1. 10-20-16 10:06 AM #1
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    CFB – Week 8 Plays

    FRIDAY, 10/21
    South Florida -6.5 -110 (Heritage)

    SATURDAY, 10/22
    Syracuse +4.5 -105 (Heritage)


    YTD: 33-35-1, -3.32
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  2. 10-20-16 10:24 AM #2
    Dr Nostron
    Dr Nostron's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-20-11
    Posts: 365
    Betpoints: 10978

    Man the Syracuse line stinks - laying 4.5 with a team that cant score (BC?)

    Seems too easy
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  3. 10-20-16 11:10 AM #3
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by Dr Nostron View Post
    Man the Syracuse line stinks - laying 4.5 with a team that cant score (BC?)

    Seems too easy
    Maybe books are banking on letdown after Va Tech win? Still seems like an over-adjustment though.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  4. 10-20-16 11:35 AM #4
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    1 CFB Addition THURSDAY

    THURSDAY, 10/20
    South Alabama +9 -103 (5 Dimes)

    FRIDAY, 10/21
    South Florida -6.5 -110 (Heritage)

    SATURDAY, 10/22
    Syracuse +4.5 -105 (Heritage)
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  5. 10-20-16 01:09 PM #5
    reigle9
    Paint my casket black with a big ass #3
    reigle9's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-25-07
    Posts: 17,879
    Betpoints: 1053

    BC t-9 in D ypp.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  6. 10-20-16 04:34 PM #6
    HeeluvaGuy
    HeeluvaGuy's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-15-14
    Posts: 3,449
    Betpoints: 3926

    Quote Originally Posted by reigle9 View Post
    BC t-9 in D ypp.
    Not a flame, just a comment for discussion...

    I believe that stat needs some context. You're right that BC's D YPP is quite good at 4.4. However, the offenses they have faced are averaging just 5.1 YPP. The teams averaging 5.1 YPP on offense are tied for 105th in the nation in that stat. So while on the one hand, it is quite good that BC is holding teams below their season average in YPP, the absolute number and ranking are a tad misleading.

    Interestingly, BC is dead last in defensive YPPT.
    Points Awarded:

    reigle9 gave HeeluvaGuy 10 Betpoint(s) for this post.

    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  7. 10-20-16 05:25 PM #7
    reigle9
    Paint my casket black with a big ass #3
    reigle9's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-25-07
    Posts: 17,879
    Betpoints: 1053

    Your stat is better than mine. Good stuff.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  8. 10-20-16 05:46 PM #8
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    1 Last CFB Addition THURSDAY

    THURSDAY, 10/20
    South Alabama +9 -103 (5 Dimes)
    BYU / Boise State UNDER 58 -101 (5 Dimes)

    FRIDAY, 10/21
    South Florida -6.5 -110 (Heritage)

    SATURDAY, 10/22
    Syracuse +4.5 -105 (Heritage)
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  9. 10-20-16 11:21 PM #9
    TPowell
    TPowell's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-21-08
    Posts: 18,842
    Betpoints: 331

    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Maybe books are banking on letdown after Va Tech win? Still seems like an over-adjustment though.
    nope, Syracuse is just hot garbage that got a lucky win against a team with their head in the sky after getting ranked (VT). Cuse is easily the worst team in the ACC outside of Wake Forest (by just a touch)
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  10. 10-21-16 12:50 AM #10
    JayDr3am
    Handi
    JayDr3am's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-06-14
    Posts: 18,259
    Betpoints: 8206

    now i know why you only make weekly threads lol
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  11. 10-21-16 07:12 AM #11
    coitus_maximus
    coitus_maximus's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-05-12
    Posts: 870
    Betpoints: 4080

    On the exact opposite. Syracuse coming off a high with 25mph winds in Boston and off a Bye week. No way. Syracuse gets taken to the wood shed here. Temple should be close also vs. USF IMO. Home game and Temple should be on the run game. USF not that great of a run D. I see a TD or less for sure.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  12. 10-21-16 07:18 AM #12
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Nice 2-0 start to the week.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  13. 10-21-16 07:21 AM #13
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by TPowell View Post
    nope, Syracuse is just hot garbage that got a lucky win against a team with their head in the sky after getting ranked (VT). Cuse is easily the worst team in the ACC outside of Wake Forest (by just a touch)
    With all of that being said, model only has Boston College -2.75. Simply cannot give 4.5 with BC offense.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  14. 10-21-16 07:23 AM #14
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by JayDr3am View Post
    now i know why you only make weekly threads lol
    What is your point? I have ALWAYS done NFL and CFB threads weekly since the inception of SBR. The only rime I do continuous threads in any sport is for Playoffs/Bowls. I simply cannot stand 40-page threads.
    Points Awarded:

    vinndy gave LT Profits 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  15. 10-21-16 09:29 AM #15
    TPowell
    TPowell's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-21-08
    Posts: 18,842
    Betpoints: 331

    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    With all of that being said, model only has Boston College -2.75. Simply cannot give 4.5 with BC offense.
    So you think Syracuse is the better team....?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  16. 10-21-16 10:03 AM #16
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by TPowell View Post
    So you think Syracuse is the better team....?
    Basically equal, Syracuse rated a smidgeon higher by +0.46 points
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  17. 10-21-16 10:12 AM #17
    Snake24
    Snake24's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-14-14
    Posts: 2,366
    Betpoints: 7076

    LT, what do get for the Ducks/Bears game? Side and Total. Thanks.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  18. 10-21-16 10:13 AM #18
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    CFB Additions Friday & Saturday

    FRIDAY, 10/21
    South Florida -6.5 -110 (Heritage)
    Oregon / California OVER 89 -105 (Heritage)

    SATURDAY, 10/22
    Syracuse +4.5 -105 (Heritage)
    Colorado +2 -110 (Heritage)


    YTD: 35-35-1, -1.32


    I would have played Colorado ML at bare minimum of +106, but I saw no better than +105 so opted for the +2 at Heritage with everyone else at +1.5.

    Also, Oregon/Cal game broke my model. Translatiion: model predicts over 100 points (100.78 to be exact).
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  19. 10-21-16 10:16 AM #19
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by Snake24 View Post
    LT, what do get for the Ducks/Bears game? Side and Total. Thanks.
    Almost simultaneous post. For Side I get Cal -2.38, so not much to see there.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  20. 10-21-16 10:17 AM #20
    Snake24
    Snake24's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-14-14
    Posts: 2,366
    Betpoints: 7076

    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Almost simultaneous post. For Side I get Cal -2.38, so not much to see there.
    haha. Thanks, LT.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  21. 10-21-16 11:06 AM #21
    HeeluvaGuy
    HeeluvaGuy's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-15-14
    Posts: 3,449
    Betpoints: 3926

    I have a lot of agreement with LT this week, including a 101.1 total for the Oregon/Cal game. Hope that's not a bad thing for you.

    Good luck
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  22. 10-21-16 08:45 PM #22
    RavensFan2k3
    Handicappin' like I'm Trappin'
    RavensFan2k3's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-18-12
    Posts: 17,377
    Betpoints: 18704

    You should stop betting favorites LT
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  23. 10-22-16 02:01 AM #23
    HeeluvaGuy
    HeeluvaGuy's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-15-14
    Posts: 3,449
    Betpoints: 3926

    Quote Originally Posted by HeeluvaGuy View Post
    I have a lot of agreement with LT this week, including a 101.1 total for the Oregon/Cal game. Hope that's not a bad thing for you.

    Good luck
    That doesn't happen often, so I'll enjoy this one.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  24. 10-22-16 06:47 AM #24
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by HeeluvaGuy View Post
    That doesn't happen often, so I'll enjoy this one.
    I almost had the exact score, model had 51.58-49.20

    (Let's not talk about the assist from Overtime )
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  25. 10-22-16 06:57 AM #25
    jimminn
    jimminn's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-23-11
    Posts: 1,174
    Betpoints: 5771

    Yea all they had to do is hit that field goal at the end and I would have won. Such is football.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  26. 10-22-16 07:06 AM #26
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by jimminn View Post
    Yea all they had to do is hit that field goal at the end and I would have won. Such is football.
    Yeah I DEFINITELY got lucky, Under bettors got shafted.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  27. 10-22-16 10:22 AM #27
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    3 CFB Additions Saturday

    SATURDAY, 10/22
    Kansas +23.5 -105 (Heritage)
    Massachusetts / South Carolina UNDER 46 -105 (5 Dimes)
    Syracuse +4.5 -105 (Heritage)
    Syracuse / Boston College UNDER 50 -103 (5 Dimes)
    Colorado +2 -110 (Heritage)


    YTD: 36-36-1, -1.42
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  28. 10-22-16 12:26 PM #28
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    2 More CBB Additions

    SATURDAY, 10/22
    Kansas +23.5 -105 (Heritage)
    Massachusetts / South Carolina UNDER 46 -105 (5 Dimes)
    Syracuse +4.5 -105 (Heritage)
    Syracuse / Boston College UNDER 50 -103 (5 Dimes)
    Colorado +2 -110 (Heritage)
    TCU / West Virginia UNDER 63.5 -105 (Heritage)
    Utah +6.5 -105 (Heritage)
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  29. 10-22-16 12:28 PM #29
    JayDr3am
    Handi
    JayDr3am's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-06-14
    Posts: 18,259
    Betpoints: 8206

    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    What is your point? I have ALWAYS done NFL and CFB threads weekly since the inception of SBR. The only rime I do continuous threads in any sport is for Playoffs/Bowls. I simply cannot stand 40-page threads.
    my point is that im slowly starting to hate 40 page threads myself lol i may take a page out of your book
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  30. 10-22-16 02:53 PM #30
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Yet Another 2 CFB Additions

    SATURDAY, 10/22
    Kansas +23.5 -105 (Heritage)
    Massachusetts / South Carolina UNDER 46 -105 (5 Dimes)
    Syracuse +4.5 -105 (Heritage)
    Syracuse / Boston College UNDER 50 -103 (5 Dimes)
    Colorado +2 -110 (Heritage)
    TCU / West Virginia UNDER 63.5 -105 (Heritage)
    Utah +6.5 -105 (Heritage)
    Utah / UCLA UNDER 43 -105 (Heritage)
    Arkansas / Auburn UNDER 55 -110 (Heritage)
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
Top
« Previous Thread | College Football Betting | Next Thread »