1. #1
    sportsfan9698
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    Why are the Chargers favored at Houston?

    I would have guessed Houston would be a -4 maybe -6 point chalk here. WTF? I must be missing something...

    Texans are clearly the better team, and arguably playing their best ball of the season. But Chargers are -2.5 on the road at Houston. Somebody set me straight here.

  2. #2
    Bluehorseshoe
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    I came in to post he same exact thing. Who is out for the Texans???

    They're 5-0 at home on top of it.

  3. #3
    sportsfan9698
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    Okay now that I sit down and start to look at the NFL action today... I can see 3 games that are soooo wrong. Dammit this NFL pulls me in each and every week.

    Houston +2.5
    Cincinnati +3.5
    Oakland -3.5

    That is it, trying to keep this short... but it is a few hours until gametime so if I find another gem I will let you all know

  4. #4
    Sam Odom
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  5. #5
    Bluehorseshoe
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    Quote Originally Posted by sportsfan9698 View Post
    Okay now that I sit down and start to look at the NFL action today... I can see 3 games that are soooo wrong. Dammit this NFL pulls me in each and every week.

    Houston +2.5
    Cincinnati +3.5
    Oakland -3.5

    That is it, trying to keep this short... but it is a few hours until gametime so if I find another gem I will let you all know
    I don't know how Cinci is wrong. They have a losing record and no A.J. Green today. I think it should be higher.

  6. #6
    sportsfan9698
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bluehorseshoe View Post
    I don't know how Cinci is wrong. They have a losing record and no A.J. Green today. I think it should be higher.
    All the more reason to back Cinci here. Their team is solid. Dalton is damn near Brady-like elite when the game has no meaning. Have you actually watched a Baltimore game this season? They are not a good team

  7. #7
    rake922
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    could be a rigged ball game where linemakers know people are gonna take houston in that spot, yet at the same time know the chragers will win by a TD

  8. #8
    jjgold
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    Rivers is so tough thats why

    lots of respect for the hall of famer

  9. #9
    sportsfan9698
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Rivers is so tough thats why

    lots of respect for the hall of famer
    I respect him as well... but after Rivers what do you have? I will also say Osweiler is underrated.

    JJ are you saying you think the correct team is favored here?

  10. #10
    Sam Odom
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    Quote Originally Posted by rake922 View Post

    could be a rigged ball game where linemakers know people are gonna take houston in that spot, yet at the same time know the chragers will win by a TD

    will wait on NoCoin's analyses

  11. #11
    grease lightnin
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    Quote Originally Posted by sportsfan9698 View Post
    All the more reason to back Cinci here. Their team is solid. Dalton is damn near Brady-like elite when the game has no meaning. Have you actually watched a Baltimore game this season? They are not a good team


    Not a good team, yet they are #2 in the NFL in total defense...

    Do you look at stats?

    And they are at home...

  12. #12
    sportsfan9698
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    Quote Originally Posted by grease lightnin View Post
    Not a good team, yet they are #2 in the NFL in total defense...

    Do you look at stats?
    Stats are for losers. Have you watched them play a game?

  13. #13
    JAKEPEAVY21
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    chargers stop the run well and Osweiler stinks

    HUGE QB advantage for SD

  14. #14
    grease lightnin
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    Quote Originally Posted by sportsfan9698 View Post
    Stats are for losers. Have you watched them play a game?

    Yes. They struggle on offense, but Cincy is #24 in total defense. The line is right where it should be.

    Stats are for losers.... yeah ok pal. Good luck with that.

  15. #15
    jjgold
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    trap game if you like Houston

  16. #16
    Bluehorseshoe
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    I thought they said...."Rivers lost some of the team." in their last game?

  17. #17
    sportsfan9698
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    trap game if you like Houston
    So you are on the bolts?

  18. #18
    lakerboy
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    I'm on SD ml. Houston played on mnf.

  19. #19
    Auto Donk
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    2 reasons:

    1. bill obien sucks dick

    2. go youtube highlights of the last time these two met in houston.....

    san diego may think they are the kings of knowing how to blow games, but they ain't got shit on the Texans......

  20. #20
    Ballerholic
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    scoresandodds consensus has more money on the Chargers...

  21. #21
    sportsfan9698
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    Okay I am not finding much of a consensus here...

    Nice!

  22. #22
    grease lightnin
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ballerholic View Post
    scoresandodds consensus has more money on the Chargers...
    That number does not represent the amount of MONEY on the Chargers. It represents the percentage of TOTAL INDIVIDUAL WAGERS on the Chargers, or the number of tickets, if you will.

    The direction of the line movement indicates which side the MOST MONEY is on.

    So in this case it appears the most money, AND the higher number of individual tickets rests on the Chargers.


    Last edited by grease lightnin; 11-27-16 at 10:11 AM.

  23. #23
    sportsfan9698
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    Quote Originally Posted by grease lightnin View Post
    That number does not represent the amount of MONEY on the Chargers. It represents the percentage of TOTAL INDIVIDUAL WAGERS on the Chargers, or the number if tickets, if you will.

    The direction of the line movement indicates which side the MOST MONEY is on.
    This I agree with... it's stunning how so many people are confused over these things

  24. #24
    Mr KLC
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    I'm going old school with this game. Texans are 5-0 at home. They are 4-0 against teams with current losing records. They are a team that can take care of business against the below average, but can't stand up to the better teams. Houston ML.

  25. #25
    grease lightnin
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    Looking at scoresandodds.... the only play that is showing line movement that is opposite of the public is Cleveland.

    I have the giants in a teaser.

  26. #26
    Sam Odom
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    $$$ on SD

    small play

  27. #27
    JAKEPEAVY21
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    I do think that Clowney could potentially have a monster game. The Chargers Offensive tackles have a hard time with speed rushers.

  28. #28
    The Kraken
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    I don't know what is so hard to understand

    These lines are spot on

    We're too far into the season and these lines have been out all week and pounded by groups that do this for a living

    And yet we have a guy here that watches the games and thinks his gut is smarter than the books and the sharps

  29. #29
    sportsfan9698
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Kraken View Post
    I don't know what is so hard to understand

    These lines are spot on

    We're too far into the season and these lines have been out all week and pounded by groups that do this for a living

    And yet we have a guy here that watches the games and thinks his gut is smarter than the books and the sharps
    Lines are spot on huh? Okay. Let's compare notes a few hours from now. A few games will be close shaves, and most of them will cover by double digits. Nature of the business my man.

    More emoticons please... your message is not resonating

  30. #30
    Sam Odom
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sam Odom View Post

    $$$ on SD

    small play

    going out for gm

    2 bloody marys max

    bye

  31. #31
    jjgold
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    50% win the bet and 50% lose

  32. #32
    grease lightnin
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    Quote Originally Posted by sportsfan9698 View Post
    Lines are spot on huh? Okay. Let's compare notes a few hours from now. A few games will be close shaves, and most of them will cover by double digits. Nature of the business my man.

    More emoticons please... your message is not resonating
    Sportsy, the last time you talked like this you went 0-4.

  33. #33
    The Kraken
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    Quote Originally Posted by sportsfan9698 View Post
    Lines are spot on huh? Okay. Let's compare notes a few hours from now. A few games will be close shaves, and most of them will cover by double digits. Nature of the business my man.

    More emoticons please... your message is not resonating
    The bigger point is even if they're off, you have no conisitent way to exploit them.
    You're a bookies wet dream. Think you have something figured out in one of the biggest markets worldwide. You don't think the off lines haven't been pounded and the line adjusted?

    You have no clue
    Points Awarded:

    jayc88 gave The Kraken 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  34. #34
    The Kraken
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    Curious sportsman, what do you expect your roi to be on 100 bets?

  35. #35
    JAKEPEAVY21
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    another INT for Hayward

    guy has been amazing this year

    one of the best signings of the offseason for any team and he signed a reasonable contract

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