1. 09-12-17 04:34 PM #1
    grease lightnin
    &
    grease lightnin's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-01-12
    Posts: 16,015
    Betpoints: 3185

    UCLA -3 at Memphis

    UCLA doesn't have the best D, I know, but Memphis D didn't do much better vs UL Monroe. They barely won.

    I would ask for people to talk me out of it but I already hit it for 1.66 units

    So... tell me how I made a mistake.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  2. 09-12-17 04:36 PM #2
    Husker36
    Husker36's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-02-08
    Posts: 3,832
    Betpoints: 407

    One of my top plays
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  3. 09-12-17 04:39 PM #3
    unde0087
    Did we win?
    unde0087's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-27-08
    Posts: 28,146
    Betpoints: 107

    It is UCLA so you know how that can turn out. Having said that, the difference in the recruits on paper aren't even close. This appears to be the game of the week that is too good to be true. Good luck on it Greaser
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  4. 09-12-17 05:12 PM #4
    grease lightnin
    &
    grease lightnin's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-01-12
    Posts: 16,015
    Betpoints: 3185

    Yeah it does look fishy, unde, but I figured look-ahead to Stanford and shitty D, so...
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  5. 09-12-17 05:17 PM #5
    Snowball
    Snowball's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 11-15-09
    Posts: 30,021
    Betpoints: 3780

    yeah, this stuck out for me also.

    always tough on the road.

    Does Memphis have a strong pass rush ?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  6. 09-12-17 05:20 PM #6
    grease lightnin
    &
    grease lightnin's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-01-12
    Posts: 16,015
    Betpoints: 3185

    Quote Originally Posted by Snowball View Post
    Does Memphis have a strong pass rush ?
    Allowed 279 yds to UL Monroe
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  7. 09-12-17 05:25 PM #7
    Sam Odom
    Sam Odom's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-30-05
    Posts: 58,063
    Betpoints: 37

    Good Luck , greasy
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  8. 09-12-17 05:34 PM #8
    Snowball
    Snowball's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 11-15-09
    Posts: 30,021
    Betpoints: 3780

    Quote Originally Posted by grease lightnin View Post
    Allowed 279 yds to UL Monroe
    hammer time.
    UCLA while 3 lasts.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  9. 09-12-17 05:51 PM #9
    TheChamp1
    TheChamp1's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-20-15
    Posts: 811
    Betpoints: 6383

    Quote Originally Posted by grease lightnin View Post
    UCLA doesn't have the best D, I know, but Memphis D didn't do much better vs UL Monroe. They barely won.

    I would ask for people to talk me out of it but I already hit it for 1.66 units

    So... tell me how I made a mistake.
    Be careful. Memphis' offense is explosive. They played UL Monroe in driving rain from Harvey. Monroe scored 2 junk TD's against Memphis' 4th string in the 4th quarter. Game wasn't close. Vegas isn't stupid
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  10. 09-12-17 06:01 PM #10
    USCPHILLYGUY
    HORSES MODERATOR
    USCPHILLYGUY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-15-12
    Posts: 21,738
    Betpoints: 29335

    Quote Originally Posted by TheChamp1 View Post
    Be careful. Memphis' offense is explosive. They played UL Monroe in driving rain from Harvey. Monroe scored 2 junk TD's against Memphis' 4th string in the 4th quarter. Game wasn't close. Vegas isn't stupid
    Greaser doesn't cap games based on logic....the dart landed on UCLA this week so that's the play
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  11. 09-12-17 06:31 PM #11
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 83,070
    Betpoints: 11851

    UCLA is tough and is showing heart this year, 2-0 so far, spanked Hawaii last week.. I think they can take Memphis and out score them also Greaser..

    UCLA at Memphis
    Sat 9/16 137 UCLA -3 -105 -145 o70½ -110
    12:00PM 138 Memphis +3 -115 +125 u70½ -110
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  12. 09-12-17 06:37 PM #12
    grease lightnin
    &
    grease lightnin's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-01-12
    Posts: 16,015
    Betpoints: 3185

    Quote Originally Posted by USCPHILLYGUY View Post
    Greaser doesn't cap games based on logic....the dart landed on UCLA this week so that's the play

    Solid analysis.

    Thanks for your addition to the discussion old fella.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  13. 09-12-17 06:56 PM #13
    gojetsgomoxies
    gojetsgomoxies's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-04-12
    Posts: 4,222
    Betpoints: 8519

    same reaction as OP.............. memphis is very scrappy. probably good under-the-radar recruits as it's a great geographic area. UCLA is chronic underachiever but maybe that's changed now..

    i do like UCLA though.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  14. 09-12-17 07:25 PM #14
    Eddy Munny
    Eddy Munny's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-13-13
    Posts: 14,574
    Betpoints: 24921

    One of those games where Vegas is either going to look really sharp, or really stupid.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  15. 09-12-17 07:38 PM #15
    maggiethebestdog
    maggiethebestdog's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-21-13
    Posts: 6,700
    Betpoints: 7629

    The spread looks right to me. If Sumlin wasn't the worst, most gutless coach in history, Memphis is -3. They destroyed ULM in terrible weather. I personally wouldn't touch the game. I hope you win, though.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  16. 09-12-17 07:41 PM #16
    grease lightnin
    &
    grease lightnin's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-01-12
    Posts: 16,015
    Betpoints: 3185

    Quote Originally Posted by Eddy Munny View Post
    One of those games where Vegas is either going to look really sharp, or really stupid.
    Well they are 5-9 ats 2016, through 1st game of this season so it seems they have been overvaluing them...
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  17. 09-12-17 07:45 PM #17
    grease lightnin
    &
    grease lightnin's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-01-12
    Posts: 16,015
    Betpoints: 3185

    91% on UCLA. Line has only moved .5 a point.

    Yikes.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  18. 09-12-17 08:53 PM #18
    Wheatgrass
    Wheatgrass's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-05-17
    Posts: 507
    Betpoints: 728

    Adam RittenbergESPN Staff Writer

    UCLA will travel Thursday night to Memphis in an effort to adjust to the time zone for Saturday's kickoff (9 a.m. Pacific time on ABC) against the Tigers. The Bruins will have a Friday morning workout and operate on a schedule designed to get them acclimated as best as possible for the game at the Liberty Bowl.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  19. 09-12-17 09:00 PM #19
    unde0087
    Did we win?
    unde0087's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-27-08
    Posts: 28,146
    Betpoints: 107

    Greaser, I hope to God you don't get UCLAed
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  20. 09-12-17 10:19 PM #20
    Cougsky17
    Cougsky17's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-26-10
    Posts: 135
    Betpoints: 284

    Wrong.Team.Favored.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  21. 09-12-17 10:50 PM #21
    t-wizzle
    t-wizzle's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-18-09
    Posts: 38,099
    Betpoints: 2191

    Looks like a stone Memphis line.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  22. 09-12-17 10:59 PM #22
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 83,070
    Betpoints: 11851

    Quote Originally Posted by Wheatgrass View Post
    Adam RittenbergESPN Staff Writer

    UCLA will travel Thursday night to Memphis in an effort to adjust to the time zone for Saturday's kickoff (9 a.m. Pacific time on ABC) against the Tigers. The Bruins will have a Friday morning workout and operate on a schedule designed to get them acclimated as best as possible for the game at the Liberty Bowl.


    Most of these college kids are at class at 9am so I don't think it's gonna make a difference..
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  23. 09-13-17 03:11 AM #23
    Roscoe_Word
    Roscoe_Word's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-28-12
    Posts: 4,000
    Betpoints: 8667

    I was lookin at the 16 day rest MEM will have, but I don't think that will matter. GL with that pic.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  24. 09-13-17 03:41 AM #24
    Mike2332
    Mike2332's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-17
    Posts: 78
    Betpoints: 194

    This seems like one of the toughest games on the board........I would almost rather give -7 @UCLA than -3 @Memphis
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  25. 09-13-17 08:00 AM #25
    grease lightnin
    &
    grease lightnin's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-01-12
    Posts: 16,015
    Betpoints: 3185

    Well major public play according to scores and odds, but SBR consensus looks somewhat split.

    This is a good thing
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  26. 09-13-17 10:43 AM #26
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    Over might be a good bet too

    UCLA ALSO
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  27. 09-13-17 10:48 AM #27
    funnyb25
    Go Get Laid Man!
    funnyb25's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-09-09
    Posts: 39,622
    Betpoints: 23972

    Worried
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  28. 09-13-17 11:03 AM #28
    grease lightnin
    &
    grease lightnin's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-01-12
    Posts: 16,015
    Betpoints: 3185

    Fock when homers are worried I get worried
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  29. 09-13-17 11:12 AM #29
    USCPHILLYGUY
    HORSES MODERATOR
    USCPHILLYGUY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-15-12
    Posts: 21,738
    Betpoints: 29335

    Why are you taken what they did v UL Monroe? SC looked like shit v W. Michigan- played Stanford the next week - line went down to 4.5 & we hammered SC. Game was played in a hurricane & im sure these kids didn't get up for the game. UCLA D is horrible. The winning TD v A&M shouldn't have counted & they beat a horrible Hawaii team. Better games on the board brother

    Im on Liverpool ML this afternoon. Good luck.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  30. 09-13-17 11:15 AM #30
    Snowball
    Snowball's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 11-15-09
    Posts: 30,021
    Betpoints: 3780

    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    Most of these college kids are at class at 9am so I don't think it's gonna make a difference..
    that's right - and it's only 2 hours.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  31. 09-14-17 11:53 PM #31
    TPowell
    TPowell's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-21-08
    Posts: 18,842
    Betpoints: 331

    Wow do you guys do any research at all?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  32. 09-15-17 06:54 AM #32
    grease lightnin
    &
    grease lightnin's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-01-12
    Posts: 16,015
    Betpoints: 3185

    Quote Originally Posted by TPowell View Post
    Wow do you guys do any research at all?
    Care to elaborate?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  33. 09-15-17 07:10 AM #33
    TPowell
    TPowell's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-21-08
    Posts: 18,842
    Betpoints: 331

    Quote Originally Posted by grease lightnin View Post
    Care to elaborate?

    All these guys on ucla and can't figure out why the spread is so "low"
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  34. 09-15-17 07:16 AM #34
    grease lightnin
    &
    grease lightnin's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-01-12
    Posts: 16,015
    Betpoints: 3185

    Quote Originally Posted by TPowell View Post
    All these guys on ucla and can't figure out why the spread is so "low"

    I think we figured it out.

    But don't talk shit, because we've all seen you get buried more than dog bones suhn.

    Seriously though, the line does look low to me. Which is why I bet UCLA.

    You on Memohis?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  35. 09-15-17 08:26 AM #35
    BeatTheJerk
    BeatTheJerk's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-19-07
    Posts: 31,798
    Betpoints: 84

    Fishy baity line, so many other games to choose from that don't seem so suspect. Definitely a intriguing game to watch.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
1234 ... Last
Top
« Previous Thread | Players Talk | Next Thread »