Will share my analysis as I began to work on the card, race by race.
Official Plays will come tomorrow, after changes...
Been a great last 2 days over 15k in the black
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08-31-17 09:58 PM #1
Friday @ the Spa
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08-31-17 10:01 PM #2
Kid watch your segment tomorrow with my poster of the month video
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08-31-17 10:22 PM #3
R1
One mile & 1/8 on main track
14k Claimers Non winners of 3
Toss the #1 Mister Monolo, this horse has been stuck at this level way too long for my liking, Nothing i see , makes me think that will change in this spot.
#2 Enduring Honor is a must use, great current form, Thomas Amoss will have this one running late, lets see if he will get any pace to run at.... Just ran at this level and distance earlier in the meet and lost by NK.
#3 Pirellone has speed for Gary Contessa and loves this track, 2 seconds & 2 thirds outta 5 tries. This one is stretching out and that could be viewed as a positive move, Contender for sure.
#4 Sir Maurice just offer's nothing to like
#5 Augies Coming of course looks like the one to beat, Irad/Rudy team up here in only their 2nd try at this level, after dueling last and being out finished late. My Concern is there doesn't seem to be a lot of tactical speed, horse really only goes 1 way... speed duel again here with the #3 Pirellone?
#6 MR Grey might get up for a piece in the exotics, but this suffolk shipper, is making a bold move here. Claimed from the Clemente barn, but something tells me this barn just wants to be at toga. Just not fast enough to win here and never been on the dirt. Pass from a win aspect
#7 Heliodoro just in awful form currently, and nothing i see that would lead to changing that here.
So Mr grey is your x factor here...
This is not official, but at this point I'll make my top selection #2 Enduring Honor and will also use the #3 Pirellone and #5 Augie's Coming in horizontals...
Keep in mind this is an open discussion, feel free to join in and talk some handicapping...
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08-31-17 10:22 PM #4
lol , haven't watched one of those in forever...
Originally Posted by jjgold
you got it
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08-31-17 10:50 PM #5
R2
83k Maidens 2 year Phillies going 5 1/2 Furlongs on the grass.
#1 Lady Blessings, I just don't see the breeding for turf, and didn't show much in debut, and moving up in class here? hmmm... I gotta pass here
#2 Radiant Beauty, now this move to grass makes perfect sense outta Malibu Moon, Very Strong Connections and horse was a pretty purchase for 260k. Takes the hood off after the bobble start, this could be a sneaky lil price play here. Lots of question marks but must consider.
#3 Ad In , Firster for the George Arnold barn, 10/1 ml is pretty short for this spot, but I don't see anything that makes me wanna invest here, ill watch one
#4 Brattata, Another firster but for Chad Brown and gets Jose in the irons, 3-1 ml will be curious to see the tote on this one. Maybe a monster? Must use
#5 Puttingyouonthenews, Has ran well in both starts, but Irad opts to ride the #2, so w/ the downgraded rider I'd shy away. I think this horse is gonna be an underlay and take action that I'm not willing to give, pass.
#6 Talk Softly, another Malibu Moon and this one is interesting. 285k purchase and tried to get on the grass last time so just draw a line through that race. Clement knows what he's doing in this situations, and I'll consider as a long shot possibility and def use underneath on exotics.
#7 Souper Striking, another firster and I don't see enough to invest here, I'll watch one.
#8 Lyrical Tale, wouldn't shock me, but better options here
#9 Mermaid of Honor, is a def must use, horse is improving and nicks is great w/ 2 year olds. They worked her on the turf at saratoga and tried to get her on the grass in both of her starts.
#10 Chipolina has strong breeding and connections, but have a feeling the price will be too short for me, will watch the tote.
In conclusion, I'll make the #9 Mermaid of Honor as my top selection and I would use 2,4,6 in Horizontals
Will cap the AE/s and MTO if need be...Last edited by Louisvillekid1; 08-31-17 at 11:00 PM.
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08-31-17 11:25 PM #6
R3
20k Claimers non winners of 2, going 6 furlongs on the main track.
#1 Shadow Surprise has been training great, since last start (54 days ago) in that race he bobbled start and used energy to make up for it too early, weakened and lost to Vahalla who is back again here in the rematch. Might be time to flip the script here.
#2 My Friend, is dropping and in terrible form, pass
#3 High Five Cotton ships in w/ good trainer 18% on shippers. Draws the meet's top rider on the drop. 15/1 ml id be shocked if that # doesn't drop, i view this horse as a contender and must use underneath atleast.
#4 Italian Syndicate, is making a huge drop for danny Gargan who claimed from rudy's barn, but this smells like a fire sale. gonna be to short for me it seems. Might leave this one off the ticket, suspicious here and this field full of speed.
#5 Vahalla we already spoke about, if you use the #1 you gotta use the #5, but i have a feeling this price is going to be to short for my liking.. contender for sure, but meh, he might get left off the ticket as well in horizontals.
#6 Buddy Anthony is your 2/1 ml chalk, and well deserving w/ servis and ortiz... I'm just concerned as this horse only seems to know one way and with all the speed, do they duel? would have to pass at the short price.
#7 Silver Assault, See nothing to back vs these in here.
#8 Ethan Hunt has a chance here, will be moving late, and with all the speed, it could set up nicely for him, however this horse just continues to drop and not perform well. would need perfect trip and pace meltdown.
I really don't have a good feel here, Kinda wanted to make the #1 my top selection, but the Value is on the #3, 15/1 is a joke...Last edited by Louisvillekid1; 08-31-17 at 11:28 PM.
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08-31-17 11:33 PM #7
Getting Some rest
will be back tomorrow late am/early afternoon
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09-01-17 10:28 AM #8
Leaving philly now, dam made in America shit killin me
let's get it!!!!
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09-01-17 10:40 AM #9
Please connect thread to horse forum
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09-01-17 10:46 AM #10
R1
$5 Pick 3:
R1... 2,3,5
R2... 2,4,6,9
R3... 3
$60
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09-01-17 11:43 AM #11
Thanks for the plays kid .. been following and between your plays and mine at Saratoga had a monster day yesterday. Congrats on the last two days very impressive. Let cash some tickets today 🙌🏻🙌🏻
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09-01-17 11:44 AM #12
glad to hear!!! Originally Posted by WildcatNation
Please shareLast edited by Louisvillekid1; 09-01-17 at 11:49 AM.
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09-01-17 11:47 AM #13
Good luck. Every time I get a first time starter win at 18-1 or higher I'm
asked how did you pick him. I always respond he never lost a race before.
Hit a couple 4 aces with the kicker at video poker the last two days may
trail you.
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09-01-17 11:49 AM #14
In the 4th, I think the #5 has a very good chance at a price to wire the field. The entry is gonna be tough and All about Ashley just ran heart in in best, could regress, but there really isn't much speed
Lets play $50 WP incase, we get caught...
8/1 ml
Ticket#: 31523230
Sep 01 11:44 AMINTERNET / 0 Sep 01 11:44:55 AM RAC Racing ticket #1236234
Sep-01 SAR R1 5.00 USD PK3 2,3,5/2,4,6,9/360 / 0 Ticket#: 31523691
Sep 01 12:48 PMINTERNET / 0 Sep 01 12:48:57 PM RAC Racing ticket #1236239
Sep-01 SAR R4 50.00 USD WP 5100 / 0
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09-01-17 11:49 AM #15
Congrats, and lol Originally Posted by brock
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09-01-17 11:51 AM #16
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09-01-17 12:03 PM #17
Nice start getting the 3rd choice on the boards, to get this easy winner home in first leg.
dam 9/2 in gate, closes at 5/2
Still nice cuz top 2 favs out...
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09-01-17 12:04 PM #18
Alive in the Double.....Lets get IT!!
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09-01-17 12:09 PM #19
Great first race ... will throw in some picks and input here kid
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09-01-17 12:11 PM #20
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09-01-17 12:13 PM #21
Originally Posted by Jowframs
Looking forward to it Originally Posted by WildcatNation
tvg Originally Posted by GzaTheGenius
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09-01-17 12:37 PM #22
Wesley Ward wins on the first ask, not surprising, but can't bet them all.
-$60 on day
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09-01-17 12:40 PM #23
i know big scratches, but lnew 15/1 was a joke, 5/2 currently... Originally Posted by Louisvillekid1
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09-01-17 12:42 PM #24
Tough 2nd race ... back at it
Race 4
10 Ex box
4,5,6
$60
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09-01-17 12:45 PM #25
-$60
Pending Plays:
Ticket#: 31523691
Sep 01 12:48 PMINTERNET / 0 Sep 01 12:48:57 PM RAC Racing ticket #1236239
Sep-01 SAR R4 50.00 USD WP 5100 / 0 Ticket#: 31523957
Sep 01 01:43 PMINTERNET / 0 Sep 01 01:43:31 PM RAC Racing ticket #1236246
Sep-01 SAR R3 5.00 USD PK3 3/1,5/1,4,5,740 / 0 Ticket#: 31523960
Sep 01 01:45 PMINTERNET / 0 Sep 01 01:45:03 PM RAC Racing ticket #1236248
Sep-01 SAR R3 100.00 USD WIN 3100 / 0
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09-01-17 12:49 PM #26
I like it, just slightly worried about the #4, think that last took a lot out... Originally Posted by WildcatNation
I'll tail for $5 Ex
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09-01-17 12:50 PM #27
Originally Posted by Louisvillekid1
Ticket#: 31523984
Sep 01 01:50 PMINTERNET / 0 Sep 01 01:50:16 PM RAC Racing ticket #1236252
Sep-01 SAR R4 5.00 USD EXX 4,5,630 / 0
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09-01-17 01:34 PM #28
Let's get it 👍🏻 Originally Posted by Louisvillekid1
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09-01-17 02:04 PM #29
another tough one...
-$340 on day
in the 5th I think the chalk is very vulnerable....
Ticket#: 31524273
Sep 01 03:04 PMINTERNET / 0 Sep 01 03:04:39 PM RAC Racing ticket #1236271
Sep-01 SAR R5 10.00 USD EXX 1,4,760 / 0
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09-01-17 02:10 PM #30
Ticket#: 31524283
Sep 01 03:10 PMINTERNET / 0 Sep 01 03:10:18 PM RAC Racing ticket #1236274
Sep-01 SAR R6 10.00 USD PK3 1,4,6/2,4,8,10,11/3150 / 0
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09-01-17 02:17 PM #31
Yeah that chalk was awful... Originally Posted by Louisvillekid1
Was hoping we would get the 10/1 on top but 2/1 and 10/1 w/ chalk outta the money, is still very nice and should get us in the black for the day...
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09-01-17 02:18 PM #32
In the 6th and 7th I think we could see some huge prices...
It's why i spread out in the Pick 3 and went pretty heavy, as I could argue cases for many in both races...
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09-01-17 02:26 PM #33
That last race nets us $272.50 profit, so still in the red on the day
-$58
Pick 3 pending starting in the 6th ($150 play), but you can play for $1 and tail for as little as $15...Last edited by Louisvillekid1; 09-01-17 at 02:53 PM.
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09-01-17 02:45 PM #34
I'm on the pick three ... was eating lunch and missed 5th race but back at it
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09-01-17 02:51 PM #35
Shoulda played the dam tri or atleast ex... Originally Posted by WildcatNation
Jeez 6-4-1
9/2 11-1 and 4-1
But hey $11 Horse to start
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