1. #1
    Snowball
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    What IS the next big game worth spending actual time capping ?

    So much junk.

    Filler action is for habitual bettors
    that don't spend time CAPPING.

    any ideas ?

    I'm going stale on this junk food.

  2. #2
    unde0087
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    Week 1 CFB and NFL

  3. #3
    jjgold
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    Nothing today or tonight

  4. #4
    RoyBacon
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    Look at that S. FL at San Jose game. S. FL is loaded and were dam good LY. Love to find a good home dog but this one looks like a chance to lay the points.

  5. #5
    Snowball
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    Quote Originally Posted by unde0087 View Post
    Week 1 CFB and NFL
    Week 1 is bad for cappers.

    Too much speculation.

    I mean it's not the same, angles are more iffy.

  6. #6
    unde0087
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    Quote Originally Posted by Snowball View Post
    Week 1 is bad for cappers.

    Too much speculation.

    I mean it's not the same, angles are more iffy.
    Lines also aren't as sharp as they will be 5 weeks in, there is always some iffy lines that can be exploited if you do your homework

  7. #7
    Snowball
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    Quote Originally Posted by unde0087 View Post
    Lines also aren't as sharp as they will be 5 weeks in, there is always some iffy lines that can be exploited if you do your homework
    yeah, but there is a greater value in knowledge of teams to work with
    than there is in picking a loose line that is loose for a reason.

    in games where I spend actual time and effort capping
    the line is of no concern. I'm sure you've heard of the approach
    to cap then look at the line... it's actually a deep question in handicapping,
    what comes first. the line places an assumption in your head which is
    difficult to eliminate from the visualization process.

  8. #8
    jjgold
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    It is not about capping it is about exposing lines regardless of sport

  9. #9
    lonegambler23
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    week one

  10. #10
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by Snowball View Post
    ...I'm sure you've heard of the approach
    to cap then look at the line... it's actually a deep question in handicapping,
    what comes first. the line places an assumption in your head which is
    difficult to eliminate from the visualization process.
    No, it's not.

    It's only a deep question for subjective cappers, who have very little chance of winning long term, save the few talented ones.

    Objectively handicapping will eliminate this "question" and keep things much more grounded, whether you've seen the line or not.

    Don't use emotions to handicap, especially if you are trying to visualize something...and being influenced by the line while handicapping is emotional. Allowing the line to influence the decision to bet is not the same thing.

    It's a game of numbers and numbers is the game.

    Everything else is just gambling.


  11. #11
    mngambler
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    I just love how everyone can't wait for razor sharp NFL lines like it's so easily beatable, I've said it before and I'll say it again...Soccer is where the best value is and it's not even close
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  12. #12
    jjgold
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    NFL graveyard but we don't mind losing because it's football

  13. #13
    Snowball
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    No, it's not.

    It's only a deep question for subjective cappers, who have very little chance of winning long term, save the few talented ones.

    Objectively handicapping will eliminate this "question" and keep things much more grounded, whether you've seen the line or not.

    Don't use emotions to handicap, especially if you are trying to visualize something...and being influenced by the line while handicapping is emotional. Allowing the line to influence the decision to bet is not the same thing.

    It's a game of numbers and numbers is the game.

    Everything else is just gambling.

    KVB, it's no secret that most cappers simply work off the line, trust the line,
    think in terms of the line, base their money management against repetitive ATS
    betting, and stare at the line movement as a predictive indicator.
    These are long-term losing methods, we agree.
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  14. #14
    Snowball
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    btw. I am thinking Week 1 Tampa @ Miami
    could be worth capping and a size bet against Cutler.

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