CAVS 1ST QUARTER PK -120 = Huge +EV

**jjgold** · 06-08-16, 03:54 PM

risky Leah

Curry gets hot your in trouble

**LeahMichele** · 06-08-16, 03:56 PM

Hes not bombing 3s in the first. Hes trying to get the rest involved to open up his shot later.

**LeahMichele** · 06-08-16, 03:56 PM

This play is winner

**jjgold** · 06-08-16, 03:58 PM

Leah call me

I want to talk you off the play

**lakerboy** · 06-08-16, 04:14 PM

Explain how it is +ev from a math standpoint at -120?

**JayDr3am** · 06-08-16, 04:15 PM

it should be a slow methodical 1st quarter, i see the cavs getting a little bit of life coming out of the gate. GL with leah

**CanuckG** · 06-08-16, 04:46 PM

Originally posted by lakerboy

Explain how it is +ev from a math standpoint at -120?

because he said they have an 80% chance of winning.

**LeahMichele** · 06-08-16, 07:14 PM

Originally posted by JayDr3am

it should be a slow methodical 1st quarter, i see the cavs getting a little bit of life coming out of the gate. GL with leah

TY. This play will win. GL

**goduke** · 06-08-16, 07:16 PM

Originally posted by lakerboy

Explain how it is +ev from a math standpoint at -120?

It's not

**iloseagain** · 06-08-16, 07:30 PM

Leah this is my mindset as well.. My favorite play is cavs first team to 20 pts. Also love the 1q

**LeahMichele** · 06-08-16, 08:25 PM

17-4.

**intermission** · 06-08-16, 08:26 PM

Cheer, i got cav 1st qt @-140 and james over 7.5 1st quarter

**newguy** · 06-08-16, 08:28 PM

Nice call. Huge +ev is funny since this morning you said yo should only bet this game as a degen bet but good job either way

**jjgold** · 06-08-16, 08:30 PM

Leah unreal

**iloseagain** · 06-08-16, 08:32 PM

No offense to the OP, but how do you not see this game coming? This is so obvious and if you don't believe me then go check my thead for today

**themike78** · 06-08-16, 08:32 PM

Thanks. I did first quarter myself after reading post and thinking about it. Cavs will win by 10 this game. Only jerkoff took golden state. Who cares if they won the first 2 by 100 points even. Game 3 different.

**LeahMichele** · 06-08-16, 08:32 PM

Originally posted by iloseagain

Leah this is my mindset as well.. My favorite play is cavs first team to 20 pts. Also love the 1q

Nice call iloseagain. This is just more proof that we can win gambling. This line was so stupid and soft. I don't know who wins but Cleveland coming out the game like that was so obvious. I got it at PK -120 a play that would win at least 70% and I think that's being conservative. Love the avatar as well.

**LeahMichele** · 06-08-16, 08:33 PM

Originally posted by iloseagain

No offense to the OP, but how do you not see this game coming? This is so obvious and if you don't believe me then go check my thead for today

I totally agree it was obvious. Anyone who liked Clev should hav just been 1st Q

**Joe Sharp** · 06-08-16, 08:34 PM

Nice call LM!
Easy cash on that one.

**LeahMichele** · 06-08-16, 08:35 PM

I would still like to see Cleveland win but its nice that we already got our win.

**JayDr3am** · 06-08-16, 08:36 PM

GREAT call leah. bravo

**LeahMichele** · 06-08-16, 08:36 PM

Originally posted by goduke

It's not

BS. This play easily wins 55% of the time. Like others said – it was obvious.

**LeahMichele** · 06-08-16, 08:37 PM

Originally posted by JayDr3am

GREAT call leah. bravo

Thanks man. There are +EV plays out there but this was one of the best I have seen.

**LeahMichele** · 06-08-16, 08:38 PM

Originally posted by Joe Sharp

Nice call LM!
Easy cash on that one.

tks. I hope Clevland makes it 2-1. I would like a good series.

**tsty** · 06-08-16, 08:38 PM

ezy money

JE · 06-08-16, 08:38 PM

Good call, dubs still winning this game though.

**LeahMichele** · 06-08-16, 08:39 PM

I wouldn't doubt it

**Steamroller** · 06-08-16, 08:44 PM

Originally posted by JE

Good call, dubs still winning this game though.

There's only one team playing tonight. They will win the next two don't worry.

**Hu$tle** · 06-08-16, 08:47 PM

Good pick OP i was too busy making taquitos to tail...hope u have a lock next game when im at the flamingo

**The Kraken** · 06-08-16, 08:48 PM

Nice

Gambling is fun when its this easy

**Menses** · 06-08-16, 08:53 PM

**LeahMichele** · 06-08-16, 09:00 PM

wow down to 7 points already

**Hangoverblack** · 06-08-16, 09:06 PM

This ends badly for Cleveland. Line for game was less than 1h line.

The second stanza starts... Now

**Al Masters** · 06-08-16, 09:34 PM

Originally posted by LeahMichele

This is a huge +EV play. The cavs pk -120 for first quarter only. They will come out strong. They have to build confidence early and get their crowd in it. This line is silly as the cavs have an 80% chance of winning quarter 1. This is the most +EV play of these finald. Im calling it cavs 31 GS 21 After 1. The ca s probably win the game but they will win 1st quarter. Im getting my money early.

Super call...