1. 01-08-16 07:02 PM #1
    JMon
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    Interesting NBA situation going tonight!

    I ran across this situation, not mine, but looked interesting and back tested it. Interesting numbers to say the least. It only happens with the elite and perhaps subjective, tired team. Anyway...it goes a favorite winning 18+ out their last 20 games; playing 6+ out their last 10, with an oppt. on less than 3 days rest.

    Since 2011:

    SU: 35-1 (15.33, 97.2%)
    ATS: 30-6-0 (7.06, 83.3%)

    The teams that streak on this situation are:

    The 2011 Spurs: 3-0 SU and ATS
    The 2012 Clippers: 1-0 SU and ATS
    The 2012 Heat: 13-1 SU and 10-4 ATS
    The 2013 Trailblazers: 1-0 SU and 0-1 ATS
    The 2013 Spurs: 6-0 SU and ATS
    The 2014 Hawk: 9-0 SU and 8-1 ATS
    The 2015 Warriors: 2-0 SU and ATS

    Pending Warriors vs. Trailblazers tonight! Btw...the Heat lost to the Bulls 97-101 as 6 pt favs on Mar. 27 2013 for the lone SU loss.

    What's the play?
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  2. 01-08-16 07:37 PM #2
    FortySix
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    Very interesting Jmon.. Love it.

    My guess would be the Suns are the play?
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  3. 01-08-16 07:37 PM #3
    FortySix
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    Sorry my bad, should have said that the Heat are the play against the Suns tonight.
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  4. 01-08-16 07:40 PM #4
    FortySix
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    Oh shit! I am all over the place. Just read your post again, and the Spurs have won 18 in their last 20 so Spurs would be the play seeing that the Knicks are a tired and subjective team, tired team and also playing their 3rd straight on the road.

    I also did an SDQL for Away dogs with +12 or more coming off 2 road dog wins and it gave me very strong evidence towards the Spurs covering tonight.
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  5. 01-08-16 07:41 PM #5
    JMon
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    Quote Originally Posted by FortySix View Post
    Sorry my bad, should have said that the Heat are the play against the Suns tonight.
    ah we talking about Warriors bro!

    Yet, I do like the Heat tonight!.
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  6. 01-08-16 07:41 PM #6
    play4win
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    someone has a lot of free time!
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  7. 01-08-16 07:44 PM #7
    JMon
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    Quote Originally Posted by FortySix View Post
    Oh shit! I am all over the place. Just read your post again, and the Spurs have won 18 in their last 20 so Spurs would be the play seeing that the Knicks are a tired and subjective team, tired team and also playing their 3rd straight on the road.

    I also did an SDQL for Away dogs with +12 or more coming off 2 road dog wins and it gave me very strong evidence towards the Spurs covering tonight.
    ..need to read a bit closer bro!
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  8. 01-08-16 07:45 PM #8
    JMon
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    Quote Originally Posted by play4win View Post
    someone has a lot of free time!
    that comment to me?
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  9. 01-08-16 07:53 PM #9
    upscope
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    my heads spinning....
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  10. 01-08-16 07:55 PM #10
    Mr KLC
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    OK. I'll bite. Just tailed you. Thanks for the info.
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  11. 01-08-16 07:56 PM #11
    FortySix
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    Hahahah got you now JMon. Just misread your post previously.

    Thoughts about this query JMon? This one is one I kept from your last season's SDQL thread
    Last edited by FortySix; 01-09-16 at 04:16 PM.
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  12. 01-08-16 08:04 PM #12
    R.P. McMurphy
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    Looks like Dubs are the play according to what I see. Bol Jmon!
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  13. 01-08-16 08:08 PM #13
    JMon
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mr KLC View Post
    OK. I'll bite. Just tailed you. Thanks for the info.
    Geez, ok I'll play with you now. Didn't think I'd have any biters on this one. What line did you get KLC?

    INTERNET: Straight Bet risk 550.00 win 500.00
    867 Warriors -9½ (-110) risk 550.00 win 500.00 (NBA)
    01/08/16 20:59:56
    #34981117
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  14. 01-08-16 08:09 PM #14
    JMon
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    Quote Originally Posted by R.P. McMurphy View Post
    Looks like Dubs are the play according to what I see. Bol Jmon!
    good possibility bro!
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  15. 01-08-16 08:11 PM #15
    FortySix
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    Quote Originally Posted by JMon View Post
    Geez, ok I'll play with you now. Didn't think I'd have any biters on this one. What line did you get KLC?

    INTERNET: Straight Bet risk 550.00 win 500.00
    867 Warriors -9½ (-110) risk 550.00 win 500.00 (NBA)
    01/08/16 20:59:56
    #34981117
    I love SDQL, wish you guys still had the thread from last season going.. BOL today buddy. On it with you
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  16. 01-08-16 08:16 PM #16
    Mr KLC
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    Quote Originally Posted by JMon View Post
    Geez, ok I'll play with you now. Didn't think I'd have any biters on this one. What line did you get KLC?

    INTERNET: Straight Bet risk 550.00 win 500.00
    867 Warriors -9½ (-110) risk 550.00 win 500.00 (NBA)
    01/08/16 20:59:56
    #34981117
    I bought a point, and brought it back down to -8 1/2.
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  17. 01-08-16 08:20 PM #17
    smitch124
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    Hope Curry can still shoot with shin guards
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  18. 01-08-16 08:21 PM #18
    JMon
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mr KLC View Post
    I bought a point, and brought it back down to -8 1/2.
    fukk..what did you pay for that?
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  19. 01-08-16 08:23 PM #19
    Mr KLC
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    Quote Originally Posted by JMon View Post
    fukk..what did you pay for that?
    -130
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  20. 01-08-16 08:24 PM #20
    JMon
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    Quote Originally Posted by smitch124 View Post
    Hope Curry can still shoot with shin guards
    me too smitchy...wasn't going to play..but Mr. KLC took some, so I will play too and win/lose with him.
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  21. 01-08-16 08:27 PM #21
    pilebuck13
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    I'm at the game tonight it's un real Portland has a strong home fan base and its overwhelmed with warrior fans it's crazy
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  22. 01-08-16 08:30 PM #22
    dfish
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    In -9.5
    bol gents
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  23. 01-08-16 08:38 PM #23
    JMon
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    Quote Originally Posted by pilebuck13 View Post
    I'm at the game tonight it's un real Portland has a strong home fan base and its overwhelmed with warrior fans it's crazy

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  24. 01-08-16 08:42 PM #24
    JMon
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    Quote Originally Posted by dfish View Post
    In -9.5
    bol gents
    Hope it comes through for us. Line didn't move much as hoped with the gs recent schedule. Looks like we are square tonight!
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  25. 01-08-16 09:10 PM #25
    Ballerholic
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    Lol and when a road fav is playing a home dog on the 27th day of the month, on a day beginning with the letter T, sporting red jerseys, with at least 2 white guys on the squad, with a bald head coach, when it had rained the previous night are 27-2 ATS
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  26. 01-08-16 09:23 PM #26
    JMon
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ballerholic View Post
    Lol and when a road fav is playing a home dog on the 27th day of the month, on a day beginning with the letter T, sporting red jerseys, with at least 2 white guys on the squad, with a bald head coach, when it had rained the previous night are 27-2 ATS
    jeezus another fukkin idiot that doesn't understand situational play. I'm guessing you didn't read, but the spot is a tired - winning team and how the market reacts. Win or lose, historically it's been favorable, with GS winning two already in this spot this season. So if bettor did play this season, they would be up regardless of the outcome tonight.

    Are you that fukking close minded to comprehend.
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  27. 01-08-16 09:24 PM #27
    rake922
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    Quote Originally Posted by JMon View Post
    it goes a favorite winning 18+ out their last 20 games; playing 6+ out their last 10, with an oppt. on less than 3 days rest.
    What is the Six plus?
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  28. 01-08-16 09:28 PM #28
    sweep
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    Good luck jmon, nice to see reasoning behind a play around here
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  29. 01-08-16 09:37 PM #29
    Ballerholic
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    Quote Originally Posted by JMon View Post
    jeezus another fukkin idiot that doesn't understand situational play. I'm guessing you didn't read, but the spot is a tired - winning team and how the market reacts. Win or lose, historically it's been favorable, with GS winning two already in this spot this season. So if bettor did play this season, they would be up regardless of the outcome tonight.

    Are you that fukking close minded to comprehend.
    Lol man I'm just messing around
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  30. 01-08-16 09:39 PM #30
    JMon
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    Quote Originally Posted by rake922 View Post
    What is the Six plus?
    games?
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  31. 01-08-16 09:40 PM #31
    JMon
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    Quote Originally Posted by sweep View Post
    Good luck jmon, nice to see reasoning behind a play around here
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  32. 01-08-16 09:50 PM #32
    rake922
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    I want to know why you cherry picked the 7 teams in post 1?

    Where is the Pacers and OKC team from 2013
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  33. 01-08-16 10:17 PM #33
    JMon
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    Quote Originally Posted by rake922 View Post
    I want to know why you cherry picked the 7 teams in post 1?

    Where is the Pacers and OKC team from 2013
    lol.. I cherry picked the 2013 Trailblazer ATS loss too. I relayed what my database gave me. I would be interested in the teams you posted from that year so I can update any human error. Please post the 6-10 schedule, line and opponent's rest!
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  34. 01-08-16 11:01 PM #34
    Mr KLC
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    OK. Need this game to hit and then I'm 4-0 tonight. Hope this stays a blowout. The first 3 games went to the final seconds.
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  35. 01-08-16 11:03 PM #35
    agendaman
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    in the long run these systems never work
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