So guys, just won a $850 parlay risking $10. I now have around $950 in my account so I decided to start tracking my plays and see if I can win some money to help out with my student life. I've never had anywhere near this amount before so this is huge. Let's make this a profitable year.
First play of my serious betting career will be....
Eagles +3 -125 2u
Eagles have the better offense and defense according to yards per attempt. They've been getting hot as of late and I expect them to stay hot. The Eagles have played very good teams this year, while the Panthers only tough opponent have been the Seahawks. Although they played well in that game, they ended up winning on a final drive against a top team on the road and as a capper I don't think they'll fully come down from that high before this game. As well, the Panthers are a 5-0 team with the majority of the public on them. I think the Eagles cover this game more than enough times.
I'm sure I can get the Eagles at a better price, however all of my money from my other accounts went towards hedging the parlay so now all of my money is in this one account.
YTD: 2-4 -3.8 units. A little unlucky last night, unfortunately the Bulls blew a decent lead late in the 4th. Anthony Davis has a terrible game against the Warriors and I didn't expect Holiday to sit out either. We did manage to get lucky on the Under in the Pelican game though, and we got luck with the Royal win. Therefore, not too bad.
Timberwolves +3.5 1u
I don't see how the Lakers are going to fair with a rookie running the point, and basically another rookie playing PF. On top of that Hibbert is a new addition, and Bryant is just coming back. I expect the chemistry to be off a bit here, and the Timberwolves have a good lineup this year. I see the Timberwolves having the advantage at every position except Center. Yes I think Prince will perform better this game than Bryant. I see Bryant chucking up shots and trying to be aggressive since he doesn't necessarily have a team that can score. With this in mind the Under looks appetizing and so far I see that the majority of people are on the over. I'll probably be putting another unit on the Timberwolves and playing the under here.
Leans
Cavaliers +6
Too many points to give LeBron and Co., tough to expect them to go 0-2.
The Grizz have issues offensively, and the Cavs have dealt very well with the Grizz last year. LeBron have a very productive night last night, and he is feeling better. I also don't expect the Cavs to go down 0-2 on the season lightly, and here we are getting 6.
On the Royals again tonight for 2 units.
Pelicans ML for half U
Likely on Bulls ML again, waiting to see if Rose will have restriction early on in b2b's.
Cavs looked like shit last night, don't know if I can trust them tonight, or at least until news on Lebron comes out before game time. Sitting out Twolves until I see a couple games and until we see how those young guys play on the Lakers. Will probably watch that game though, should be fun, and wouldn't be surprised if Kobe comes out chucking.
Yea I'll probably be adding the Pelicans tonight. Hopefully the Royals pull thru tonight, this game probably decides the series. The Cavs did look really bad last night, but then again the Bulls are a much better team now, especially offensively. I thought there were just too many factors going the Bulls way last night such as revenge, and a new head coach. Those factors combined with all of the injuries I was surprised at the Cavs result. Good luck tonight.
Nice call on the Cavs last night, memphis wow. Minny squeaked that one out, didn't look promising out the gate. Pelicans got raped, but Knicks surprisingly won easily.
Fading those knicks tonight. Atlanta ML and Spread.
YTD: 5-4 -.8 units. Both plays cash, one much easier than the other...
Hawks total over 101.5 1u -120
The Knicks are on a B2B and just gave up 97 points to a very depleted Bucks team who played without their best 3 players. The Hawks are coming off a lose at home, and Detroit are a much better team than the Knicks. The Knicks also gave up 50% from beyond the arc last night. I would have taken the spread if it was still at 4.
Had this game chosen at the start of the week when Pitt were +3. At that time I felt the wrong team were favored and I still think Pitt are winning this. They've played tougher competition and UNC have Duke next week.
Parlay- Patriots ML, Atl Hawks ML, Clippers ML 1u +110
Although I think the Dolphins will get the pats fits and probably cover, there are a ton a advantages for the Pats. Besides the fact that they have Belichick against a rookie head coach in his 3rd game on a short week, the Pats just don't really ever lose at home.
The one huge advantage the Dolphins have here is that they should be able to run all over the Pats. Divisional game and the Dolphins have played very well the past two games.
YTD: 10-6 +2.2 units. Finally in the green with a Royals series 2u play pending! Time are finally looking up and let's try to keep it going.
Bulls -3 1u
Both teams come in hot. The Pistons have not been shooting the ball too well, but they've been getting a ton of FTs each game. I expect that to change with Noah, Gasol, Taj in the paint. The Bulls are playing too well to give up the Eastern Conference lead.
The hawks are the much better team, plain and simple. They also have way more depth, and I don't think 3 games in 4 nights is going to affect them this early in the season.
Raptors +2 1u
The Raptors have the better team and are getting points. It seems people are high on the Celtics this year. Although they have a good team, they don't have the talent the Raptors do. Also, people are overreacting to them beating a 76ers team...
Heat +4.5 1u
The Heat have a very good team this year, and will have a healthy lineup tonight. Although they still aren't better than an injured Cavs team, there is still revenge on their mind and they'll want to show they can compete.
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