1. #36
    ACoochy
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Kelly View Post
    No Republican who has won both New Hampshire and South Carolina has NOT gone on to win the Republican nomination.

    http://www.cnn.com/2016/02/20/politi...ry-highlights/

    I don't think you will ever get a chance to get even money odds on Trump as the Republican nominee again.
    BoL
    Still paying +112 betfair

  2. #37
    d2bets
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    Quote Originally Posted by ACoochy View Post
    Still paying +112 betfair
    Yep. Think about it. It looks so damn easy, right. Then why isn't it budging. Sharps know better. As the field whittles, his lead shrinks. Bush is going to drop out and Carson is mostly a non-factor anyway. But Kasich is the wild-card because his votes could tilt states like Mich and Ohio and some others.

  3. #38
    d2bets
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    Jeb(!) has to decide whether he wants to help Trump (stay in) or help Rubio (get out).

  4. #39
    ACoochy
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    Quote Originally Posted by d2bets View Post
    Yep. Think about it. It looks so damn easy, right. Then why isn't it budging. Sharps know better. As the field whittles, his lead shrinks. Bush is going to drop out and Carson is mostly a non-factor anyway. But Kasich is the wild-card because his votes could tilt states like Mich and Ohio and some others.
    Not only that but Dump Trumps poll numbers arent able to reach over 30-35% largely due to the number of people that dont like the guy.

    Yeah he has his devoted bunch of unquestioning mindless slaves but beyond that he's gonna find it extremely difficult to grow his base with his decisive behaviour...

  5. #40
    d2bets
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    Kasich is critical, but he'll probably stay in. If he dropped out, that would hurt Trump bad.

  6. #41
    jtoler
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    Ive heard if it gets down to Trump and whoever a back room deal will be made and Trump wont get the delegates, thats the Republican trick up their sleeve.

  7. #42
    d2bets
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    Quote Originally Posted by jtoler View Post
    Ive heard if it gets down to Trump and whoever a back room deal will be made and Trump wont get the delegates, thats the Republican trick up their sleeve.
    Yes, if nobody has a majority going in, which is a real possibility if it splits 3 ways.

  8. #43
    TheGuesser
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    I wouldn't be surprised if Rubio is the betting favorite, or at least very close to odds with Trump, when it comes back up. It's still gonna be tough for Trump to get the needed delegates to avoid a brokered convention, and when/if there's a brokered convention, Trump, and Cruz are toast.

  9. #44
    Goat Milk
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    way better odds for him to win the ship

    if a woman wins president i'll never vote again

  10. #45
    d2bets
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheGuesser View Post
    I wouldn't be surprised if Rubio is the betting favorite, or at least very close to odds with Trump, when it comes back up. It's still gonna be tough for Trump to get the needed delegates to avoid a brokered convention, and when/if there's a brokered convention, Trump, and Cruz are toast.
    There are already betting markets, like Betfair. Trump is like 49%, Rubio 44%, Cruz 3%. It's close to a coinflip between Trump and Rubio. I wonder what the Nevada odds will come back at. Likely Trump wins, but could be close.

    And Rubio is at better to odds be President than Trump. Trump +500, Rubio +400. Trump is almost +200 implied now if he wins nom. Rubio around +110.

  11. #46
    Dan Kelly
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    Today, Trump is -250 at bookmaker.eu and -240 at 5dimes to win the Republican nomination. This was way too easy, and if you didn't jump on this last week it is still not too late -> he will soon be 1 to 5 (that's when I will cover my stake). Just to reiterate, this has nothing to do with politics, I don't care who you want to be president and it would be silly and ignorant to use this forum to tell you why to vote for someone. This is just a real good bet because of the momentum => 2 months ago Trump was a snowflake falling on the top of a mountain, a month ago a golf ball size snowball started rolling down, after New Hampshire it was as big as a softball, after South Carolina it was as big as a basketball, now it's as big as a car and soon it will be an avalanche.

    If they were all that easy I'd be as rich as Trump.


    BoL

  12. #47
    brooks85
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    Quote Originally Posted by Grits n' Gravy View Post
    That will work out real well for him when the government decides to call him on his bullshit.
    ? you're not making sense.

  13. #48
    Dan Kelly
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    Quote Originally Posted by brooks85 View Post
    ? you're not making sense.

    Usually, when you have a bet where one side of it makes a lot of sense, and the other side is nonsense => take the side that makes sense.


    BoL

  14. #49
    RudyRuetigger
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    I have about 47 cents

  15. #50
    jt315
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Kelly View Post
    Today, Trump is -250 at bookmaker.eu and -240 at 5dimes to win the Republican nomination. This was way too easy, and if you didn't jump on this last week it is still not too late -> he will soon be 1 to 5 (that's when I will cover my stake). Just to reiterate, this has nothing to do with politics, I don't care who you want to be president and it would be silly and ignorant to use this forum to tell you why to vote for someone. This is just a real good bet because of the momentum => 2 months ago Trump was a snowflake falling on the top of a mountain, a month ago a golf ball size snowball started rolling down, after New Hampshire it was as big as a softball, after South Carolina it was as big as a basketball, now it's as big as a car and soon it will be an avalanche.

    If they were all that easy I'd be as rich as Trump.


    BoL

    As as each day passes , the panic level increases for the establishment. Wait til next Tuesday's bloodbath.

    Points Awarded:

    Dan Kelly gave jt315 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  16. #51
    Dan Kelly
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    Quote Originally Posted by RudyRuetigger View Post
    I have about 47 cents

    LOGIC not PENNIES!!


    BoL

  17. #52
    Dan Kelly
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    Current Odds.


    bookmaker.eu

    WILL DONALD TRUMP BE THE REPUBLICAN NOMINEE ?
    12:00 AM
    YES 3K USD
    NO
    5Dimes
    Republican Presidential Nominee - Republican National Convention
    Mon 7/18 901 Donald Trump is Republican Nominee -280
    8:00AM 902 Field wins Republican Nomination +220


    BoL

  18. #53
    jtoler
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Kelly View Post
    Current Odds.


    bookmaker.eu

    WILL DONALD TRUMP BE THE REPUBLICAN NOMINEE ?
    12:00 AM
    YES 3K USD
    NO
    5Dimes
    Republican Presidential Nominee - Republican National Convention
    Mon 7/18 901 Donald Trump is Republican Nominee -280
    8:00AM 902 Field wins Republican Nomination +220


    BoL
    Easy money?

  19. #54
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by ACoochy View Post
    No offense OP but you got a shitty # there...

    Still +136 at betfair
    Bad bet period. I don't care what the odds are now.

  20. #55
    indio
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    You just have to hope Arthur Bremer isn't getting the itch to be famous again.

  21. #56
    TheLock
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    -108 is a square line.

    Sounds like that book is begging for Trump action.

    Trump could take a hot dump on his wife's face in one of these Town Halls and he would go UP in the polls and not down.

    Seems he can't lose this clown.

  22. #57
    TheLock
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Kelly View Post
    Usually, when you have a bet where one side of it makes a lot of sense, and the other side is nonsense => take the side that makes sense.


    BoL

    Really, guy?

  23. #58
    KingJD31
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    Cruz +3300 deff has some value but I think trump just about locked it up

  24. #59
    tatddy
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    Gonna be mildly humorous if Trump loses after Dan patted himself on the back for weeks on his good line.

    Better for the Country though. Slightly worse for SNL.

  25. #60
    jjgold
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    Kelly your on the right side
    here

    Tremendous pick

  26. #61
    Jaug
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    Remember Trump has gone from +300 to -200 in like 1.5 weeks. This politic betting is like a micro cap stock. It goes up and down like a hooker on a good night.

  27. #62
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by tatddy View Post
    Gonna be mildly humorous if Trump loses after Dan patted himself on the back for weeks on his good line.

    Better for the Country though. Slightly worse for SNL.
    Trump has his loyal base, which is factored into his current numbers. But how can the RNC believe he is even mildly electable among undecideds and independents? If they're dumb enough to believe he would fare well in a general election with swing voters, I guess they're dumb enough to lose the election. Again.

  28. #63
    Itsamazing777
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    Honestly none of the big states have even counted yet....

    you guys know how many delegates there are, lol....

    jeb bush couldnt lose 6 months ago....

  29. #64
    Dan Kelly
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    Too late, but don't say you weren't told about the free money.

    At 5dimes now =

    Republican Presidential Nominee - Republican National Convention
    Mon 7/18 901 Donald Trump is Republican Nominee -360
    8:00AM 902 Field wins Republican Nomination +300




    BoL

  30. #65
    15805
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    Bookmaker 2/28/16

    WILL DONALD TRUMP BE THE REPUBLICAN NOMINEE ?
    7:00 PM
    YES 3k USD
    NO

  31. #66
    jtoler
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Kelly View Post
    Too late, but don't say you weren't told about the free money.
    lol
    Last edited by jtoler; 02-28-16 at 07:13 PM.

  32. #67
    DwightShrute
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    WOW! THANK YOU ALABAMA! Everyone get out and vote on Tuesday- and we will MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN!







  33. #68
    d2bets
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    Quote Originally Posted by 15805 View Post
    Bookmaker 2/28/16

    WILL DONALD TRUMP BE THE REPUBLICAN NOMINEE ?
    7:00 PM
    YES 3k USD
    NO
    Now Trump -461

    Coinciding with Trump's rise is a rise in the odds on Hillary/Dems to win presidency. Dems -202.

    I never thought Hillary could be President, but thanks to The Donald, she probably will be. Just remember who you have to thank when you have to listen to her for the next 4 years.

  34. #69
    DwightShrute
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    Quote Originally Posted by d2bets View Post
    Now Trump -461

    Coinciding with Trump's rise is a rise in the odds on Hillary/Dems to win presidency. Dems -202.
    he'll be favored before you know it. Just a matter of time


  35. #70
    d2bets
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    Quote Originally Posted by DwightShrute View Post
    he'll be favored before you know it. Just a matter of time

    Just remember who you'll have to thank when Bill is smoking a cigar in the Lincoln Bedroom.

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