10 to make money. there was once a guy named brock landers ...................who did this.......
    save your tongue
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