Hoping to get back on track after that heartbreaker last night. It's all about getting the right number and understanding why the line is where it's at, and where you feel it should be at.
Tonight I'm going with Stanford +3. The number has shrank to 2.5 in most places but I believe the public will push this back to 3 or even 3.5.
I will give my reasoning so you can understand. Last night I did not because I didn't think anyone liked reading long posts.
Anyway, I have my number at Stanford -1. Sounds crazy when you think that they lost to this same CAL team by 11 back in January. But read this out. Stanford is a rebuilding program, with a very good coach, IMO, in Jarod Haase. Stanford has had a tough, I mean tough schedule this year for a Pac12 team. The 4th toughest in the nation, if you go by RPI. Want to know how they lost by 11 in the 1st contest? They let CAL's two best scorers have all kinds of room on the floor to score at will. Two of CAL's players scored 66% of the points for the Bears that night!
So, with a good coach, an improving, yet rebuilding program, what do you think coach Haase will do tonight? Yep, guard the hell out of 2 players, try to get them in foul trouble and "Bam", what do you have? A winning night with a little cushion on the pointspread.
Stanford +3 tonight. Be patient if you can't get that number right now. Let the public get their money in on CAL.
Hope it hits tonight, unlike last night.
Note, Thread should have read "Only game tonight". It wouldn't let me edit the subject line.