1. 07-23-17 06:55 AM #1
    LT Profits
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    MLB - Sunday, 7/23/17

    4 MLB Sides Sunday

    Rangers +130 (Heritage)
    White Sox +131 (Heritage)
    Pirates +101 (Heritage)
    Nationals -115 (Bookmaker)


    YTD: 364-388-22, -4.47

    Totals Coming
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  2. 07-23-17 07:14 AM #2
    LT Profits
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    6 MLB Plays Sunday

    6 MLB Plays Sunday

    Rangers +130 (Heritage)
    White Sox +131 (Heritage)
    White Sox / Royals UNDER 11 +100 (Heritage)
    Pirates +101 (Heritage)
    Braves / Dodgers UNDER 7 +110 (Heritage)
    Nationals -115 (Bookmaker)
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  3. 07-23-17 08:27 AM #3
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    1 MLB Addition

    7 MLB Plays Sunday

    Rangers +130 (Heritage)
    Blue Jays / Indians UNDER 8 -110 (Heritage)
    White Sox +131 (Heritage)
    White Sox / Royals UNDER 11 +100 (Heritage)
    Pirates +101 (Heritage)
    Braves / Dodgers UNDER 7 +110 (Heritage)
    Nationals -115 (Bookmaker)
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  4. 07-23-17 08:38 AM #4
    JayDr3am
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    rangers for the sweep eh?
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  5. 07-23-17 08:42 AM #5
    JerseyGodFather
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    I like the Nats at -115, but Ray & the Dbacks are no joke so I'm hesitant.
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  6. 07-23-17 08:46 AM #6
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by JayDr3am View Post
    rangers for the sweep eh?
    I don't care about that, I look at each game on its own merit.
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  7. 07-23-17 08:48 AM #7
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by JerseyGodFather View Post
    I like the Nats at -115, but Ray & the Dbacks are no joke so I'm hesitant.
    Agree totally as I am also a fan of Ray, but Nats looked like "value favorite" at -115 as I get Strasburg 56% (-127).
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  8. 07-23-17 08:53 AM #8
    JerseyGodFather
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Agree totally as I am also a fan of Ray, but Nats looked like "value favorite" at -115 as I get Strasburg 56% (-127).
    It's tough to pass up the Nats at -115 especially with Stras on the mound. I am thinking about putting together a parlay with the Nats and Dodgers RL. BOL man.
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  9. 07-23-17 09:06 AM #9
    JayDr3am
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    I don't care about that, I look at each game on its own merit.
    but atleast you know what im referring to. you probably should start though.. its the mystique of baseball
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  10. 07-23-17 09:08 AM #10
    JayDr3am
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    i see that rangers are being pounded.. so hmm who knows. BOL
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  11. 07-23-17 09:25 AM #11
    Waterstpub87
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    You move west or something? Taking the Bucs everyday.
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  12. 07-23-17 09:27 AM #12
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by JayDr3am View Post
    but atleast you know what im referring to. you probably should start though.. its the mystique of baseball
    I don't even care about team overall records with the exception of isolating "dead" teams in September, all I care about is projected lineups and how far starting pitchers are expected to go each day and then let model do the rest.
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  13. 07-23-17 09:28 AM #13
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    Quote Originally Posted by Waterstpub87 View Post
    You move west or something? Taking the Bucs everyday.
    More like constantly fading Rockies, the most overachieving team in baseball based on model stats.
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  14. 07-23-17 11:09 AM #14
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    More like constantly fading Rockies, the most overachieving team in baseball based on model stats.
    Are overachieving and winning the same thing????
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  15. 07-23-17 11:11 AM #15
    Rigbone
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    Love the White Sox play. Also a bit surprised to see you passing on the Jays. I know the model wouldn't account for it but Kluber can't ever seem to stay healthy.
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  16. 07-23-17 11:14 AM #16
    lakerboy
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    I don't even care about team overall records with the exception of isolating "dead" teams in September, all I care about is projected lineups and how far starting pitchers are expected to go each day and then let model do the rest.
    You should start caring. The model seems to be old and outdated. Be like Trump and get a new model
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  17. 07-23-17 11:15 AM #17
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by 44 Mag View Post
    Are overachieving and winning the same thing????
    Overachieving = Having a better winning % than the saber stats say you are supposed to.

    Rockies lead the world in that variance, they are nowhere near as good as their record.
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  18. 07-23-17 11:16 AM #18
    funnyb25
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Overachieving = Having a better winning % than the saber stats say you are supposed to.

    Rockies lead the world in that variance, they are nowhere near as good as their record.
    If the Rockies win and their Saber Stats say they shouldn't do you get money back?
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  19. 07-23-17 11:17 AM #19
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    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    You should start caring. The model seems to be old and outdated. Be like Trump and get a new model
    No it isn't. I am still beating closers at nearly a 70% clip and -4 units is nothing with plenty of baseball left.
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  20. 07-23-17 11:18 AM #20
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    Quote Originally Posted by funnyb25 View Post
    If the Rockies win and their Saber Stats say they shouldn't do you get money back?
    We are talking about predicting the future, not what has happened so far.
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  21. 07-23-17 11:20 AM #21
    funnyb25
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    We are talking about predicting the future, not what has happened so far.
    Diamondbacks should be in a similar boat no?
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  22. 07-23-17 11:22 AM #22
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    MLB Addition

    8 MLB Plays Sunday

    Rangers +130 (Heritage)
    Blue Jays / Indians UNDER 8 -110 (Heritage)
    White Sox +131 (Heritage)
    White Sox / Royals UNDER 11 +100 (Heritage)
    Pirates +101 (Heritage)
    Braves / Dodgers UNDER 7 +110 (Heritage)
    Nationals -115 (Bookmaker)
    Cardinals / Cubs UNDER 8 -105 (Heritage)
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  23. 07-23-17 11:23 AM #23
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    Quote Originally Posted by funnyb25 View Post
    Diamondbacks should be in a similar boat no?
    True but not as much.
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  24. 07-23-17 11:35 AM #24
    kkwins84
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    We are talking about predicting the future, not what has
    happened so far.
    Give it a rest with your stupid model that supposedly knows everything!!! One glory year with the model and u think u are smarter then everyone when u really are a dumbass that swears of a model
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  25. 07-23-17 11:56 AM #25
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Overachieving = Having a better winning % than the saber stats say you are supposed to.

    Rockies lead the world in that variance, they are nowhere near as good as their record.
    Neither are the Red Sox.....
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  26. 07-23-17 12:09 PM #26
    Otters27
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    I might go with braves/dodgers over. Good luck LT
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  27. 07-23-17 02:25 PM #27
    JayDr3am
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    I don't even care about team overall records with the exception of isolating "dead" teams in September, all I care about is projected lineups and how far starting pitchers are expected to go each day and then let model do the rest.
    youve been doing this longer than ive been alive so im not trying to come in here and coach you on how to wager lol.. but your model should not be telling you to take a team thats 2-0 in a 3 game series.. everyone who watches baseball or knows the sport knows its hard to get the sweep in a 3 game series.
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  28. 07-23-17 02:27 PM #28
    JayDr3am
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    i dont know what it is about that sweep game but the team thats been getting their ass kicked in the series, they seem to wake up in that sweep game
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  29. 07-23-17 02:55 PM #29
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    1 Last MLB Addition at 4:05 ET

    9 MLB Plays Sunday

    Rangers +130 (Heritage)
    Blue Jays / Indians UNDER 8 -110 (Heritage)
    White Sox +131 (Heritage)
    White Sox / Royals UNDER 11 +100 (Heritage)
    Pirates +101 (Heritage)
    Padres -101 (Heritage)
    Braves / Dodgers UNDER 7 +110 (Heritage)
    Nationals -115 (Bookmaker)
    Cardinals / Cubs UNDER 8 -105 (Heritage)
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  30. 07-23-17 03:43 PM #30
    Waterstpub87
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    Quote Originally Posted by JayDr3am View Post
    youve been doing this longer than ive been alive so im not trying to come in here and coach you on how to wager lol.. but your model should not be telling you to take a team thats 2-0 in a 3 game series.. everyone who watches baseball or knows the sport knows its hard to get the sweep in a 3 game series.
    I've seen this theory tested somewhere, and there is actually alot of value on taking the sweeping team because so many people think this.
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  31. 07-23-17 04:22 PM #31
    JayDr3am
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    Quote Originally Posted by Waterstpub87 View Post
    I've seen this theory tested somewhere, and there is actually alot of value on taking the sweeping team because so many people think this.
    its not that i think that this way.. its the results. the game lost. but the reds today were in a sweeping position also and came out and won and avoided the sweep.. i was just on the wrong sweep game lol
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  32. 07-23-17 04:24 PM #32
    funnyb25
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    Rockies pretty good

    Maybe we will fade them again tomorrow
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  33. 07-23-17 04:28 PM #33
    JayDr3am
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    Quote Originally Posted by funnyb25 View Post
    Rockies pretty good

    Maybe we will fade them again tomorrow
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  34. 07-23-17 04:51 PM #34
    kkwins84
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    Quote Originally Posted by JayDr3am View Post
    Lol model this model that...hope u can at least recycle that piece of shit model of yours
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  35. 07-23-17 05:20 PM #35
    dtd069
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    sick model breh
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