1. #1
    PAULYPOKER
    I slipped Tricky Dick a hit of LSD!
    PAULYPOKER's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-06-08
    Posts: 36,585

    If New England covers the ATS> Vegas&industry will be on its knees>

    This is certain...
    Matter of fact.
    Most definitely..
    Guaranteed......
    What does Vegas and industry "Ideally" want?
    Atlanta win and the OVER if the game were to start now......

    The OVER and Winner could change through out the day......
    But the ATS will not change enough as NE ATS money is ridiculously one sided.....



    The ATS might push..
    So buying a 1/2 point for who you like would be Ideal....
    Buying ATL to +3.5 and New England down to -2.5 could be a cash cow......
    My reasoning>The line has not budged off of the 3,when it should of raised to 5 or more...

    Teasing them down the middle with "7" point tease would also be a good bet..

    I will update throughout the day until kickoff..........

  2. #2
    bhoor
    bhoor's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-17-12
    Posts: 2,236
    Betpoints: 3704

    you're doing well in sports betting? You seemed to be spot on more times than not.

  3. #3
    lakerboy
    lakerboy's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 04-02-09
    Posts: 94,069
    Betpoints: 7696

    Pauly the game will end on 3 by ne. Then what?

  4. #4
    PAULYPOKER
    I slipped Tricky Dick a hit of LSD!
    PAULYPOKER's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-06-08
    Posts: 36,585

    Read my Op.,LB as you clearly did not........

  5. #5
    PAULYPOKER
    I slipped Tricky Dick a hit of LSD!
    PAULYPOKER's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-06-08
    Posts: 36,585

    Quote Originally Posted by bhoor View Post
    you're doing well in sports betting? You seemed to be spot on more times than not.
    SB. very well
    NFL very well unless the Steelers are involved.....

  6. #6
    ChiLLx
    ChiLLx's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-24-11
    Posts: 5,412
    Betpoints: 9184

    Tease
    NE +4
    Over 51

  7. #7
    rizespor
    rizespor's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-21-16
    Posts: 1,900
    Betpoints: 707

    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    Pauly the game will end on 3 by ne. Then what?
    Not great either. Both teasers cover and everyone that bought off 3 wins too

  8. #8
    PAULYPOKER
    I slipped Tricky Dick a hit of LSD!
    PAULYPOKER's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-06-08
    Posts: 36,585

    The public as a whole, always plays the ATS.....
    Teasers and bought off 3's are chump change to the ATS......

  9. #9
    CappinTerp
    CappinTerp's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-26-09
    Posts: 9,648
    Betpoints: 1679

    I agree about ATL. , but not the over !! In the NFL every week ,month, year,including playoffs and SB. Vegas wants the dog and the under to come in.Most bettors,esp. the ones that bet only during the NFL season......a large majority bet the fav. and the over. Vegas gets nicked up a little during a week the most favs. come in and totals go over!!!!!

  10. #10
    grease lightnin
    &
    grease lightnin's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-01-12
    Posts: 16,015
    Betpoints: 3185

    Quote Originally Posted by PAULYPOKER View Post
    This is certain...
    Matter of fact.
    Most definitely..
    Guaranteed......
    What does Vegas and industry "Ideally" want?
    Atlanta win and the OVER if the game were to start now......

    The OVER and Winner could change through out the day......
    But the ATS will not change enough as NE ATS money is ridiculously one sided.....



    The ATS might push..
    So buying a 1/2 point for who you like would be Ideal....
    Buying ATL to +3.5 and New England down to -2.5 could be a cash cow......
    My reasoning>The line has not budged off of the 3,when it should of raised to 5 or more...

    Teasing them down the middle with "7" point tease would also be a good bet..

    I will update throughout the day until kickoff..........


    How do you know this? Because you believe they really report accurate numbers about where the action is?

  11. #11
    DwightShrute
    I don't believe you ... please continue
    DwightShrute's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-17-09
    Posts: 97,281
    Betpoints: 8478

    Falcons by 7

  12. #12
    PAULYPOKER
    I slipped Tricky Dick a hit of LSD!
    PAULYPOKER's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-06-08
    Posts: 36,585

    lot of $$$ coming in on Atlanta ATS..went from 33% to 43%......

  13. #13
    DwightShrute
    I don't believe you ... please continue
    DwightShrute's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-17-09
    Posts: 97,281
    Betpoints: 8478


  14. #14
    rizespor
    rizespor's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-21-16
    Posts: 1,900
    Betpoints: 707

    Quote Originally Posted by PAULYPOKER View Post
    The public as a whole, always plays the ATS.....
    Teasers and bought off 3's are chump change to the ATS......
    Disagree. Public loves buying to -2.5 or +3.5

  15. #15
    PAULYPOKER
    I slipped Tricky Dick a hit of LSD!
    PAULYPOKER's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-06-08
    Posts: 36,585

    you'll never see a teaser in the top 10 plays of the day..
    Totals are rare to be in top 10 plays.
    ML's sneak in on heavy fav's.....

  16. #16
    calmeat
    calmeat's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-04-11
    Posts: 1,678
    Betpoints: 1849

    My sheet is showing ATL 35 NEP 27 So ATL and Over tease it is

  17. #17
    MikeyPicks1
    MikeyPicks1's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-15-16
    Posts: 578
    Betpoints: 7687

    How can Vegas need NE when ATL is now -3 -120 at Pinny? Seems counterintuitive to me.

  18. #18
    PAULYPOKER
    I slipped Tricky Dick a hit of LSD!
    PAULYPOKER's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-06-08
    Posts: 36,585

    Pinny and all the big books, trying to slow ATL $$$ down, by raising the juice.....

  19. #19
    Calgunner23
    Things that go BANG mostly.
    Calgunner23's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-06-15
    Posts: 1,357
    Betpoints: 3270

    Quote Originally Posted by rizespor View Post
    Disagree. Public loves buying to -2.5 or +3.5
    LOL I bought NE down to -2.5 @ -135

  20. #20
    PAULYPOKER
    I slipped Tricky Dick a hit of LSD!
    PAULYPOKER's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-06-08
    Posts: 36,585

    Lol ATL is +3 -123 at pinny........

  21. #21
    grease lightnin
    &
    grease lightnin's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-01-12
    Posts: 16,015
    Betpoints: 3185

    I am skeptical about this type of thing but I remember somebody saying sharps were waiting for +3.5 and if they didn't get it they would come in at +3 at some point. Starting to get nervous about my pats bet. Lol

  22. #22
    PAULYPOKER
    I slipped Tricky Dick a hit of LSD!
    PAULYPOKER's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-06-08
    Posts: 36,585

    OK ATS is
    NE 56.5%---------ATL 43.5%

    But it is a 1.6Million $$ difference, just at one book.......

    Time stamped at 4:38pm eastern.

  23. #23
    convick
    convick's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 11-03-11
    Posts: 3,805
    Betpoints: 3683

    Loks like money coming in strong on Atl and under. I have serious doubts that books will need ATL big by time game kicks off. Smart and dumb money will keep pouring in on the falcons ats and ml. They will be pretty balanced imo.

  24. #24
    paco
    paco's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-07-09
    Posts: 62,873
    Betpoints: 7051

    Michael Floyd deactivated for the game

  25. #25
    PAULYPOKER
    I slipped Tricky Dick a hit of LSD!
    PAULYPOKER's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-06-08
    Posts: 36,585

    was NE -3 +111 at pinny they keep yo yo ing from + 111 to +108 NE -3

  26. #26
    gauchojake
    Have Some Asthma
    gauchojake's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 09-17-10
    Posts: 33,726
    Betpoints: 13300

    Quote Originally Posted by paco View Post
    Michael Floyd deactivated for the game
    good

    guy is a cancer

  27. #27
    PAULYPOKER
    I slipped Tricky Dick a hit of LSD!
    PAULYPOKER's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-06-08
    Posts: 36,585

    NE wins by 2 or 1
    or
    ATL wins by whatever cause it won't matter.......

  28. #28
    DwightShrute
    I don't believe you ... please continue
    DwightShrute's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-17-09
    Posts: 97,281
    Betpoints: 8478

  29. #29
    frostno98
    frostno98's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-11-07
    Posts: 9,770
    Betpoints: 648

    Moneyline is about even. ATL moneyline winner would even out with the heavy action on NE-3.

    This Superbowl is no where close one side as the 2013 Superbowl when everyone took Denver, and last year Superbowl when everyone took Carolina.

    Vegas will do just fine even if New England win.

  30. #30
    PAULYPOKER
    I slipped Tricky Dick a hit of LSD!
    PAULYPOKER's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-06-08
    Posts: 36,585

    Books begging for NE Money............

  31. #31
    PAULYPOKER
    I slipped Tricky Dick a hit of LSD!
    PAULYPOKER's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-06-08
    Posts: 36,585

    Bet DSI has ATL+3 +100
    Everyone else at -3 -120 besides dimes at-111

  32. #32
    DwightShrute
    I don't believe you ... please continue
    DwightShrute's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-17-09
    Posts: 97,281
    Betpoints: 8478

    loving Falcons ML more and more

  33. #33
    PAULYPOKER
    I slipped Tricky Dick a hit of LSD!
    PAULYPOKER's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-06-08
    Posts: 36,585

    Quote Originally Posted by PAULYPOKER View Post
    OK ATS is
    NE 56.5%---------ATL 43.5%

    But it is a 1.6Million $$ difference, just at one book.......

    Time stamped at 4:38pm eastern.
    55% - 45%

  34. #34
    PAULYPOKER
    I slipped Tricky Dick a hit of LSD!
    PAULYPOKER's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-06-08
    Posts: 36,585

    Books got their ass beat today by NBA and college hoops.......

    Definitely can't lose on SB........

    If so, you'll see small books jump ship, fo sure

  35. #35
    PAULYPOKER
    I slipped Tricky Dick a hit of LSD!
    PAULYPOKER's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-06-08
    Posts: 36,585

    ATL+3 -111 ML +135 tells ya
    a lot

12 Last
Top