1. 10-06-15 02:02 PM #1
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    NHL - Wednesday, 10/7/15

    1 NHL Play Wednesday

    Rangers +121 (Heritage)


    Happy New Year!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  2. 10-06-15 02:04 PM #2
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    I did some tweaks to my hockey model, so would be great if I could duplicate MLB results.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  3. 10-06-15 02:17 PM #3
    brett1508
    brett1508's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-22-15
    Posts: 38
    Betpoints: 756

    That would be unreal. How'd your NHL model do last season?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  4. 10-06-15 02:31 PM #4
    Rich Boy
    Rich Boy's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-01-09
    Posts: 9,713
    Betpoints: 1106

    Was also thinking NYR, Blackhawks likely affected by Kane drama
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  5. 10-06-15 02:41 PM #5
    Vegas39
    Vegas39's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-22-11
    Posts: 30,686
    Betpoints: 214

    On it too GL LT
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  6. 10-06-15 03:25 PM #6
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by brett1508 View Post
    That would be unreal. How'd your NHL model do last season?
    Oh it sucked last year.

    87-112-11, -11.27

    Wasn't that concerned about the W/L because of so many dogs, but the -11 was below par
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  7. 10-06-15 03:33 PM #7
    FlipsideRM
    Summer 16
    FlipsideRM's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-28-11
    Posts: 10,518
    Betpoints: 3216

    Good luck
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  8. 10-06-15 07:51 PM #8
    Can U Tank It
    Can U Tank It's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-02-15
    Posts: 189
    Betpoints: 3332

    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  9. 10-07-15 10:49 AM #9
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    1 NHL Addition

    2 NHL Plays Wednesday

    Rangers +121 (Heritage)
    Sharks / Kings OVER 5 -110 (Heritage)
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  10. 10-07-15 01:31 PM #10
    I'm_Lucky
    I'm_Lucky's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-16-09
    Posts: 137
    Betpoints: 23098

    Hi LT,

    Firstly, good luck with the new season & I hope it goes as well as MLB was for you this year.

    I was wondering if you could answer a question for me: Is it ever profitable to fade a team for every game in the regular season? As a native of Toronto, I don't think the Leafs will win more than 15 games this season and I'm predicting it will be their worst season to date. So if this is the case, if I bet against Toronto every game, regardless of the heavy price (we'll probably see -200 to -250 range for some games), would this strategy work? I'm not good with models & stats, so any quick insight would be appreciated. Thanks!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  11. 10-07-15 01:34 PM #11
    PorkChop
    PorkChop's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-18-08
    Posts: 8,193
    Betpoints: 601

    Rangers / Blackhawks played twice last year, Road team won both 1-0.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  12. 10-07-15 01:38 PM #12
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    here we go..can this guy win again in nhl??
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  13. 10-07-15 01:42 PM #13
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by I'm_Lucky View Post
    Hi LT,

    Firstly, good luck with the new season & I hope it goes as well as MLB was for you this year.

    I was wondering if you could answer a question for me: Is it ever profitable to fade a team for every game in the regular season? As a native of Toronto, I don't think the Leafs will win more than 15 games this season and I'm predicting it will be their worst season to date. So if this is the case, if I bet against Toronto every game, regardless of the heavy price (we'll probably see -200 to -250 range for some games), would this strategy work? I'm not good with models & stats, so any quick insight would be appreciated. Thanks!
    Is it EVER profitable, yes because sometimes books are slow to catching up to just how awful teams are. Would I recommend doing it, no because more often than not the books are on top of the ball (or puck) and start undervaluing losing teams (overvaluing their opponents) knowing most people will not bet on the bad teams.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  14. 10-07-15 11:14 PM #14
    Mike Huntertz
    Mike Huntertz's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-19-09
    Posts: 11,165
    Betpoints: 22632

    Sweet start!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  15. 10-07-15 11:23 PM #15
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by Mike Huntertz View Post
    Sweet start!
    Would prefer 2-0 to 1-0-1 though.

    One more please.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  16. 10-07-15 11:32 PM #16
    DwightShrute
    I don't believe you ... please continue
    DwightShrute's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-17-09
    Posts: 97,187
    Betpoints: 8060

    all road teams days 1
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  17. 10-07-15 11:54 PM #17
    Hngkng
    Hngkng's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-03-15
    Posts: 729
    Betpoints: 2970

    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Would prefer 2-0 to 1-0-1 though.

    One more please.
    And it is 2-0!
    Great start, thanks for the picks!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  18. 10-07-15 11:55 PM #18
    Vegas39
    Vegas39's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-22-11
    Posts: 30,686
    Betpoints: 214

    well done LT
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  19. 10-07-15 11:56 PM #19
    Rich Boy
    Rich Boy's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-01-09
    Posts: 9,713
    Betpoints: 1106

    2-0 nice start
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  20. 10-07-15 11:57 PM #20
    DiggityDaggityDo
    DiggityDaggityDo's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 11-30-08
    Posts: 82,770
    Betpoints: 32174

    Good start LT.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  21. 10-08-15 01:17 AM #21
    nyplayer33
    nyplayer33's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-27-06
    Posts: 8,305
    Betpoints: 106

    it was a toss up game...the kane drama had zero effect...
    Last edited by nyplayer33; 10-08-15 at 01:22 AM.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  22. 10-08-15 01:18 AM #22
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    Rangers going to be good again

    Hawks will be ok too

    Good call
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
Top
« Previous Thread | Hockey Betting | Next Thread »