[johnny99]

buried

I chased and ****** myself real good LOL

[thetrinity]

So GSo is +5 in turnovers, favored by a td and loses outright, amazing.

[RGG]

And all 100 fans go crazy

[trillz]

Under 53.5

[Capybara]

You're a jerk off if you bet Arky St.

[qwertvt]

#41 on ASt looks like kd lang

[Plaza23]

I chased and ****** myself real good LOL

I lost $40 altogether.

Bet $25 on the ML when in the 4th Q when Georgia Southern had the ball and was up 2 possessions.
Then $15 once it got down to 6.

There's a 1% chance of any team winning a game when they are -5 in turnovers. Fluke of all flukes. I won't lose another bet like that for 5 more years.

[unde0087]

So GSo is +5 in turnovers, favored by a td and loses outright, amazing.

you can't make this shit up.

[johnny99]

I lost $40 altogether.

Bet $25 on the ML when in the 4th Q when Georgia Southern had the ball and was up 2 possessions.
Then $15 once it got down to 6.

There's a 1% chance of any team winning a game when they are -5 in turnovers. Fluke of all flukes. I won't lose another bet like that for 5 more years.

I have GS -6.5 going into the 4th...then the bright ideaof ML -410 came

[johnny99]

actually...roughly 8:30 left of 4thLOL

[jeffchitown]

The coach of georgia was an idiot. They completely changed how they attacked with the ball in the 4th. They completely stopped throwing.. I was yelling at the tv you mfer stop running it hahhaa

[Capybara]

Wow, I cashed every damn thing I played tonight.

Ark St. +7
GaSo/Ark St. u54
GaSo/Ark St. 1H u27.5
Giants/Mets FF u3
Live Giants/Mets u5.5
Live Giants

Sorry to brag, but holy fukk, 6-0 nights are rare and they are fukking SWEET. I rule. For tonight at least.

[Plaza23]

I have GS -6.5 going into the 4th...then the bright ideaof ML -410 came

-410 is a good price for a team up 2 possessions in that situation. I'd bet that again every time if the situations were similar. The favored team, up 5 in turnovers, and up 2 possessions in the 4th q. It's a win 99/100 times.

[TPowell]

-410 is a good price for a team up 2 possessions in that situation. I'd bet that again every time if the situations were similar. The favored team, up 5 in turnovers, and up 2 possessions in the 4th q. It's a win 99/100 times.

in what world does being +5 in turnovers matter for the future?

[Venom72]

The coach of georgia was an idiot. They completely changed how they attacked with the ball in the 4th. They completely stopped throwing.. I was yelling at the tv you mfer stop running it hahhaa

Exactly plus they was doing good for the most part passing, who the hell plays conservative with 5 mins left and not even up a touchdown?? Running the ball every single play and getting negative yards?? Stupid, i didnt lose much but man ga southern shoulda won that by dd, oh well lesson learned, blacklisting that whole weak a$$ conferance tho

[johnny99]

in what world does being +5 in turnovers matter for the future?

thats how the books always win. mentally...you lose, you chase. you win, you make stupid AF plays. in my case I was lucky enough to be in the black and made that play, keep my win or back to the drawing board...LOL

Tomorrow is another new day

[TPowell]

shake it off, -410 isn't that bad of a loss. As a UFC bettor, I've seen crazier things happen. Keep plugging

[Plaza23]

in what world does being +5 in turnovers matter for the future?

It matters because this is the once in 5 year game where that team ends up losing. 99/100 times they'll win, so you have to just believe that (because those are the stats) and keep betting it and not worry about losses.

It's like a baseball team losing an 8 run lead. So they lose, does that mean you stop betting on that condition? of course not if you get proper odds.

And 410 is great odds in the situation above.

The way to making money long term at gambling is to bet the best odds when they are in your favor. Sometimes you lose, but you still have to keep betting it. And if you know the probabilities of one team winning vs losing - that is what you have to stay disciplined and keep betting on those probabilities

[TPowell]

It matters because this is the once in 5 year game where that team ends up losing. 99/100 times they'll win, so you have to just believe that (because those are the stats) and keep betting it and not worry about losses.

It's like a baseball team losing an 8 run lead. So they lose, does that mean you stop betting on that condition? of course not if you get proper odds.

And 410 is great odds in the situation above.

The way to making money long term at gambling is to bet the best odds when they are in your favor. Sometimes you lose, but you still have to keep betting it. And if you know the probabilities of one team winning vs losing - that is what you have to stay disciplined and keep betting on those probabilities

no offense but you have no clue what your talking about. Those turnovers are in the PAST. They don't factor into the current market line at all. It's a little scary that you don't understand that. The whole 99/100 times thing may be accurate but you don't just lay -400 because a team turns the ball over a bunch early on. In fact, if you go back and tail the team with the positive turnover margin in the 1H in the 2H, I guarantee you will have lost money

[jjgold]

good call men on the dog!

[johnny99]

LOL guys...I laid -410 because of a fav,leading, having possession,with the ability to kill clock and have the TOs to manage it. shit happened LOL.

We all on the same side guys

[blackeyeshamus]

Last meeting was AA championship in 1986, I'm told. Southern won that game going away...45-17 or something. Since then, Arkansas State is 20-4 in SB conference home openers...and 2 of those 4 losses are to WKU, now in CONF USA. I'm on Arkansas State +7 1x

21-4 in sun belt conf home opener now
Best of luck in the new week, gentleman

[HeeluvaGuy]

Wow, I cashed every damn thing I played tonight.

Ark St. +7
GaSo/Ark St. u54
GaSo/Ark St. 1H u27.5
Giants/Mets FF u3
Live Giants/Mets u5.5
Live Giants

Sorry to brag, but holy fukk, 6-0 nights are rare and they are fukking SWEET. I rule. For tonight at least.

But did you win at trivia?

[Capybara]

But did you win at trivia?

No, DAMMIT! You have bested me! Went out early today on a dumb-ass bowling question.