1. #1
    MaddyMax
    MaddyMax's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-14-17
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    Wimbledon R16: Big Dog pick....

    From Bettingresource's facebook:

    Dimitrov ml (5.80) against Federer
    Yes, Federer is the favorite here and most likely to win but federer's odds are very over valued here because of the media, 5-0 head to head for federer, Federer's 2017 hard court performance and the public expectation. Dmitrov is a very talented player who has not lived up to his potential and usually chokes in big games but if he can keep focus and bring his A game, federer is beatable at his current form. Federer looked rusty in his previous two matches and his return game was few notches lower than his usual self even though he managed to win both matches in straight sets--Federer partly blamed a cold that he was fighting and on Sunday he said that he feels much better. The current odds on Federer gives about 85% chance for him to in and only 15% chance to Dimitrov. Given Federer's age, his current form, and the way the Center Court is playing (much slower than usual) this year 85% chance for Federer is inflated. In reality its about 35% for Dimitrov and 65% for Federer. So any odds over over 5.00 on Dimitrov is worth a try.

  2. #2
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
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    Guy makes a lot of valid points might be worth a stab

  3. #3
    Otters27
    Otters27's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-14-07
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    Nice try. MULLER WAS THE ONE THOUGH.

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