1. 06-05-17 12:13 PM #1
    pilebuck13
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    Dodgers -135 5 units -1.5 +160 2 units

    like the dodgers today. Excellent home spot for them. Ryu in my opinion fairs slightly better then gio. Dodgers posting 5th highest in league against lefties this year. 21-8 home record wish I would have got opening line but oh well. Good luck men..
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  2. 06-05-17 12:36 PM #2
    juicername
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    Nats better against lefties than Dodgers this season. I like Washington here.
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  3. 06-05-17 12:36 PM #3
    2daBank
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    Lad has 5th highest what vs lefties? Just curious as I consider nats to be the better lefty hitting team of the 2. Nats also been on west coast while lad returning from Midwest so doesn't seem like best spot to me. Doyers w big adv late but their pen had to do a lot of work in milw. I played nats but line continues to move in your favor, I could def be wrong but I prefer Gio to ryu and as I said I like nats better vs lhp.. gl
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  4. 06-05-17 12:37 PM #4
    CamNewtonOutfit
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    nope dodgers better recheck stats
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  5. 06-05-17 12:39 PM #5
    jjgold
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    Wash for me

    Good luck Buckles
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  6. 06-05-17 12:41 PM #6
    tatddy
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    Nats #1 in MLB ops vs left handed pitching this year.

    What are the rest looking at runs scored? In that case dodgers have more but not a real indicative stat.

    No skin in this game gl to you all.
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  7. 06-05-17 12:41 PM #7
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by CamNewtonOutfit View Post
    nope dodgers better recheck stats
    What stat is the question. Several I value rate nats far better vs lefties.
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  8. 06-05-17 12:42 PM #8
    juicername
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    Quote Originally Posted by CamNewtonOutfit View Post
    nope dodgers better recheck stats
    Vs. left-handers


    Record:
    Nats: 5-2
    Dodgers: 10-8

    AVG
    Nats: .283
    Dodgers: .247

    SLG
    Nats: .491
    Dodgers: .418

    OPS
    Nats: .834
    Dodgers: .748

    Looks like advantage Washington to me.
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  9. 06-05-17 12:43 PM #9
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by tatddy View Post
    Nats #1 in MLB ops vs left handed pitching this year. Since everyone not named banker can't read stats.

    What are the rest looking at runs scored?

    No skin in this game gl to you all.
    They top 3 in several categories I value a great deal. I tend to ignore a lot of things so really curious what folks using to rate doyers better vs lhp.
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  10. 06-05-17 12:45 PM #10
    tatddy
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    Quote Originally Posted by 2daBank View Post
    They top 3 in several categories I value a great deal. I tend to ignore a lot of things so really curious what folks using to rate doyers better vs lhp.
    Lazy eyes banker. Lazy eyes. And antiquated stats.
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  11. 06-05-17 12:45 PM #11
    CamNewtonOutfit
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    dodgers have twice as many runs as nats vs lefties
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  12. 06-05-17 12:46 PM #12
    juicername
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    Quote Originally Posted by CamNewtonOutfit View Post
    dodgers have twice as many runs as nats vs lefties
    Lol yeah, in 18 games compared to 7. You do the math
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  13. 06-05-17 12:47 PM #13
    CamNewtonOutfit
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    welll... 77 vs 49 so 1.5 times as much

    http://www.espn.com/mlb/stats/team/_...tting/split/31
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  14. 06-05-17 12:48 PM #14
    CamNewtonOutfit
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    oops! my math got blown up! however i bet ya the Dodgers win at home! double or nothing?
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  15. 06-05-17 12:48 PM #15
    tatddy
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    Quote Originally Posted by CamNewtonOutfit View Post
    welll... 77 vs 49 so 1.5 times as much

    http://www.espn.com/mlb/stats/team/_...tting/split/31
    You're making yourself look bad here fella.
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  16. 06-05-17 12:52 PM #16
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by CamNewtonOutfit View Post
    oops! my math got blown up! however i bet ya the Dodgers win at home! double or nothing?
    Lol. Sure they might win. Ultimately I make my bets off prices and where I find advantages so In this case win or lose I'm happy on the nats. I don't like dodgers pen advantage but I also think that lad pen been pulling a pretty big load in milw and now come back home to another good offense, surely they will surrender some runs eventually.. gl
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  17. 06-05-17 01:58 PM #17
    pilebuck13
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    Fairing much better this year then last vs lefties that aside in my opinion ryu has edge line favors this as well. Good luck either way guys and yes I just went on espn team rankings vs lefties. Yes Dodgers have played more games the line is most telling here. Bovada has nats at +112 while pinny holding around +123 you tell me where the square money coming from. Either way line telling most here.
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  18. 06-05-17 02:04 PM #18
    2daBank
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    Square/sharp. Really don't matter w bases my dude. This only game I probably won't beat closer but we both know that means very little in regards to outcome. 2 teams that likely meeting in playoffs, certainly be no surprise if either wins, I just felt value w the dog but I'm wrong all the time gl brother, you one of posters I like so if you win it won't break my heart. Lol
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  19. 06-05-17 02:29 PM #19
    pilebuck13
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    Quote Originally Posted by 2daBank View Post
    Square/sharp. Really don't matter w bases my dude. This only game I probably won't beat closer but we both know that means very little in regards to outcome. 2 teams that likely meeting in playoffs, certainly be no surprise if either wins, I just felt value w the dog but I'm wrong all the time gl brother, you one of posters I like so if you win it won't break my heart. Lol
    Bank I know there is tons of reasons why I play a game and normally don't even bother to post them because everyone has there own methods of handicapping. Obviously I didn't crunch how many games vs lefties they have faced. This was not a deciding factor entirely ryu better whip, so/9, gb percentage, better xfip...slightly lower velocity but not much good luck to everyone I'm happy with my position and you all should be happy with yours as well.
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  20. 06-05-17 02:30 PM #20
    lakerboy
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    Gl sir
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  21. 06-05-17 02:40 PM #21
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by pilebuck13 View Post
    Bank I know there is tons of reasons why I play a game and normally don't even bother to post them because everyone has there own methods of handicapping. Obviously I didn't crunch how many games vs lefties they have faced. This was not a deciding factor entirely ryu better whip, so/9, gb percentage, better xfip...slightly lower velocity but not much good luck to everyone I'm happy with my position and you all should be happy with yours as well.
    I realize this man, no point in doing so. I'm not that happy considering this only number getting the better of me, lol. The fact we all seem against you certainly never a bad thing.
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  22. 06-05-17 03:02 PM #22
    tatddy
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    Quote Originally Posted by pilebuck13 View Post
    Fairing much better this year then last vs lefties that aside in my opinion ryu has edge line favors this as well. Good luck either way guys and yes I just went on espn team rankings vs lefties. Yes Dodgers have played more games the line is most telling here. Bovada has nats at +112 while pinny holding around +123 you tell me where the square money coming from. Either way line telling most here.
    All you really needed to say to make a legit case for backing the Dodgers. See The Lock's dominant baseball crushing thread this year and that's a huge part of his methodology for picking spots.
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  23. 06-05-17 03:08 PM #23
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by tatddy View Post
    All you really needed to say to make a legit case for backing the Dodgers. See The Lock's dominant baseball crushing thread this year and that's a huge part of his methodology for picking spots.
    No doubt. I'll never believe that actually works, not for me anyways!! Lol
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  24. 06-05-17 03:09 PM #24
    pilebuck13
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    Quote Originally Posted by tatddy View Post
    All you really needed to say to make a legit case for backing the Dodgers. See The Lock's dominant baseball crushing thread this year and that's a huge part of his methodology for picking spots.
    Yes tat been very good indicator this season. Normally these things balance out later in season. Giants looking like a play as well but the number is currently high regardless giants looking to trend towards a win tonight
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  25. 06-05-17 03:11 PM #25
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by pilebuck13 View Post
    Yes tat been very good indicator this season. Normally these things balance out later in season. Giants looking like a play as well but the number is currently high regardless giants looking to trend towards a win tonight
    Sf line makes way more sense tho which ultimately doesn't make it any better (probably worse$.. That strictly a play getting pushed by both pitches peripherals and the hard core metrics enthusiast have proven to be every bit as wrong as the masses when waiting for regression..
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  26. 06-05-17 03:22 PM #26
    pilebuck13
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    Quote Originally Posted by 2daBank View Post
    Sf line makes way more sense tho which ultimately doesn't make it any better (probably worse$.. That strictly a play getting pushed by both pitches peripherals and the hard core metrics enthusiast have proven to be every bit as wrong as the masses when waiting for regression..
    Let's be real here most people chase steam and cap on line movement very select few have sophisticated models. Not to say either is wrong or right it's just the truth though. I try and do a mix of both although admittedly don't have the luxury to normally break down advanced stats in each game but I try.
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  27. 06-05-17 03:24 PM #27
    2daBank
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    I have no such model and think line movement about as accurate as voodoo!! Where that put me? Lol
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  28. 06-05-17 04:08 PM #28
    pilebuck13
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    Idk 2d I'm usually late to the party anyways
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  29. 06-05-17 04:13 PM #29
    2daBank
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    Late/early, doesn't matter. At this point while I hope for best I think
    You prob on right side, everybody seems to like nats. My only solace is line keeps moving up so clearly lad has some love out there.
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  30. 06-05-17 04:14 PM #30
    pilebuck13
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    I'm adding Oakland a's for a unit at -107 as well as giants -124 late to the party but fuk it. Both just a unit
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  31. 06-05-17 04:18 PM #31
    jjgold
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    Pile you just taking stabs now
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  32. 06-05-17 04:18 PM #32
    2daBank
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    I feel better now: grabbed jays around +105 last night. Think we prob split that and lad gm. lol. Gl buddy
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  33. 06-05-17 04:36 PM #33
    pilebuck13
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    Lol
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  34. 06-05-17 04:57 PM #34
    jjgold
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    Buckles you nailing kickles?
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  35. 06-05-17 05:15 PM #35
    ticklemepink1991
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    that nats bullpen though, ugh so tough to take them

    100 units on washington
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