1. #1
    Capybara
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    Capy's Season-Long 2016 NFL Action (...?)

    To make a long story short, not sure if I'm going to want to maintain a season-long thread, as sometimes it's a pain in the ass. So we'll see, I may end up bailing, or perhaps I'll just spot-bet in here so it's a bit less of a pain.

    If memory serves, I've had SIX NFL season-long threads in here. Four nice winning seasons, one small losing season, and one time I just abandoned it.

    Without further ado:

    Panthers/Broncos under 41.5, -105 (1x)
    Broncos +3, +105 (1x)

    (These lines and juice are from TUESDAY when I placed these, hence the higher-than-now-available total.)

    Not in love with either of these plays, but I do like both and it's opening night, so why not. My reasoning for them is simply that the Broncos retain most of brought them the title. They're still going to have the great D and I still expect them to stifle Cam's attack. No Trevathan is too bad, but most of the main guys from 2015 are there. Everyone seems worried about the seventh-round QB making his first start for Denver, but I'm not. Denver will run a conservative attack, and don't forget that the Panthers secondary could be very shaky at the outset, with no Josh Norman and a couple of kids. He could have surprising success throwing.

    Most of all, it's just NOT easy to go into Mile High and WIN a big game, and if I'm gonna GET points at home with the defending champ, I'll take them, thank you very much.

    Best of luck this year!!!
    Last edited by Capybara; 09-08-16 at 05:43 PM.

  2. #2
    Capybara
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    2-0, +2.05x.

    What an opening game. That shit was riveting, start to finish.

  3. #3
    BIGDAY
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  4. #4
    Capybara
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    Okay, updating this with two totals I placed earlier:

    Raiders/Saints over 51, -110 (1.5x)

    Pats/Cards under 47, -110 (1.5x)

    Don't know about the rest of you, but I kind of hate all the sides this Week 1. Don't get me wrong, I'll be playing some, but there's not one that I feel SUPER confident about. Totals is another story, I like the two above and will probably be on a couple more. Although admittedly, I'm going to get crappy numbers on everything now, such is life.

    Back tomorrow with more plays and write-ups... can't wait for opening Sunday!

  5. #5
    Capybara
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    Here we go, folks! 2-0 so far from Thurs... Two totals placed late in the week just above ^^...

    As I said, the sides are quite hard to feel confident in, so keeping everything to ONE unit. But just got on THESE two:

    Lions +3, -120 (1x)

    Everyone already knows the deal here... Indy decimated in their defensive backfield.

    Jax +4, +100 (1x)

    Offense is loaded, defense should be much improved, playing a huge statement game home opener.

    More to come...

  6. #6
    Capybara
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    And two more:

    Titans +2.5, -105 (1x)

    Parlay: SD +6.5 and Hou -5.5, +272 (0.6x)

  7. #7
    graycat40
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    Nice

    Nice start

  8. #8
    Capybara
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    Quote Originally Posted by Capybara View Post

    Panthers/Broncos under 41.5, -105 (1x)

    Broncos +3, +105 (1x)

    Raiders/Saints over 51, -110 (1.5x)


    Pats/Cards under 47, -110 (1.5x)

    Lions +3, -120 (1x)

    Jax +4, +100 (1x)

    Titans +2.5, -105 (1x)

    Parlay: SD +6.5 and Hou -5.5, +272 (0.6x)
    Tallying up Week 1 so far, we have the following, with tonight's under play outstanding:

    5-1-1, +5.13x.

    Initially I'd loved Cards -6 tonight... How can you not with three-fifths of the starting O-line out for the Pats, not to mention Gronk?!... But as a Pats homer who bleeds silver, I wouldn't play it anyway since I hate rooting against either my money OR my team. But anyway, now that it's at 9.5, I'd probably leave it alone even if I were a neutral observer.

    May have a play or two tomorrow.

  9. #9
    Capybara
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    Pats/Cards under cashes! Rollin' pretty well here in the early going.

    YTD: 6-1-1, +6.63x.

  10. #10
    shopbar picks
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    Nice start. Anything tonight?

  11. #11
    MikeyD323
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    ???

  12. #12
    Capybara
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    Quote Originally Posted by shopbar picks View Post
    Nice start. Anything tonight?
    Thanks. Nothing for the first game. Going to look further into the second one.

  13. #13
    Capybara
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    I just can't do this cellar-dweller game. Not a big enough degenerate. No plays today.

    Always possible I play something live or the 2H if I like it, but otherwise, Week 1 is in the books!

    YTD: 6-1-1, +6.63x.

    Back with Week 2 plays as soon as I place them... Will be watching this tonight though...

  14. #14
    Fabiodog
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    Keep up the good work Degenerate

  15. #15
    SEAHAWKHARRY
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    Great job

  16. #16
    Capybara
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    Quote Originally Posted by Fabiodog View Post
    Keep up the good work Degenerate
    Quote Originally Posted by SEAHAWKHARRY View Post
    Great job
    Thanks, Guys, didn't mean to ignore your posts!

    Week #2:

    First play: Jets/Bills under 41, -115 (1x)

    Two very solid D's; two questionable O's; all their games seem to go under... Seems like the only play here to me.

  17. #17
    JayDr3am
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    Quote Originally Posted by Capybara View Post
    Thanks, Guys, didn't mean to ignore your posts!

    Week #2:

    First play: Jets/Bills under 41, -115 (1x)

    Two very solid D's; two questionable O's; all their games seem to go under... Seems like the only play here to me.
    everyone is on the spread like they know what they are talking about but have no clue lol i like this pick capy BOL tonight on your action

  18. #18
    Capybara
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    Wow, that under got CRUSHED, there's not much else to say. Glad I only threw a unit on it!

    Today: 0-1, -1.15x.

    YTD: 6-2-1, +5.48x.

    Probably back tomorrow to lock in some plays for Sunday...

  19. #19
    funnyb25
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    Keep it goin buddy

  20. #20
    Capybara
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    Okay, first few plays of Week 2 locked in... much more to come...

    Saints/Giants over 53.5, -110 (1.5x)

    Falcons/Raiders over 48, -110 (1.5x)

    Bengals +3.5, -120 (1.5x)

  21. #21
    Capybara
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    Two more early plays:

    Saints +4, -105 (1x)

    Texans PK, +105 (1x)

    More coming for the later games, still deciding... Good luck today!

  22. #22
    Capybara
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    Time to kick off, folks! Here's the remainder of my card for the later games. Little heavy, nine total plays today.

    Seahawks/Rams under 38, -105 (1.5x)

    Colts +7, -113 (1x)

    Falcons +4.5, -110 (1x)

    Jags +3, -106 (1x)

  23. #23
    Capybara
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    [Live bet, 9:54 - 2nd quarter] Jaguars +20.5, -125 (2x)

    This will end up becoming a game.

  24. #24
    Capybara
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    Interesting up and down day...

    Would have been POSITIVE if not for that live bet ^!! Oh well, really did not anticipate that wire-to-wire Charger domination.

    Today: 5-5, -2.09x.

    YTD: 11-7-1, +3.39x.

    Nothing for the night game unless I jump on something live or halftime.

  25. #25
    Capybara
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    Bears -3, -109 (1x)

    Lot of Eagles love, but it's still Wentz's second-ever start, in a tough place to play, where he will see more pressure than last week, and the Bears aren't quite as horrible as they're being made out to be in my opinion. Worth a unit play anyway!

  26. #26
    Capybara
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    I stand corrected: Bears, and Cutler especially, remain a dumpster fire. Week 2 in the books.

    YTD: 11-8-1, +2.30x.

    Week 3:

    Miami -9.5, -110 (1x)

    Fins are chomping at the bit to get their first happy feeling of 2016 against the Cody Kessler-led Browns.

    More to come...

  27. #27
    Capybara
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    Lol, I thought I had played this under days ago, and then realized I'd only picked it in Beat the Prick!!

    Can't get that Under 41 now, so got on Texans/Pats under 39.5, -105 (1x).

    But GO PATS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  28. #28
    Capybara
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    Wish I'd had the stones to play my Pats too, but I'll take the easy under hit.

    YTD: 12-8-1, +3.30x.

    For the weekend, only on that Dolphins so far, but going to book more plays shortly once I look closer.

  29. #29
    Da Manster!
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    good luck Capy!......as long as we stay in the black!.......remember two things: never force a play and it's a marathon, not a sprint!...

  30. #30
    Capybara
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    Quote Originally Posted by Da Manster! View Post
    good luck Capy!......as long as we stay in the black!.......remember two things: never force a play and it's a marathon, not a sprint!...
    Thanks, buddy! Haha, always good advice.

  31. #31
    Capybara
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    Quote Originally Posted by Capybara View Post
    Week 3:

    Miami -9.5, -110 (1x)
    Adding these four plays, with maybe more to add tomorrow:

    Falcons/Saints over 53.5, -110 (1.5x)

    Panthers -7, -105 (1x)

    Jags +1, -105 (1x)

    Cowboys -6.5, -105 (1x)

  32. #32
    Capybara
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    Added Detroit +7, -110 (1x)

  33. #33
    Capybara
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    Added a player prop:

    Lacy rushing yards over 65.5, -135 (0.8x)

    I think he gets the rock a lot today and should rip off a couple of good ones. But hopefully it's in catch-up mode.

  34. #34
    Capybara
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    Adding Chargers/Colts over 51, -108 (1.5x)

  35. #35
    SEAHAWKHARRY
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    Quote Originally Posted by Capybara View Post
    Added a player prop:

    Lacy rushing yards over 65.5, -135 (0.8x)

    I think he gets the rock a lot today and should rip off a couple of good ones. But hopefully it's in catch-up mode.
    Winner

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