Bama is on another level compared to what Washington has ever seen. With the line dropping you may even get -12 or -11.5 later but I'm on the 12.5 train.
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12-31-16 12:49 PM #1
Alabama -12.5 rolls today
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12-31-16 12:50 PM #2
Why is line dropping Canuck?
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12-31-16 01:27 PM #3
At this pace we may see the game at a pick by kickoff. Must be ton of money flowing in on wash. Not sure why. Line was stuck at 14 for long enough. Now getting bad numbers. I'm gonna wait to see if it bounces or keeps dropping
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12-31-16 01:29 PM #4
with you nucker
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12-31-16 01:30 PM #5
It will bounce pinny probably closes at -14
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12-31-16 01:31 PM #6
Yeah, this line drop is scary for Bama backers. I'm going to wait for a good Live bet and take Bama live. I have a feeling Washington may dial up something early but Bama will ground and pound in the end. Live bet and then maybe a large 2nd half Bama bet.
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12-31-16 01:34 PM #7
I don't think so. I think this is good for bama backers. This can't be smart money. Nothing new out there unless someone is hurt. Barring injury that isn't widely known I really think bama is right side here. This feels like a lot of public money.
I've been ice ice cold and was planning on taking wash at the 14 but really think this money makes me feel like bama right side.
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12-31-16 01:35 PM #8
Hey Mac, what is the girls name in your avatar?
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12-31-16 01:39 PM #9
Books opening themselves up to a middle. Will be interesting to see what happens
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12-31-16 01:40 PM #10
I took Was +14
They got NFL players tooPoints Awarded:
kingdom gave jjgold 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.
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12-31-16 01:44 PM #11
Gen Public wants Ala to lose
Most hate Bama
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12-31-16 01:45 PM #12
I'm all in on Bama, got it -14, parlayed with over, teased with over, & teased with OSU later. If they let me down I'll be making a deposit for the Fiesta bowl.
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12-31-16 01:46 PM #13
nobody knows
Originally Posted by newguy
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12-31-16 01:47 PM #14
We need BAMA Originally Posted by jjgold
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12-31-16 01:53 PM #15
I have plenty of evidence that it can be sharp money. Plenty, from several metrics including a market beating forecast of Alabama only winning by 8 points (note the movement towards my line.) Originally Posted by newguy
My non predictive public gauge has Bama by 10.
Did you think the line would grow?
I don't think you guys understand what "sharp money" is and what drives those "sharp" decision makers.
When you talk about right and wrong side, understand that there are many ways to handicap and different programs can be on different sides and still be successful.
And remember, your interpretation of "sharp money" as well as actual "sharp forecasts" don't always win the bet.
That said, ESPN said there was absolutely nobody on Washington, as the line dropped, while not mentioning the line at all.
They went on to mention the Ohio St line and how it's dropped.
This may bode well for Bama.
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12-31-16 02:02 PM #16
Don't know... Originally Posted by Bombers78
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12-31-16 02:04 PM #17
If line is moving on game day it's 100% sharp money. End of story
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12-31-16 02:09 PM #18
Yah you would think late big money was hoping public would push line to 14.5 or 15 or more before they pounced who knows it opened at 16
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12-31-16 02:15 PM #19
Not always, sometimes the books shift the line in hopes of creating unsophisticated steam, preying on those who think in such absolutes. Originally Posted by rizespor
It happens more often than you'd think.
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12-31-16 02:25 PM #20
Good point. And it's actually not true for something like nfl where overwhelming public support can move a line too. Originally Posted by KVB
Not always, sometimes the books shift the line in hopes of creating unsophisticated steam, preying on those who think in such absolutes.
It happens more often than you'd think.
Points Awarded:
KVB gave rizespor 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.
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12-31-16 02:25 PM #21Paint my casket black with a big ass #3
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Join Date: 10-25-07Posts: 17,879Betpoints: 1053
World (sharps) were on UW at 14' after the bama opener got steamed. Kept going up to 16',took them again. More money is on bama but the line keeps going down.
All signs point to taking UW outside of the fact Bama will joke them in actual reality.
UW's all-powerful 1 good win that got them in over psu, just lost by 30 in a game they were favored.
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12-31-16 02:28 PM #22
I thought line was too high as well. I agree with the public gauge of around 10. Originally Posted by KVB
I have plenty of evidence that it can be sharp money. Plenty, from several metrics including a market beating forecast of Alabama only winning by 8 points (note the movement towards my line.)
My non predictive public gauge has Bama by 10.
Did you think the line would grow?
I don't think you guys understand what "sharp money" is and what drives those "sharp" decision makers.
When you talk about right and wrong side, understand that there are many ways to handicap and different programs can be on different sides and still be successful.
And remember, your interpretation of "sharp money" as well as actual "sharp forecasts" don't always win the bet.
That said, ESPN said there was absolutely nobody on Washington, as the line dropped, while not mentioning the line at all.
They went on to mention the Ohio St line and how it's dropped.
This may bode well for Bama.
I also agree I don't know what drives all sharp money but seems to me that line sat at 14 for a long time. Everyone I talked to said it was too high. If I'm sharp and think wash is right side nothing was there to tell me that line would go above 14 and I live in SEC country. No metrics, no fans, no gauges I saw. So when line drops its my thought it can't be smart money dropping it. You would be an idiot to have not taken wash at the 14.
When I saw it drop to 13.5 I felt like it was a balloon. Let's see how market reacts. Drive some more money on the game. Maybe that's what it was and that's what dropped it further "dumb money saying shit I missed 14 need 13.5 buying to 14" but I can't see that drop being smart. Not saying it won't win. Most people thought right line was 10 so maybe it was just a market correction and maybe wash wins this outright ( just hit td to go up).Nomination(s):This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: KVB
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12-31-16 02:30 PM #23
Husky TD. This might be the time to take Bama live...
Bama -6.5 right now. I think their offense might get stuck in the mud a little longer and Washington might be able to score again. I'll wait it out a bit more.
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12-31-16 02:46 PM #24
Nice to see a couple of scores, let's get 52 points.
WTF with this command center, just realized I can change the channel...lol.
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12-31-16 04:19 PM #25
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12-31-16 04:22 PM #26
Nuckles is the man.
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12-31-16 04:26 PM #27
Gonna need a D score to cover. Bama offense not doing anything
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12-31-16 05:47 PM #28
Canuck back after getting buried in fall
good call
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12-31-16 05:55 PM #29
Picked up -12.5 live for one win but lost more on pregame Washington +14. Originally Posted by CanuckG
Good Job Canuck.
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01-01-17 09:05 AM #30
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