1. #1
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    So Mad Feel Like Betting $10,000 On Kershaw

    only way to win is big chalks

  2. #2
    xraygord
    xraygord's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-18-09
    Posts: 2,599
    Betpoints: 322

    The only way to win, is to go big. But don't bet mad JJ. You know better.

  3. #3
    Cuse0323
    Cuse0323's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-09-09
    Posts: 30,169
    Betpoints: 87

    If you actually have it then call it in.

  4. #4
    Shute
    Shute's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-20-17
    Posts: 11,822
    Betpoints: 10862

    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    only way to win is big chalks
    Why coach? What's got your panties crinkled?

  5. #5
    AskJonny4Notes
    AskJonny4Notes's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-08-17
    Posts: 511
    Betpoints: 666

    Coming from the guy who calls everyone a square for betting chalk

  6. #6
    xraygord
    xraygord's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-18-09
    Posts: 2,599
    Betpoints: 322

    Quote Originally Posted by AskJonny4Notes View Post
    Coming from the guy who calls everyone a square for betting chalk

    Don't take him seriously. You will be happier.

  7. #7
    Shute
    Shute's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-20-17
    Posts: 11,822
    Betpoints: 10862

    Why you mad 😡? Never gamble when emotionally upset.
    Kinda like don't eat when you are sad.
    Recipie for disaster

  8. #8
    b1slickguy
    WDKYWMYAK
    b1slickguy's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 11-24-11
    Posts: 11,094
    Betpoints: 29812


  9. #9
    sweethook
    sweethook's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 11-21-07
    Posts: 12,657
    Betpoints: 10464

    no the only way to win is bet the right side
    Points Awarded:

    semibluff gave sweethook 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  10. #10
    Shute
    Shute's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-20-17
    Posts: 11,822
    Betpoints: 10862

    Coach. Were you released from your last job assignment? Local not pay from the GS win?
    Uncle back charging you rent from the 1 year free load?
    Inquiring minds want to know.
    Shute

  11. #11
    GzaTheGenius
    GzaTheGenius's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 02-12-13
    Posts: 4,162
    Betpoints: 15205

    Quote Originally Posted by Shute View Post
    Why you mad 😡? Never gamble when emotionally upset.
    Kinda like don't eat when you are sad.
    Recipie for disaster
    Not true
    Always do this
    If you win it makes it all better

  12. #12
    Shute
    Shute's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-20-17
    Posts: 11,822
    Betpoints: 10862

    Quote Originally Posted by GzaTheGenius View Post
    Not true
    Always do this
    If you win it makes it all better
    Or if you lose........

  13. #13
    Shute
    Shute's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-20-17
    Posts: 11,822
    Betpoints: 10862

    Coach are you on tilt?

  14. #14
    mdunlap3
    mdunlap3's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-18-13
    Posts: 1,847
    Betpoints: 4843

    Have an epic trend going on from this season alone....Dogers 23-0 in this spot.

  15. #15
    mdunlap3
    mdunlap3's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-18-13
    Posts: 1,847
    Betpoints: 4843

    Personally on Dodgers -2.5 +125. Small.

  16. #16
    Shute
    Shute's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-20-17
    Posts: 11,822
    Betpoints: 10862

    Bet makes sense. 😉

  17. #17
    GzaTheGenius
    GzaTheGenius's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 02-12-13
    Posts: 4,162
    Betpoints: 15205

    Quote Originally Posted by Shute View Post
    Or if you lose........
    True, if you lose it's another bottle of whiskey at least

  18. #18
    mdunlap3
    mdunlap3's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-18-13
    Posts: 1,847
    Betpoints: 4843

    Shute Check this trend out.

    Dodgers, in the last game of a series where the line is less than -180 (for those unaware, less than -180 means the number is literally less than -180,i,e -181 would be included in the resuts, -179 would not), where the starter won his previous last two starts, going all the way back to 2009.

    Dodgers 23-0 SU in this situation, winning by an average of 3.5 runs per game.

    Good luck.

  19. #19
    Shute
    Shute's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-20-17
    Posts: 11,822
    Betpoints: 10862

    Thanks for the stats. All streaks will end eventually. Hopefully not tonight. Good luck.

  20. #20
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    But I did not do it

  21. #21
    Smoke
    Smoke's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-09-09
    Posts: 48,111
    Betpoints: 1510

    did he win?

  22. #22
    Sam Odom
    Sam Odom's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-30-05
    Posts: 58,063
    Betpoints: 37

    $$$

  23. #23
    Statman
    Statman's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-04-10
    Posts: 1,208
    Betpoints: 2733

    C'mon JJ, you know nothing is a lock in this game. Even Kershaw can lose. You just pick your spots when you bet big and hope your right.
    Last edited by Statman; 06-30-17 at 07:57 AM. Reason: This is done after your analysis on the game itself is complete.

  24. #24
    Sam Odom
    Sam Odom's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-30-05
    Posts: 58,063
    Betpoints: 37

    scared money cant/never wins

  25. #25
    mdunlap3
    mdunlap3's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-18-13
    Posts: 1,847
    Betpoints: 4843

    Boooom -2.5 big fattty

  26. #26
    Cuse0323
    Cuse0323's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-09-09
    Posts: 30,169
    Betpoints: 87

    Gold. What the hell. Why didn't you do it? You know it was easy money.

  27. #27
    Smoke
    Smoke's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-09-09
    Posts: 48,111
    Betpoints: 1510

    what was the score?

  28. #28
    Cuse0323
    Cuse0323's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-09-09
    Posts: 30,169
    Betpoints: 87

    6-2

  29. #29
    Smoke
    Smoke's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-09-09
    Posts: 48,111
    Betpoints: 1510

    thx

  30. #30
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    Kershaw's always easy money or I should I say most of the time and is he's a very very good bail out Pitcher

  31. #31
    Sam Odom
    Sam Odom's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-30-05
    Posts: 58,063
    Betpoints: 37

    have to risk (on avg) 2500 to win $1K

    lose

    8,750 to clear $1K

    lose

    30,625 to clear $1K


    Guy cannot lose 3 in a row

  32. #32
    ChuckyTheGoat
    ChuckyTheGoat's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 04-04-11
    Posts: 31,511
    Betpoints: 24869

    JJ is just not bright.

    He bets -240 Favs, as if he's betting into a -110 market.

  33. #33
    Plaza23
    Plaza23's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-29-13
    Posts: 7,392
    Betpoints: 13787

    Kershaw is 57-13 since 2011 as at least a -200 favorite.

    He's 45-8 the last 4 seasons.

    He's worth every amount of juice you want to pay. 81% - 84% wins.

    His games should priced in the -400 range.

  34. #34
    BigMiniPin
    Update your status
    BigMiniPin's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-12-17
    Posts: 26
    Betpoints: 102

    Thanks JJ! I was steamed too as I missed out on 3 plays earlier in the day so decided to follow your lead and risked my entire bankroll on Kershaw -220. It was definitely stressful in the 4th and then again near the end of the game but I won and the madness is now gone.

  35. #35
    BIGDAY
    angelman.org
    BIGDAY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 02-17-10
    Posts: 48,241
    Betpoints: 24866

    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    only way to win is big chalks

    Agreed. Chalk is exciting.

Top